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Brad Waters runs his expert eye over racing at Flemington on Saturday

Racenet’s Brad Waters runs the rule over Saturday’s meeting at Flemington featuring the All-Star Mile and Newmarket Handicap.

Brad Waters previews racing at Flemington on Saturday
Brad Waters previews racing at Flemington on Saturday

Form analyst Brad Waters takes an early look at Saturday’s meeting at Flemington featuring the All-Star Mile and Newmarket Handicap.

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BEST BET

VINROCK (Race 5, No. 3)

Impressed with a dominant debut win at Pakenham and looks like the step to 1400m will be perfect. He’ll handle the class rise.

VALUE BET

ARKANSAW KID (Race 9, No. 3)

Arkansaw Kid races well down the straight and has trialled well leading up to this. He’s drawn to race in the right part of the track as well.

EARLY QUADDIE

1, 7, 9, 13/1, 2, 5, 10/1, 3, 5, 7, 16/1, 2, 10

$100 flexi for 41 percent

QUADDIE

Race 7: 1, 2, 7

Race 8: 1, 7

Race 9: 1, 3, 5, 9, 12

Race 10: 1, 6, 8

$100 flexi for 111 percent

BIG 6

1, 3, 5, 7, 16/1, 2, 10/1, 2, 7/1, 7/1, 3, 5, 9, 12/1, 6, 8

$100 flexi for 7.4 percent

MULTI

Race 4 No. 10 – Is It Me (win)

Race 5 No. 3 – Vinrock (win)

Odds - $15.40

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RACE 1: 12:05PM CIRKA PLATE (1100m)

Flemington is likely to be firm for Saturday’s meeting. Interesting race to start the day but MYSTIC REIGN (5) has handled both challenges well and is a good chance to stay unbeaten. INTEREST POINT (3) was sound in Group 3 company last start and will find this a bit easier. LET’SFACETHEMUSIC (1) easily broke his maiden and placed at Group 3 level in the spring. GALLANT SON (2) has trialled well leading up to this.

SUGGESTED BET: Mystic Reign to win.

MARKET MOVER: Gallant Son $3.60 - $3.50.

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RACE 2: 12:35PM GROUP 3 OTTAWA STAKES (1000m)

Tough race but ELSA OF ARENDELLE (5) chased well at The Valley on debut and will be much better for the experience. SECRET GLORY (6) has done everything right leading up to her return and must be respected. CONSCIENCE (10) is well bred and has pleased at the jumpouts. PURE PASSION (3) will be improved on a promising debut effort.

SUGGESTED BET: Box trifecta 3, 5, 6, 10.

MARKET MOVER: Enchanted By $6 - $5.

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RACE 3: 1:10PM ALE MICHAEL MORONEY (1100m)

Former Singapore galloper STREET OF DREAMS (1) has settled in well at the Phillip Stokes stable and could fire fresh. MYTEMPTATION (13) is unbeaten and has the talent to threaten again first-up while LEGIO TEN (9) will be suited getting back down the Flemington straight. OSAMU (7) will be better for two runs in and could improve.

SUGGESTED BET: Street Of Dreams each-way.

MARKET MOVER: Zethus $91 - $46.

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RACE 4: 1:45PM GROUP 3 FURPHY SHAFTESBURY HANDICAP (1400m)

IS IT ME (10) has earned a crack at a tougher race after two strong wins and he’s drawn to have every chance again. LADY JONES (5) has a sound first-up record and is a chance to be prominent over 1400m. NUGGET (2) is consistent and is one of the each-way chances while AYRTON (1) hasn’t raced for a year but is classy.

SUGGESTED BET: Is It Me to win.

MARKET MOVER: Is It Me $3.30 - $2.80.

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RACE 5: 2:20PM GROUP 2 MSS SECURITY SIRES’ PRODUCE STAKES (1400m)

VINROCK (3) looked smart at the jumpouts and lived up to that promise on debut. He’ll have no issue with the 1400m and has drawn perfectly. SUNLIT SERENADE (16) has drawn awkwardly but showed ability on debut and will be fitter. ARCORA (7) pushed forward and only went down narrowly on debut and blinkers go on for this. ONAVUITTON (10) ran well on debut and has won a jumpout since.

SUGGESTED BET: Vinrock to win.

MARKET MOVER: Tycoon Star $3.20 - $2.80.

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RACE 6: 2:55PM TAB AUSTRALIAN CUP PRELUDE (2000m)

Interesting contest but ARAMCO (10) could measure up to this after a solid first-up effort over 1600m while he’s unbeaten second-up. SMOKIN’ ROMANS (2) went well first-up and races well over this trip. DUKE DE SESSA (1) has had four weeks since his surprise first-up win and he’s trialled soundly since. DASHING DUCHESS (11) is on the fresh side after an honest first-up effort at Caulfield.

SUGGESTED BET: Aramco each-way.

MARKET MOVER: Middle Earth $5.50 - $5.

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RACE 7: 3:30PM GROUP 1 THE ALL-STAR MILE (1600m)

Disappointingly small field for the All-Star Mile but MR BRIGHTSIDE (1) was game in the Futurity Stakes and can go one better than his second in last year’s event. TOM KITTEN (2) ran well after having little luck first-up and will be better for it. ATISHU (7) is a quality mare with a great record over the Flemington 1600m. RISE AT DAWN (6) is the likely leader and could be in this for a long way.

SUGGESTED BET: Box trifecta 1, 2, 6, 7

MARKET MOVER: Another Wil $3.20 - $2.80.

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RACE 8: 4:10PM GROUP 2 TAB & WORLD POOL KEWNEY STAKES (1600m)

Hard to go past TREASURETHE MOMENT (1) after her dominant win over 1400m first-up and the fact she is heavily advantaged at level weights. JENNI THE FOX (7) is a developing type that should go well over the 1600m. TOO DARN LIZZIE (8) went well first-up and should give them something to chase. CILACAP (6) got the money first-up and will be fitter again.

SUGGESTED BET: Quinella 1 & 7.

MARKET MOVER: Cilacap $9.50 - $8

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RACE 9: 4:50PM YULONG NEWMARKET HANDICAP (1200m)

Many chances here ARKANSAW KID (3) is over the odds with his strong record down the Flemington straight while he has drawn to race in the right part of the track. JOLIESTAR (5) is a brilliant mare that wasn’t far away in Sydney first-up. STRETAN ANGEL (8) did a good job first-up in the Lightning Stakes and goes well second-up. HEADWALL (12) was unlucky in the Oakleigh Plate and could show up at odds.

SUGGESTED BET: Arkansaw Kid each-way.

MARKET MOVER: Rey Magnerio $9 - $8.

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RACE 10: 5:30PM GROUP 3 HERALD SUN MATRON STAKES (1600m)

JENNILALA (6) could end the day on a high for punters with her impressive first-up record while she has trialled well leading up to this. SO GLAMOROUS (8) chased well behind an easy winner second-up and has drawn perfectly. MOLLY BLOOM (1) was honest first-up and has won a couple over this trip. WROTE TO ARATAKI (3) got the money over 1400m first-up and could show something at her first 1600m run.

SUGGESTED BET: Jennilala each-way.

MARKET MOVER: Smokin’ Princess $5.50 - $5.

Originally published as Brad Waters runs his expert eye over racing at Flemington on Saturday

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Original URL: https://www.thechronicle.com.au/sport/horse-racing/brad-waters-runs-his-expert-eye-over-racing-at-flemington-on-saturday/news-story/5d353eff3195ec497ed8210069339fd9