Qld politics: Poll finds LNP support holding steady since election

Nearly four months since the LNP swept to power in Queensland, a new poll reveals how the party’s support compared with Labor’s.

Labor’s Steven Miles (left) and the LNP’s David Crisafulli in the final leaders’ debate before the October state election

Premier David Crisafulli is maintaining his election-winning lead over Labor, but there’s been no honeymoon bounce for the government, new polling reveals.

The first polling since the LNP’s election victory on October 26, conducted by DemosAu, shows the government’s 56-44 per cent two-party lead unchanged, but both it and Labor have suffered a fall in the primary vote.

The government’s primary vote is down 1.5 percentage points from the October 26 election to 40 per cent, while Labor has slid 2.4 points to 30 per cent.

DemosAu head of research George Hasanakos said Mr Crisafulli had kept support steady.

“The results of the DemosAu Queensland poll indicate that the state LNP have been able to maintain their election-winning voter support after nearly four months in office,” he said.

“Both major parties have seen minor drops in their primary vote, within the poll’s margin of error.”

There has been no post-election bounce occasionally experienced by new governments, however Opposition Leader Steven Miles has also been unable to budge Labor’s vote.

Mr Miles’s leadership came under attack in parliament on Tuesday, with Mr Crisafulli declaring “he won’t make the distance” to the 2028 election.

The Greens, who lost South Brisbane at the October election, have recorded a 2.1-percentage-point increase in their primary vote to 12 per cent.

Premier David Crisafulli on Tuesday

One Nation is up two points to 10 per cent.

The poll of 1004 Queenslanders was conducted between February 10 and 14.

Mr Hasanakos said age was the “biggest demographic cleavage” between the two major parties.

Just 40 per cent of people under 32 support the LNP, rising to 52 per cent of people aged 35-44 and 63 per cent of those over 55.

Federally, support for Anthony Albanese’s Labor in Queensland has increased 3.6 points since the 2022 election to 31 per cent, enough to win back Griffith from Greens MP Max Chandler-Mather.

Support for Peter Dutton’s Coalition has slid 0.6 points since the election to 39 per cent.

However the Coalition continues to command a significant lead over Labor in Queensland with a 53-47 per cent two-party lead.

Four per cent of voters remain undecided.

“With a long term Labor state government now gone, federal Labor now has a better chance to grow support in Queensland,” Mr Hasanakos said.

“While the Federal Coalition has had long-term electoral success in Queensland, it should not take its seats for granted in 2025.

“Federal Labor’s slight advantage over its state counterpart is built on polling better among over-55s, a Labor weakness.”

Originally published as Qld politics: Poll finds LNP support holding steady since election