Qld election 2024: Who the betting companies think will win in Wide Bay Burnett

Betting companies have shared their odds on this Saturday’s QLD state election, as an Independent candidate on the Fraser Coast is forced to withdraw ‘inaccurate’ how-to-vote cards.

Adrian Tantari member for Hervey Bay, Premier Steven Miles and Health Minister Shannon Fentiman announce a new Satellite Hospital for Hervey Bay, Urraween Ambulance Station. Picture: Liam Kidston

Hervey Bay Labor MP Adrian Tantari will not have a job this time next week, according to two reputable betting agencies who have revealed their odds for the Saturday, October 28, Queensland state election.

But Mr Tantari was not letting the predictions of Sportsbet and Bet365 deter him on Tuesday.

Sportsbet had the sitting member at $5 to hold onto his seat, while LNP candidate David Lee was at $1.08 to claim it.

Any other result was offering odds of $14.

The odds offered by Bet365 were even worse for Mr Tantari, where the LNP was at $1.03 to win.

Mr Tantari, who was treated for prostate cancer earlier this year, is at $10, any other is at $21, and the Australian Greens are at $101.

But Mr Tantari said that like any other election, anything could happen.

“At the end of the day, Aussies will have a punt on anything,” he said.

“Last time around the odds were stacked heavily against me.”

When Mr Tantari claimed the seat in 2020, he ran against a new LNP candidate in Steve Coleman.

Mr Coleman was selected as the candidate after the lengthy reign of four-term LNP member Ted Sorensen.

“The idea that it’s a safe Liberal seat was turned on its head at the last election,” Mr Tantari said.

He said he did not think betting odds were necessarily an accurate representation of the community’s views.

In Bundaberg, the odds were also against Labor incumbent Tom Smith on Sportsbet.

There the LNP’s Bree Watson was at $1.07 to win and Labor was at $5.25 odds to win.

Any other party was at $14 odds.

At Bet365, the LNP in Bundaberg was at $1.04 to win, while Labor was at $9 and any other party was at $31.

The Australian Greens had odds of $67.

Attempts were made to contact Mr Smith but he had not responded at the time of publishing.

In Maryborough the news was better for Labor.

At Sportsbet, incumbent member Bruce Saunders was at $1.22 to hold the seat, with the LNP at $3.25 and any other party at $14.

Premier Steven Miles kicks off campaigning in Bundaberg a week out from the election with a visit to Angels Mini Mart with Bundaberg MP Tom Smith and a press conference. Pics Adam Head

Bet365 also had Mr Saunders odds-on to hold onto the seat at $1.14 and the LNP’s John Barounis was at $4.50.

Any other party was at $26 and the Australian Greens were at $101 to take the seat.

Mr Saunders said he didn’t go by what betting companies were predicting.

“Every election is hard and every election is different,” he said.

“Time will tell, it’s not over until the last vote.

“I’ll continue to work for Maryborough right up until the last minute.”

Neither Bet365 or Sportsbet were offering odds on the Gympie electorate ahead of Saturday’s election, considered a safe National party seat and a shoe-in for incumbent LNP MP Tony Perrett.

It comes after the Electoral Commission Queensland confirmed the how-to-vote cards of Maryborough Independent candidate Jamie Miller had to be because of an inaccuracy with a candidate’s name.

“All political parties and candidates who intend to distribute how-to-vote cards on election day must submit those cards to the ECQ for approval,” she said.

“While reviewing the card submitted by Mr Miller, the ECQ identified that a candidate’s name was misspelt.

“In accordance with the ECQ’s policy which requires that candidates’ names be spelled correctly, available here, the card was rejected.

“Mr Miller has until 5pm Wednesday 23 October 2024 to resubmit his card for consideration.”

It is unknown which candidate’s name was misspelt on the card.

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Originally published as Qld election 2024: Who the betting companies think will win in Wide Bay Burnett