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Cattle industry, farmers, could bear the brunt of the Top End nonsoon

While eager surfers took advantages of the churning ocean off Nightcliff, a leading Northern Territory knowledge hub has warned of the potential impacts to the agricultural sector if the tropical monsoon does not deliver.

Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin

A leading Northern Territory knowledge hub has warned of the potential impacts to the Territory’s agricultural sector if the tropical monsoon does not unload over the Top End this Wet.

Northern Hub regional soil co-ordinator Emily Hinds said while the monsoon typically arrived in late December, its no-show so far could have consequences for the NT’s pastoral sector.

“In many pastoral regions of Western Australia, rainfall has been above the long-term median, ensuring strong pasture growth,” Ms Hinds said.

“However, areas like Darwin, Katherine, and Tennant Creek remain below average for rainfall totals, raising some concerns for water availability and long-term agricultural planning.

Northern Hub regional soil co-ordinator Emily Hinds.
Northern Hub regional soil co-ordinator Emily Hinds.

“Dependent on how the remainder of the wet season goes, and the movement of low-pressure troughs in the coming week, the pastoral industry in some areas of the Territory may need to address herd and pasture management challenges, in terms of balancing forage budgets and stocking rates.”

Ms Hinds’ comments come after NT historian Peter Forrest highlighted the potential risks of the monsoon’s non-arrival.

His research indicated the Top End had twice previously missed out on the monsoon, in 1906 and 1952, delivering dire consequences, especially in the north Australian pastoral industry.

“The year 1952 was a seasonal disaster in the Northern Territory and across much of Queensland,” Mr Forrest said.

“Worst affected areas were probably the Barkly Tablelands and Central Australia, but The Gulf country and north Queensland regions suffered badly too.

NT historian Peter Forrest with his wife Sheila.
NT historian Peter Forrest with his wife Sheila.

“In 1952, the early storms were light and fluky and the monsoons proper did not arrive at all – with the result that the northern cattle country was extremely stressed at the very beginning of the year, just when seasonal conditions should have been excellent or at least good.

“The result was that mustering could not commence because stock were too weak and cows and calves began to die early in the year. Stock routes did not open and stock movement ceased because the natural waterholes were still dry.

“At that time there were comparatively few bores or other artificial waters on the stock routes and stations. Consequently cattle could not be moved – there were then no road trains that could do the job efficiently or economically.

Surfing Top End-style at Nightcliff beach. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Surfing Top End-style at Nightcliff beach. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin

“By May, all hope was abandoned of any relief before November at the earliest and losses were huge, aggravated by a cold winter. Probably about 200,000 head died in the NT, about 25 per cent of the Territory herd at the time. There were similar losses in affected areas of north Queensland.

“The losses were compounded in future years because of the losses of breeders and the missed calvings in 1952 and 1953 – it took the northern industry years to recover.”

Bureau of Meteorology climatologist Zhi-Weng Chua said monsoonal conditions could hit the Top End either Friday or Saturday.

Rain is forecast for all three days, with modelling showing it could range from about 5mm to 50mm.

“There are certain criteria for declaring the monsoon in Darwin, and we haven’t reached those conditions yet, but it does seem quite possible from Friday, and more likely from Saturday onwards,” he said.

As winds picked up this week, NT News photographer Pema Tamang Pakhrin headed to Nightcliff to photograph thrillseeking Territorians braving the churning chocolate water and coffee rock to drag out the surfboards.

SEE THE PHOTOS

Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Tuco and Astra enjoying the waves at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Tuco and Astra enjoying the waves at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Viewers watching the high-level surfing at Top End in Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Viewers watching the high-level surfing at Top End in Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin
Top End Surfing at Nightcliff beach, Darwin. Picture: Pema Tamang Pakhrin

Originally published as Cattle industry, farmers, could bear the brunt of the Top End nonsoon

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Original URL: https://www.thechronicle.com.au/news/northern-territory/cattle-industry-farmers-could-bear-the-brunt-of-the-top-end-nonsoon/news-story/3871d42100d6b1640eb5b37c23cc8374