The fall of Dutton: Critical seats across Australia that shaped the Federal Election 2025

While Peter Dutton comes to terms with a devastating election loss, we’ve taken a deeper look at the key seats across the country that secured Anthony Albanese another term. SEE THE DATA.

It’s official — the Labor Party has won the 2025 Federal Election, leaving Opposition Leader Peter Dutton to apologise to Coalition voters after a historic defeat.
Here are the key seats that shaped the result.

Dickson, QLD

LABOR GAIN

Peter Dutton has become the first party leader since John Howard to lose his own seat after suffering about a 10 per cent swing against him. He faced fatal attacks from three-time Labor candidate Ali France and independent Ellie Smith in this seat that has historically always been marginal but held by Dutton since 2001. He conceded the seat at 9.30pm.

Bennelong, NSW

LABOR HOLD

Labor MP Jerome Laxale thrashed challenger Scott Yung for the Sydney electorate previously held on a 0.04 per cent margin.

Labor waged a consistent smear campaign against Mr Yung, but as polling day neared, both sides said the contest would come down to a handful of votes.

It was a different story as results came in with early counting already showing the seat was staying with Labor with Laxale significantly growing his margin.

Gilmore, NSW

LABOR HOLD

Low-key Labor MP Fiona Philips was up against former NSW transport minister Andrew Constance. In their last face-off in 2022, Mr Constance came within a few hundred votes of winning the seat for the Liberals.

The Liberals were confident about the seat but Fiona Phillips will hold the seat with a 7.2 per cent swing to Labor.

Bradfeild, NSW

TOO CLOSE

One of the last remaining Liberal seats that survived the teal bloodbath of 2022 is once again facing a close contest. Retiring sitting MP and former communication minister Paul Fletcher is being replaced by Salesforce executive Giselle Kapterian against teal challenger Nicolette Boele. Early voting showed the Liberals with a strong lead on the primary vote but it was still too close to call with the Teal slightly ahead on two party preferred basis.

Banks, NSW

LABOR GAIN

The Coalition has lost one of its star frontbenchers in a shock casuality of Labor’s red wave.

Banks MP David Coleman lost the seat to Zhi Soon.

The Labor candidate snatched the seat with a 6.6 per cent swing towards him.

Mr Coleman was the architect of the social media ban that was adopted by Labor and had recently been promoted — against stiff internal competition — to the home affairs portfolio.

Melbourne, VIC

LABOR AHEAD

Late on Saturday night, Greens leader Adam Bandt was at risk of becoming the second party leader to lose his own seat. Bandt had a decent lead on the primary vote but was trailing just behind Labor’s Sarah Witty on a two-party-preferred basis. There was about a 7 per cent swing to Labor late last night.

Goldstein, VIC

TOO CLOSE

Goldstein was one of six seats won in the 2022 teal wave. Tim Wilson, who held the seat since 2016, lost to teal Zoe Daniel at the last poll but is determined to win it back for the Liberals.

Griffith, QLD

LABOR WIN

Griffith was a dark horse for Labor with Renee Coffey leading against Greens MP and outspoken housing spokesman Max Chandler-Mather. Chandler-Mather is among the minor party’s strongest campaigners and was the architect of the Green Queensland wave of 2022. Now he has lost his seat.

Brisbane, QLD

LABOR GAIN

Both the LNP and Labor were hopeful of taking the seat from low-profile Greens MP Stephen Bates. Bates suffered a swing against him with Labor’s Madonna Jarrett winning the seat.

Ryan, QLD

GREENS AHEAD

The LNP was confident about taking back the seat they had held since its creation in 1972 until the 2022 election when it turned Green. But the Greens were on track to hold the seat on a two-party-preferred basis despite the Liberals having a stronger primary vote.

Sturt, SA

LABOR GAIN

Despite being held by the Liberals for 67 of the past 70 years, Sturt was the most marginal federal electorate in South Australia. Labor has taken the seat from James Stevens thanks to a more than 8 per cent swing.

Bullwinkel, WA

LNP AHEAD

Based on Labor’s performance in 2022, the new seat Bullwinkel is considered a notionally Labor seat. The WA seat was counted late with the Liberals ahead on two-party preferred, boosted by the Nationals. Labor’s Trish Cook was ahead on the primary vote.

Solomon, NT

LABOR AHEAD

Luke Gosling won the seat comfortably last time but it could change hands thanks to a swing to Country Liberal Lisa Bayliss.

Bayliss is ahead on a strong primary vote but Gosling could hold on n a two-party-preferred basis.

With Peter Dutton now kicked out of his own seat, find out here who could become the next Leader of the Opposition.

Originally published as The fall of Dutton: Critical seats across Australia that shaped the Federal Election 2025