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Gold Digger: How a ‘doom loop’ could drive gold higher again in 2026

Will gold prices continue to rip in 2026? The World Gold Council sees the case for more outsized gains if we wind up in a ‘doom loop’.

What's bad for the world could be good for gold again in 2026. Pic: Getty Images
What's bad for the world could be good for gold again in 2026. Pic: Getty Images

Gold could rise as much as 15-30% in 2026 if the world economy falls into a "doom loop", according to the World Gold Council.

While it doesn't tip prices, the industry body remains optimistic about the outlook for bullion despite clocking more than 50 record highs this year and sitting close to its peak at US$4206/oz.

The laws of gravity suggest what goes up must go down, but after a ~61% run this year – the best since 1979 – there's still no suggestion the fundamentals underpinning record gold prices are subsiding.

To be clear, the doom loop is just one of three potential scenarios the WGC is modelling.

A moderately bullish one suggests a mild economic slowdown with lower US interest rates, a softer US dollar and rising risk aversion, sending gold 5-15% higher depending on how far and deep the US Fed cuts rates.

A bearish scenario would see gold correct 5-20% should reflation set in stronger than expected, pushing yields and the US dollar higher, crimping retail demand.

That bullish 'doom loop' scenario suggests a deeper market downturn leading to sharply falling yields, heightened geopolitical stress after an already tense 2025 and a flight to safety.

A gold miner can only dream.

Or can they? Where does the World Gold Council think we could be going in 2026?

Gold prices could land in a huge range depending on what happens in the broader economy in 2026. Pic: WGC
Gold prices could land in a huge range depending on what happens in the broader economy in 2026. Pic: WGC

Push ahead or pull back

Markets are largely pricing in a continuation of the status quo, according to the WGC's analysts.

But with geopolitical uncertainty still high, it's difficult to ascertain what will unfold. Indeed, the WGC's owns Gold Return Attribution Model assigns 12 percentage points of gold's 2025 return to geopolitical risk, on top of four attributed to a weaker US dollar.

"This underscores the outsized influence of politics and macro uncertainty on gold’s performance so far during Trump’s second term," the WGC said.

"Further, price momentum and investor positioning contributed nine percentage points, while economic growth added 10 points."

Gold is also sensitive to 'unforeseen events' like Donald Trump's Liberation Day tariffs on April 2, which roiled equity markets and sent investors flocking to safe assets.

"Looking ahead to 2026, markets are largely pricing in a continuation of the status quo, but divergences in macro data laden with a heavy geoeconomic blanket, mean that uncertainty will remain high," the WGC says.

"Concerns about a softening US labour market are mounting, while debates persist over whether inflation will stay stubbornly high or face renewed upward pressure. At the same time, and despite some progress, geopolitical frictions continue to simmer."

Shallow slip

In the shallow slip scenario outlined in the report titled Push Ahead or Pull Back, the WGC has considered a world where the US labour market softens and heat comes out of AI-inflated US equities.

"Our analysis shows that, in this environment, gold could rise 5%-15% in 2026 from current levels, depending on the severity of the economic slowdown, and the speed and magnitude of the rate cuts," the WGC says.

"This would represent a solid return in a normal year, but following 2025’s strong performance, it would still be considered a noteworthy follow-up. The combination of lower interest rates and a weaker dollar – both of which remain cyclically high – have historically been a source of support for gold.

"In addition, continued strategic central bank buying and potential new investment entrants, such as insurance companies in China or pension funds in India, could further support gold’s positive trend even if the economic environment remains relatively benign."

Doom loop

A deeper, more synchronised slowdown which sees businesses scale back investing and households cut spending could lead to a scenario that is even more bullish for gold.

"US growth weakens further, and inflation falls below target, prompting the Fed to cut rates aggressively. Long-term yields decline sharply, and the US dollar softens as policy eases, contributing to softer global trade and broad commodity weakness," the WGC says.

That situation could create "exceptionally strong tailwinds" for bullion.

"Investment demand, particularly via gold ETFs would remain a key driver, offsetting weakness in other areas of the market, such as jewellery or technology. Rising prices have historically spurred investor interest, accelerating momentum," the group said, noting there is more room for investors to join the run on gold.

"Global gold ETFs have seen US$77bn of inflows so far this year, adding more than 700t to their holdings.

"Even if we move the starting point back further to May 2024, collective gold ETF holdings are up by approximately 850t. This figure is less than half of what we have seen in previous gold bull cycles leaving ample room for growth."

Reflation

The prospect of a correction, of course, can't be discounted, though even if gold comes off 5-20% as the WGC suggests it could, equities will still be sitting on good margins.

If reflation takes place, investors could become risk-on and rotate into equities and assets with high yields. But there could be a buffer.

"However, historical analysis also shows that opportunistic buying from consumers and long-term investors could act as a buffer in this kind of environment," the WGC says.

"Despite this, the combination of higher opportunity costs, risk-on sentiment, and negative price momentum could create challenging conditions for gold, reinforcing this as the most bearish scenario in our outlook."

There remain wildcards. Central bank demand remains strong and even with record net inflows in the past three years, emerging market central banks continue to hold a much lower share of their overall reserves than advanced economies in bullion.

There remains impetus for emerging markets to add to their gold holdings. Pic: WGC
There remains impetus for emerging markets to add to their gold holdings. Pic: WGC

Meanwhile, recycling has been less pronounced than may be expected at current prices, with gold's use as collateral against loans in places like India curbing the impulse to liquidate and cash in.

While a bearish scenario is plausible, the WGC suggests investors will continue to maintain gold exposure in the face of serious macroeconomic uncertainty.

Winners and losers

Here’s how ASX-listed precious metals stocks are performing:

Topics

CODE COMPANY PRICE WEEK % MONTH % 6 MONTH % YEAR % YTD % MARKET CAP
MRR Minrex Resources Ltd 0.0115 5% -12% 28% 44% 64% $ 11,933,542.53
NPM Newpeak Metals 0.021 -9% -9% 75% 91% 91% $ 6,582,866.48
MTC Metalstech Ltd 0.27 2% 2% 108% 170% 93% $ 63,314,163.60
GED Golden Deeps 0.058 7% 5% 142% 87% 132% $ 13,224,413.31
G88 Golden Mile Res Ltd 0.007 -13% -22% -61% -22% -22% $ 4,405,695.23
LAT Latitude 66 Limited 0.063 -13% 15% 75% -3% 66% $ 9,187,328.56
NMR Native Mineral Res 0.06 -13% -32% -71% 100% 54% $ 59,199,392.21
AQX Alice Queen Ltd 0.005 0% 0% 67% -29% -38% $ 7,534,863.12
SLZ Sultan Resources Ltd 0.01 11% 0% 100% 67% 67% $ 4,826,884.49
KSN Kingston Resources 0.115 0% -8% -4% 30% 62% $ 96,604,644.05
AMI Aurelia Metals Ltd 0.235 0% 0% -31% 38% 38% $ 406,217,433.60
GIB Gibb River Diamonds 0.058 -3% 2% 61% 61% 45% $ 12,441,547.81
KCN Kingsgate Consolid. 4.61 10% 7% 111% 226% 259% $ 1,203,700,401.64
TMX Terrain Minerals 0.005 11% 0% 100% 67% 67% $ 14,831,015.87
BNR Bulletin Res Ltd 0.051 6% 9% -23% 34% 31% $ 14,974,279.47
NXM Nexus Minerals Ltd 0.08 5% 1% 5% 45% 78% $ 47,093,249.81
LM8 Lunnonmetalslimited 0.31 5% 4% 35% 19% 24% $ 69,235,070.78
CST Castile Resources 0.1075 2% 8% 103% 43% 34% $ 33,632,343.80
YRL Yandal Resources 0.25 -2% -15% 108% 4% 43% $ 94,877,233.00
FAU First Au Ltd 0.007 0% -22% 133% 180% 250% $ 18,350,392.95
GWR GWR Group Ltd 0.13 18% 18% 40% 48% 63% $ 40,450,831.88
IVR Investigator Silver 0.071 42% 45% 173% 87% 255% $ 134,063,795.62
IPTDA Impact Minerals 0.047 -6% -22% -6% -55% -50% $ 23,720,496.00
BNZ Benzmining 1.49 2% -2% 235% 273% 332% $ 318,189,353.34
MOH Moho Resources 0.008 14% 0% 100% 60% 60% $ 7,101,992.79
SMS Starmineralslimited 0.042 -5% -21% 83% 11% 17% $ 8,906,911.96
MVL Marvel Gold Limited 0.018 13% 6% 33% 100% 100% $ 24,130,803.78
PRX Prodigy Gold NL 0.062 2% 13% 3% 3% 55% $ 21,573,975.87
AAU Antilles Gold Ltd 0.009 13% 0% 125% 80% 200% $ 27,965,712.15
RND Rand Mining Ltd 2.44 1% 8% 27% 57% 61% $ 139,346,104.45
CAZ Cazaly Resources 0.031 3% -14% 107% 72% 121% $ 17,420,923.35
BMR Ballymore Resources 0.26 16% 63% 58% 68% 117% $ 52,746,650.55
DRE Dreadnought Resources Ltd 0.027 -13% -16% 108% 80% 125% $ 156,625,999.96
ZNC Zenith Minerals Ltd 0.097 0% 3% 143% 131% 143% $ 56,327,290.37
REZ Resourc & En Grp Ltd 0.016 -6% 0% -11% -38% -30% $ 11,592,088.82
LEX Lefroy Exploration 0.18 0% 3% 80% 157% 157% $ 44,715,624.84
ERM Emmerson Resources 0.3 5% -2% 140% 426% 290% $ 193,199,237.10
AS1 Asara Resources Ltd 0.081 13% 13% 50% 238% 326% $ 142,682,826.69
CYL Catalyst Metals 6.52 -4% -5% -8% 140% 153% $ 1,652,261,598.90
KAL Kalgoorliegoldmining 0.064 12% 3% 36% 156% 256% $ 29,147,842.88
MLS Metals Australia 0.026 -7% -13% 44% 8% 13% $ 19,024,707.62
SRN Surefire Rescs NL 0.002 33% -20% 0% -40% -32% $ 8,051,218.50
WA8 Warriedarresourltd 0.265 0% 13% 130% 410% 502% $ 332,993,866.69
HMX Hammer Metals Ltd 0.024 -11% -17% -25% -31% -27% $ 23,211,726.20
WCN White Cliff Min Ltd 0.017 3% -17% -35% 6% 6% $ 44,569,780.22
AVM Advance Metals Ltd 0.1075 30% 17% 129% 236% 216% $ 40,949,106.35
GA8 Goldarc Resources 0.065 0% 30% 225% 117% 117% $ 36,888,754.50
ARI Arika Resources 0.032 14% -3% -22% 7% 19% $ 26,081,209.51
CTO Citigold Corp Ltd 0.01 -17% -23% 150% 122% 150% $ 33,000,000.00
SMI Santana Minerals Ltd 0.81 0% 9% 29% 67% 67% $ 677,541,660.72
M2R Miramar 0.0025 -17% -17% -29% -38% -17% $ 2,987,308.11
MHC Manhattan Corp Ltd 0.026 13% 0% 18% 30% 37% $ 13,376,966.93
GRL Godolphin Resources 0.015 -6% 0% 50% 0% 3% $ 10,855,011.52
SVG Savannah Goldfields 0.0195 -3% -7% -11% 6% 6% $ 40,689,963.74
EMC Everest Metals Corp 0.125 19% 4% -17% -4% -7% $ 33,713,377.13
GUL Gullewa Limited 0.081 0% 4% 9% 37% 45% $ 18,749,906.79
CY5 Cygnus Metals Ltd 0.135 13% -4% 38% 13% 35% $ 138,375,245.84
G50 G50Corp Ltd 0.5825 6% 12% 233% 199% 276% $ 116,423,840.07
ADV Ardiden Ltd 0.28 -7% -13% 87% 115% 107% $ 18,737,664.27
AAR Astral Resources NL 0.22 5% 13% 16% 63% 63% $ 331,885,261.35
VMC Venus Metals Cor Ltd 0.2 3% 54% 60% 208% 199% $ 39,518,084.40
NAE New Age Exploration 0.0025 0% -38% -17% -44% -29% $ 12,617,734.22
VKA Viking Mines Ltd 0.007 17% 0% 0% -30% -13% $ 9,518,281.83
LCL LCL Resources Ltd 0.006 0% -14% -14% -33% -40% $ 7,795,171.48
MTH Mithril Silver Gold 0.515 27% 1% 20% 41% 29% $ 95,954,000.48
ADG Adelong Gold Limited 0.0095 -14% -21% 90% 90% 111% $ 25,668,363.62
RMX Red Mount Min Ltd 0.028 -13% -7% 211% 180% 211% $ 24,252,854.02
PRS Prospech Limited 0.015 0% -17% -26% -48% -46% $ 7,329,166.33
TTM Titan Minerals 0.8 18% 40% 100% 60% 111% $ 209,156,366.83
AKA Aureka Limited 0.16 10% 23% 23% 52% 19% $ 19,864,400.72
AAM Aumegametals 0.036 3% -12% 13% -10% -14% $ 27,620,262.71
KZR Kalamazoo Resources 0.205 0% 14% 144% 159% 177% $ 53,188,462.58
BCN Beacon Minerals 2.59 2% 1% 123% 194% 194% $ 276,034,603.52
MAU Magnetic Resources 1.215 -3% 0% -31% -7% 10% $ 354,318,427.20
BC8 Black Cat Syndicate 1.0475 2% 13% 18% 40% 85% $ 736,609,672.23
EM2 Eagle Mountain 0.008 -11% 1% 62% -38% -10% $ 11,870,435.60
EMR Emerald Res NL 5.17 -2% 8% 6% 44% 59% $ 3,386,972,163.96
ABR Albrightmetals Ltd 0.004 -20% 0% -71% 0% 33% $ 5,942,662.66
HCH Hot Chili Ltd 1.16 29% 26% 91% 48% 66% $ 214,607,794.94
WAF West African Res Ltd 2.875 6% -5% 6% 90% 100% $ 3,151,943,824.32
MEU Marmota Limited 0.073 4% 12% 74% 92% 87% $ 87,342,628.46
NVA Nova Minerals Ltd 1.3 17% 57% 247% 431% 251% $ 478,371,336.14
SVL Silver Mines Limited 0.1975 10% 23% 88% 99% 153% $ 449,897,272.23
PGD Peregrine Gold 0.26 -5% 0% 73% 117% 86% $ 26,590,708.35
ICL Iceni Gold 0.068 28% 19% -19% 17% -4% $ 22,697,491.41
FG1 Flynngold 0.022 10% -8% -31% -18% -11% $ 12,781,761.22
WWI West Wits Mining Ltd 0.053 2% -2% 77% 253% 279% $ 203,241,711.26
RML Resolution Minerals 0.053 -22% -39% 212% 430% 342% $ 97,385,752.52
AAJ Aruma Resources Ltd 0.018 3% -5% 100% 29% 50% $ 7,018,029.56
HWK Hawk Resources. 0.03 11% -3% 100% 15% 36% $ 10,159,853.97
GMN Gold Mountain Ltd 0.054 -10% -23% -20% -40% -60% $ 9,891,314.24
MEG Megado Minerals Ltd 0.031 19% -3% 121% 107% 82% $ 16,787,764.81
HMG Hamelingoldlimited 0.062 -2% -23% -30% -6% -3% $ 12,294,821.40
TBR Tribune Res Ltd 6.2 4% -2% 22% 38% 45% $ 332,647,608.18
FML Focus Minerals Ltd 3.01 0% 18% 643% 1724% 1671% $ 851,079,175.65
ARV Artemis Resources 0.009 0% 0% 29% 0% 13% $ 35,823,760.57
HRN Horizon Gold Ltd 0.82 12% 11% 42% 84% 72% $ 134,018,623.33
CLA Celsius Resource Ltd 0.011 0% -8% 57% 0% 0% $ 35,656,372.97
QML Qmines Limited 0.051 -4% -4% 46% -16% -6% $ 32,566,214.67
RDN Raiden Resources Ltd 0.005 0% -17% -23% -69% -55% $ 17,254,457.21
TCG Turaco Gold Limited 0.745 51% 73% 39% 148% 192% $ 710,619,255.23
KCC Kincora Copper 0.92 -5% -29% 149% 149% 241% $ 19,963,669.32
GBZ GBM Rsources Ltd 0.0325 -2% -21% 364% 306% 306% $ 144,588,899.87
DTM Dart Mining NL 0.05 14% 0% -5% -70% -63% $ 10,275,722.53
MKR Manuka Resources. 0.062 -16% 17% 51% 81% 126% $ 83,030,015.45
AUC Ausgold Limited 0.9475 10% 22% 38% 134% 126% $ 453,818,802.20
ANX Anax Metals Ltd 0.008 -11% -20% -11% -20% -33% $ 7,062,460.54
EMU EMU NL 0.039 -11% -20% 131% 49% 54% $ 14,308,277.30
SFM Santa Fe Minerals 0.28 6% 14% 618% 866% 803% $ 32,153,354.87
PNR Pantoro Gold Limited 4.82 -6% -4% 31% 189% 215% $ 1,777,755,890.57
CMM Capricorn Metals 13.8 -5% 6% 37% 114% 120% $ 6,353,359,569.90
VRL Verity Resources 0.019 19% 0% -41% -11% -3% $ 7,317,584.35
HAW Hawthorn Resources 0.08 -4% -9% 67% 82% 95% $ 26,801,249.04
BGD Bartongoldholdings 1.27 17% 10% 62% 388% 418% $ 294,534,915.35
SVY Stavely Minerals Ltd 0.013 -4% -28% 8% -41% -24% $ 8,902,222.97
AGC AGC Ltd 0.21 17% 14% 27% 8% 35% $ 55,202,464.17
RGL Riversgold 0.007 17% 0% 75% 100% 75% $ 14,585,988.15
TSODD Tesoro Gold Ltd 0.995 -8% 18% 155% 176% 232% $ 171,248,641.50
GUE Global Uranium 0.063 9% 0% -5% 3% 5% $ 29,611,983.64
CPM Coopermetalslimited 0.055 6% -10% 57% 17% 20% $ 4,074,493.80
MM8 Medallion Metals. 0.42 5% 1% 47% 372% 250% $ 254,565,152.08
FFM Firefly Metals Ltd 1.8175 1% -3% 76% 71% 96% $ 1,249,253,950.56
CBY Canterbury Resources 0.022 0% -12% -19% 7% 0% $ 6,202,482.77
SLA Solara Minerals 0.19 3% -5% 23% -3% 111% $ 11,550,790.49
SFR Sandfire Resources 16.835 8% 7% 46% 62% 81% $ 7,771,363,241.40
TAM Tanami Gold NL 0.067 -1% 5% 29% 131% 123% $ 79,906,599.13
NWM Norwest Minerals 0.013 18% 0% 18% -31% 8% $ 12,361,283.41
ALK Alkane Resources Ltd 1.045 7% 1% 36% 103% 105% $ 1,427,255,740.52
BMODA Bastion Minerals 0.037 -38% -38% -22% -76% -71% $ 2,502,289.76
IDA Indiana Resources 0.038 -3% -14% 21% 58% 49% $ 24,461,833.40
GSM Golden State Mining 0.019 19% 19% 171% 138% 138% $ 8,010,659.76
NSM Northstaw 0.034 0% -8% 4% 91% 115% $ 12,652,470.35
GSN Great Southern 0.029 -3% 0% 26% 81% 93% $ 28,907,324.41
VAU Vault Minerals Ltd 4.905 1% 6% 62% 122% 129% $ 5,117,248,134.60
CDR Codrus Minerals Ltd 0.016 -20% -24% -60% -11% -6% $ 3,307,750.06
MDI Middle Island Res 0.026 -10% -4% 4% 73% 117% $ 28,806,331.13
WTM Waratah Minerals Ltd 0.555 1% -20% 54% 217% 258% $ 170,093,650.65
POL Polymetals Resources 1.1 17% 26% 29% 31% 38% $ 282,543,429.24
RDS Redstone Resources 0.003 20% 0% -33% 0% 20% $ 3,689,944.93
NAG Nagambie Resources 0.0105 -19% -19% -34% -54% -42% $ 9,863,579.00
BGL Bellevue Gold Ltd 1.43 11% 25% 51% 13% 27% $ 2,058,240,989.07
GBR Greatbould Resources 0.072 -4% 1% 11% 64% 67% $ 75,966,973.24
KAI Kairos Minerals Ltd 0.032 -3% -9% 23% 113% 167% $ 104,389,097.29
KAU Kaiser Reef 0.26 -4% 2% 37% 68% 63% $ 154,410,758.06
HRZ Horizon 0.068 -7% 31% 42% 70% 70% $ 221,886,884.66
CDT Castle Minerals 0.062 3% 3% -35% 3% 3% $ 10,750,523.17
RSG Resolute Mining 1.11 0% 26% 79% 164% 181% $ 2,342,665,614.30
EVN Evolution Mining Ltd 11.96 0% 15% 30% 139% 149% $ 23,758,269,970.50
CXU Cauldron Energy Ltd 0.022 16% 16% 193% 46% 88% $ 37,577,528.58
ALY Alchemy Resource Ltd 0.009 13% -10% 80% 29% 29% $ 10,692,686.30
NH3 Nh3Cleanenergyltd 0.085 -2% -15% 270% 305% 372% $ 62,025,377.33
OBM Ora Banda Mining Ltd 1.265 -2% 7% 0% 90% 95% $ 2,405,349,997.72
AVW Avira Resources Ltd 0.011 -15% -15% 38% -45% -45% $ 5,555,000.00
LCY Legacy Iron Ore 0.007 0% -13% -13% -30% -30% $ 68,334,298.09
PDI Predictive Disc Ltd 0.72 20% 35% 80% 194% 213% $ 1,903,926,130.08
MAT Matsa Resources 0.12 9% 21% 79% 179% 243% $ 118,086,247.75
ZAG Zuleika Gold Ltd 0.046 10% 44% 283% 188% 254% $ 38,109,596.72
GML Gateway Mining 0.074 -5% -20% 124% 196% 252% $ 174,211,114.43
SBM St Barbara Limited 0.5375 -4% 3% 51% 63% 139% $ 659,338,744.25
SBR Sabre Resources 0.012 9% -8% 50% 9% 20% $ 4,733,543.20
STK Strickland Metals 0.18 -5% 0% 30% 124% 137% $ 399,885,464.48
CEL Challenger Gold Ltd 0.125 9% 4% 33% 178% 166% $ 290,294,352.84
GG8 Gorilla Gold Mines 0.44 10% 14% -16% 83% 69% $ 309,829,295.48
NST Northern Star 26.25 -3% 10% 25% 63% 70% $ 37,327,884,290.08
OZM Ozaurum Resources 0.056 -5% -13% -31% 75% 87% $ 13,287,908.63
TG1 Techgen Metals Ltd 0.032 14% 3% 46% -4% -4% $ 11,800,737.09
AQI Alicanto Min Ltd 0.057 14% 43% 111% 58% 54% $ 49,198,202.73
KTA Krakatoa Resources 0.0105 -5% -19% 5% -5% 11% $ 11,807,093.32
ARN Aldoro Resources 0.44 2% -4% 42% 238% 16% $ 99,553,422.32
WGX Westgold Resources. 5.89 -3% 11% 86% 110% 108% $ 5,536,712,965.04
MBK Metal Bank Ltd 0.02 18% 18% 61% 23% 39% $ 12,943,699.92
A8G Australasian Metals 0.08 -9% -11% 21% -4% 1% $ 4,631,178.00
TAR Taruga Minerals 0.01 0% 11% 25% 0% 0% $ 7,137,540.58
DTR Dateline Resources 0.2525 -11% -3% 74% 7114% 7114% $ 834,017,673.60
S2R S2 Resources 0.076 -5% -13% -11% 13% 13% $ 40,372,206.16
NES Nelson Resources. 0.009 50% 50% 200% 200% 200% $ 17,572,754.62
TLM Talisman Mining 0.12 20% 9% -14% -49% -41% $ 22,598,441.88
BEZ Besragoldinc 0.037 -3% -35% -3% -40% -59% $ 15,235,787.42
PRU Perseus Mining Ltd 5.405 -3% 15% 36% 106% 110% $ 7,364,205,238.55
SPQ Superior Resources 0.009 -18% 13% 125% 29% 50% $ 23,739,827.25
PUR Pursuit Minerals 0.079 -1% 22% 84% -28% -18% $ 12,331,849.37
RMS Ramelius Resources 3.535 -3% 9% 21% 68% 71% $ 6,833,269,929.95
PKO Peako Limited 0.0035 17% 17% 17% 17% 17% $ 5,207,096.86
RKB Rokeby Resources Ltd 0.0035 -13% -22% -42% -30% -30% $ 6,392,964.03
A1G African Gold Ltd. 0.5225 66% 77% 207% 945% 850% $ 285,276,965.02
NMG New Murchison Gold 0.0405 9% 19% 153% 268% 350% $ 432,889,663.80
GNM Great Northern 0.049 -6% -27% 172% 227% 250% $ 23,219,426.50
KRM Kingsrose Mining Ltd 0.043 -2% -10% 39% 19% 23% $ 32,401,640.32
BTR Brightstar Resources 0.45 -3% 0% -22% -31% -10% $ 325,363,327.72
RRL Regis Resources 7.09 -3% 13% 36% 177% 178% $ 5,300,765,393.00
M24 Mamba Exploration 0.015 -6% -17% 15% 36% 25% $ 4,427,484.15
TRM Truscott Mining Corp 0.084 5% 8% 29% 8% 8% $ 16,437,839.04
TNC True North Copper 0.565 0% 77% 93% -81% -81% $ 71,971,275.22
KNB Koonenberrygold 0.042 2% -2% -33% 163% 250% $ 43,153,320.55
AWJ Auric Mining 0.28 6% 0% 51% -14% -18% $ 52,354,708.56
ENR Encounter Resources 0.405 1% -10% 72% 16% 25% $ 220,362,473.60
SNG Siren Gold 0.12 4% 9% 107% 85% 85% $ 33,001,299.87
STN Saturn Metals 0.5025 1% 9% 57% 97% 145% $ 272,437,602.51
USL Unico Silver Limited 0.6525 14% 29% 151% 203% 235% $ 375,738,096.64
AYM Australia United Min 0.004 33% 0% 33% 100% 0% $ 7,370,309.94
HAV Havilah Resources 0.58 32% 115% 231% 147% 158% $ 206,716,770.72
PNT Panthermetalsltd 0.008 -11% -23% -47% -47% -23% $ 2,450,236.38
MEK Meeka Metals Limited 0.2425 -5% 15% 56% 207% 215% $ 688,642,277.45
GMD Genesis Minerals 6.395 -5% 11% 32% 165% 159% $ 7,276,630,589.41
PGO Pacgold 0.062 -6% 0% -5% -23% -17% $ 25,847,717.11
FEG Far East Gold 0.16 -3% 10% 14% 3% -11% $ 58,724,392.48
MI6 Minerals260Limited 0.375 10% 34% 159% 200% 188% $ 744,239,999.88
GAL Galileo Mining Ltd 0.18 6% -18% 57% 57% 44% $ 35,572,486.86
RXL Rox Resources 0.41 5% -1% 41% 141% 105% $ 409,677,266.47
PTN Patronus Resources 0.07 -5% -3% 27% 19% 43% $ 102,069,755.65
CLZ Classic Min Ltd 0.001 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% $ 4,265,855.46
TGM Theta Gold Mines Ltd 0.175 3% 0% 25% 0% -3% $ 177,913,907.83
FAL Falconmetalsltd 0.54 -13% -16% 350% 286% 370% $ 116,954,764.85
SPD Southernpalladium 1.16 3% 10% 142% 66% 93% $ 134,626,778.76
TMB Tambourahmetals 0.083 0% -17% 315% 219% 295% $ 21,135,319.38
TMS Tennant Minerals Ltd 0.008 7% 14% 33% -24% -11% $ 8,527,123.32
AZY Antipa Minerals Ltd 0.63 -1% 13% -5% 133% 142% $ 423,942,540.16
PXX Polarx Limited 0.02 11% -5% 150% 150% 208% $ 54,335,675.14
TRE Toubani Res Ltd 0.375 -1% 21% 29% 127% 121% $ 200,914,062.20
AUN Aurumin 0.105 0% -5% 5% 84% 59% $ 53,760,888.09
GPR Geopacific Resources 0.0345 -9% -12% 73% 55% 73% $ 111,926,336.52
FXG Felix Gold Limited 0.415 4% -9% 152% 372% 394% $ 183,413,839.49
ILT Iltani Resources Lim 0.445 13% 13% 112% 218% 117% $ 32,243,472.93
BRX Belararoxlimited 0.081 -7% -8% 37% -60% -54% $ 18,716,267.19
TM1 Terra Metals Limited 0.12 -4% -23% 216% 329% 329% $ 102,879,368.41
TOR Torque Met 0.3 11% 30% 150% 500% 466% $ 162,351,390.30
ARD Argent Minerals 0.032 7% 23% 39% 60% 88% $ 58,807,226.14
LNQ Linqmineralslimited 0.21 17% 11% 0% 0% 0% $ 13,297,750.22
LM1 Leeuwin Metals Ltd 0.175 -3% -15% 9% 169% 25% $ 21,625,178.44
SS1 Sun Silver Limited 1.29 12% 41% 79% 48% 106% $ 166,970,061.72
SX2 Southgold Consol 7.82 3% -11% 13% 0% 0% $ 1,113,594,896.00
AA2 Ariana Resources PLC 0.3 9% 5% 0% 0% 0% $ 8,774,353.50
M2M Mtmalcolmminesnl 0.013 0% -19% -44% -42% -45% $ 6,713,462.15
BM1 Ballardmininglimited 0.5975 -9% 10% 0% 0% 0% $ 138,778,006.25
MEX Minerals Exploration 0.175 -8% -19% 88% 86% 97% $ 34,138,530.18
VTX Vertexmin 0.26 -2% 13% -4% 37% 25% $ 75,927,078.94
JAV Javelin Minerals Ltd 0.072 -4% 0% -23% -34% -23% $ 18,719,254.22
SNM Sentinel Metals 0.31 -3% 7% 0% 0% 0% $ 17,948,149.56
GGR Goldengloberesources 0.135 -7% -7% 0% 0% 0% $ 14,532,105.25
RRE Right Resources 0.2 11% 0% 0% 0% 0% $ 17,754,136.00
GDR Goldendragonmining 0.2 3% -2% 0% 0% 0% $ 6,564,999.80
PC2 Pc Gold Ltd 0.28 22% 24% 0% 0% 0% $ 40,713,881.15
OMX Orangeminerals 0.087 -2% 13% 45% 149% 200% $ 14,542,276.68
WCE Westcoastsilver Ltd 0.185 23% 42% 106% 263% 278% $ 57,862,051.63
RCR Rincon 0.015 -17% 0% 25% 15% 36% $ 4,733,436.50
CRS Caprice Resources 0.125 0% -14% 105% 468% 443% $ 90,373,394.15
MAG Magmatic Resrce Ltd 0.059 13% -6% 69% 59% 97% $ 30,133,862.52
CHN Chalice Mining Ltd 1.7275 -1% -8% 39% 29% 56% $ 653,697,392.88
ORE Orezone Gold Corp 1.745 10% 23% 0% 0% 0% $ 133,937,860.81
RXR Robex Resources 4.85 -5% 2% 56% 0% 0% $ 372,228,986.08
GGP Greatland Resources 8.37 14% 14% 0% 0% 0% $ 5,457,271,755.55
MMA Maronanmetalslimited 0.325 7% -2% 38% 51% 55% $ 82,977,529.80
LGM Legacy Minerals 0.2075 -6% -14% 15% 19% 43% $ 31,931,345.09
LDR Lode Resources 0.205 14% 3% 17% 95% 123% $ 32,356,829.00
BUS Bubalusresources 0.15 0% -3% 20% 7% 15% $ 8,034,321.12
BHL Black Horse Mining 0.35 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% $ 13,200,000.00

Gold medal performers

Who were some of the top precious metals names this week?

African Gold (ASX:A1G)

Tolga Kumova and Evan Cranston have printed a winner with African Gold, the owner of the Didievi gold project in Cote d'Ivoire securing a 50c per share takeover by Lundin and Zijin backed Montage Gold Corp valuing the company at $264m.

It comes after the explorer grew the resource at the site beyond 1Moz, taking advantage of rising gold prices and the aggressive investment strategy being employed by the mining giants in West Africa.

The deal came in at a 54% premium to A1G's 10-day VWAP of 32.5c per share, and marked a win for former Northern Star Resources (ASX:NST), Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO) and Hancock Prospecting operative Adam Oehlman, whose first go as an ASX CEO delivered an exit in around 12 months.

"This transaction represents a compelling outcome for African Gold shareholders at this stage of the Company’s evolution. It validates the scale, quality and strategic positioning of the Didievi Gold Project and provides our shareholders with continued exposure to the upside through ownership in a larger, well-capitalised Côte d’Ivoire-focused gold company," Oehlman said.

“The Board believes this proposed combination delivers scale, balance sheet strength and development expertise that materially de-risks Didievi and enhances its path toward production.”

Blaffo Guetto, Didievi's key deposit, clocks in at 12.4Mt at 2.5g/t for 989,000oz at a cut-off grade of 0.8g/t, or over 1Moz at a lower cut-off.

It comes with West African gold M&A really heating up – Perseus Mining (ASX:PRU) sent Predictive Discovery (ASX:PDI) shares soaring this week after gazumping a takeover bid from Robex Resources Inc (ASX:RXR) to secure its Bankan project in Guinea.

Turaco Gold (ASX:TCG)

And investors must be looking with great curiosity at free agent Turaco, which won the emerging company award at Diggers and Dealers this year.

Justin Tremain's Turaco boasts more than 4Moz of gold, albeit at lower grades, at its Afema project where a preliminary feasibility study is due in the June quarter of 2026.

Some big drill hits at the Herman and Woulo Woulo deposits at Afema were received well by punters on Monday before insto T. Rowe Price emerged as a substantial shareholder on Friday after a string of on-market purchases at between 47c and 56.3c from early August to December 2.

TCG shares rose 10.4% to 74c by late in the trading day on Friday.

Turaco hasn't fallen under the acquisitive eye of Montage, Lundin, Zijin or Perseus yet, but does count major African gold producer Endeavour Gold as a substantial shareholder.

MD Tremain is an experienced mine seller, having previously sold Exore Resources to Perseus, adding mine life to its Sissingue mine in Cote d'Ivoire, and Renaissance Minerals to Emerald Resources (ASX:EMR), setting the $3.5bn miner on the path to developing its successful Okvau gold mine in Cambodia.

Originally published as Gold Digger: How a ‘doom loop’ could drive gold higher again in 2026

Original URL: https://www.thechronicle.com.au/business/stockhead/gold-digger-how-a-doom-loop-could-drive-gold-higher-again-in-2026/news-story/811463ec6058601c0da3ad51a0ee3529