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ASX February winners: Benchmark fell almost 4pc amid stormy weather

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 4% in February as global geopolitical and economic uncertainties rattled markets.

Pic via Getty Images
Pic via Getty Images

Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell by 3.79% in February, according to S&P Dow Jones Indices (S&P DJI) as global geopolitical and economic uncertainty played on markets.

Small caps faired the best in February's downturn, followed by large caps and mid caps.

VanEck Asia-Pacific CEO and managing director Arian Neiron told Stockhead nearly a third of the benchmark's decline (1.02%) was driven by the big four banks, which make up a sizeable portion (23.38%) of the index.

He said weak quarterly earnings from Westpac (ASX:WBC) and National Australia Bank (ASX:NAB) due to mounting margin pressure and higher impairments saw their prices decline by 5.7% and 12.1% respectively.

Despite stronger balance sheets, Commonwealth Bank (ASX:CBA) and Australia and New Zealand Banking Group (ASX:ANZ) were also punished, finishing -2.38% and -2.71% for the month respectively.

"International equities followed Australia by going backwards in February, based on the MSCI World ex Australia index, returning -0.36%," Neiron said.

The Trump factor

US President Donald Trump’s proposed sweeping new tariffs on America’s three biggest trading partners – Mexico, Canada, and China – continued to spook markets.

"Uncertainty surrounding the Trump administration’s trade tariffs saw US growth expectations fall and inflation expectations increase, adversely affecting US equities and the Mag 7 in particular," Neiron said.

"Investors rotated out to Europe and Japan, which have both recently surprised to the upside with stronger-than-expected GDP growth."

CEO of deVere Group Nigel Green described the proposed tariffs as a "colossal economic gamble" that could backfire spectacularly.

"This is an extraordinary escalation of protectionist policy, one that risks igniting a full-scale trade war at a time when markets are already on edge," he said.

"The impact could be severe – higher prices for American consumers, strained diplomatic relations, and retaliatory tariffs that could hammer US exports."

RBA rate cut fails to lift sentiment

Even a rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) failed to lift Aussie investor sentiment in February. After holding the cash rate at 4.35% for months on end – the highest in 13 years – the RBA made a 0.25 percentage points cut in February bringing the rate to 4.1%. 

The RBA said that it decided to finally cut rates because "inflationary pressures are easing a little more quickly than expected".

The Aussie dollar finished February lower at 62.09 US cents with the final week of the month its worst week since November 2023, wiping out gains from earlier in the month.

Bitcoin entered bear market territory towards the end of February, falling to US$85,000.

"A risk-off environment and clashes between Musk on behalf of DOGE and US regulators, contributed to the fall," Neiron said.

"However, Bitcoin has bounced back 9% in the first couple of days of March, after Trump tweeted about Bitcoin’s importance as part of a potential federal strategic reserve."

Source: S&P DJI
Source: S&P DJI

Defensive sectors up as tech drops 12%

Sector performance was mixed, as only four out of 11 S&P/ASX 200 sectors posted gains, which S&P DJI said was primarily driven by defensive sectors such as utilities, communication services and consumer staples.

In a reversal of fortunes the ASX's best performing sector for 2024 technology experienced a drop of 12%.

"The technology sector was dragged down by the decline in the US tech sector, while slowing iron ore demand from China has continued to put downward pressure on materials," Neiron said.

Source: S&P DJI
Source: S&P DJI

Not a good month for equity factors, fixed income advances

All reported Australian factor and thematic indices were in the red in February. Momentum, which was the best-performing factor in 2024, underwent the most substantial correction, while Low Volatility and GARP performed relatively better.

S&P DJI said the equity options market priced in heightened uncertainty.  Known as the 'fear indices' the S&P/ASX 200 VIX and S&P 500's VIX increased to 11.8% and above 21% respectively.

Fixed income indices advanced across the board. The S&P/ASX Australian Fixed Interest 0+ Index rose by 1%, as the RBA joined its international peers in the global interest-rates easing cycle.

"Short-and long-dated government bonds fell and credit spreads tightened on the back of the RBA formalising the first rate cut in more than four years and heightened economic uncertainty," Neiron said, adding:

"US bond markets (Bloomberg US Aggregate Index returned 2.20%) mirrored Australia, with credit spreads tightening and long dated government bond yields falling."

Source: S&P DJI
Source: S&P DJI

The 50 best performing ASX stocks in February

CODE COMPANY LAST SHARE PRICE FEBRUARY RETURN % MARKET CAP
KAL Kalgoorlie Gold Mining 0.061 281% $20,755,557
CRS Caprice Resources 0.058 190% $25,711,472
GRV Greenvale Energy Ltd 0.082 148% $39,923,613
AVE Avecho Biotech Ltd 0.007 133% $22,185,079
OZM Ozaurum Resources 0.068 127% $13,428,427
BSX Blackstone Ltd 0.061 126% $36,879,897
PEB Pacific Edge 0.115 121% $44,655,379
E79 E79 Gold Mines 0.042 121% $5,363,538
PKD Parkd Ltd 0.049 113% $5,200,694
CLU Cluey Ltd 0.105 110% $40,574,731
ASV Asset Vision Co 0.045 105% $31,053,186
ASO Aston Minerals Ltd 0.018 100% $22,016,093
EVR EV Resources Ltd 0.005 100% $9,662,517
FAU First Au Ltd 0.003 100% $4,143,987
NRZ Neurizer Ltd 0.003 100% $6,716,008
RR1 Reach Resources Ltd 0.014 100% $12,242,039
SFG Seafarms Group Ltd 0.002 100% $9,673,198
JAY Jayride Group 0.003 91% $715,737
FRS Forrestania Resources 0.019 90% $4,724,180
WWG Wiseway Group 0.19 90% $35,144,171
EPX EPT Global Limited 0.043 87% $24,935,904
PFT Pure Foods Tas Ltd 0.043 87% $5,823,302
C1X Cosmos Exploration 0.1 85% $12,415,992
RAS Ragusa Minerals Ltd 0.024 85% $3,422,371
AII Almonty Industries 1.95 81% $50,994,838
CAE Cannindah Resources 0.075 79% $50,237,517
REM Remsense Technologies 0.064 78% $9,311,942
SM1 Synlait Milk Ltd 0.775 76% $467,478,526
FIN FIN Resources Ltd 0.007 75% $4,544,881
GES Genesis Resources 0.007 75% $5,479,889
ORD Ordell Minerals Ltd 0.56 75% $17,434,620
TYX Tyranna Res Ltd 0.007 75% $19,727,552
NMR Native Mineral Res 0.075 74% $53,500,465
EVS Envirosuite Ltd 0.08 74% $121,017,624
HTM High-Tech Metals Ltd 0.26 73% $8,045,802
TOR Torque Met 0.1 72% $26,696,729
WOA Wide Open Agricultur 0.012 71% $7,471,613
ENL Enlitic Inc 0.095 70% $53,531,664
NAE New Age Exploration 0.005 67% $8,625,596
PNT Panther Metals 0.015 67% $3,722,561
QXR QX Resources Limited 0.005 67% $6,550,389
RGL Rivers Gold 0.005 67% $8,418,563
YAR Yari Minerals Ltd 0.005 67% $2,894,147
SPA Spacetalk Ltd 0.24 66% $13,393,036
WYX Western Yilgarn NL 0.038 65% $4,704,763
EDU EDU Holdings Limited 0.18 64% $24,841,312
OKJ Oakajee Corp Ltd 0.013 63% $1,188,798
HVY Heavy Minerals 0.295 62% $17,096,116
MVP Medical Developments 0.67 61% $75,481,077
MYX Mayne Pharma Ltd 7.22 61% $585,782,413

Kalgoorlie Gold Mining (ASX:KAL) was the biggest winner in February, up 281% after a greenfields gold discovery. Drilling at the prospect on the company’s Pinjin site – to be renamed Lighthorse – in Western Australia’s Eastern Goldfields region returned thick intersections of extensive gold mineralisation including a top result of 17m grading 4.81g/t gold that includes a higher grade intersection of 8m at 9.21g/t.

Altogether, Lighthorse has a larger footprint than either the company’s Kirgella Gift or Providence deposits with the company fast-tracking a priority follow-up drill program for March 2025 to help define the system’s full extent.

OzAurum Resources (ASX:OZM) rose 127% in February after achieving several milestones including the delivery of aircore drilling results which confirmed the high-grade nature of the New Cross Fault discovery at Mulgabbie North.

The company extended the discovery by 400m in strike length and believes the New Cross Fault enhances the overall prospectivity of Mulgabbie.

Blackstone Minerals (ASX:BSX) rose 126% in February after announcing it had inked a merger deal with IDM International to acquire the Mankayan copper-gold project in the Philippines. Mankayan features a large mineralised system with a high-grade core and orebody that remains open to the north, south and at depth which provide opportunities for resource growth.

BSX managing director Scott Williamson described Mankayan ‘as one of the largest high-grade undeveloped porphyry projects globally’.

Pacific Edge (ASX:PEB) rose 121% in Feburary after announcing the American Urological Association (AUA) has included the company's Cxbladder Triage as the standard of care in an amendment to its clinical guideline for the management of patients presenting with microhematuria (blood in the urine) and at risk of bladder cancer.

Pacific Edge said in a major amendment to the 2020 AUA microhematuria guideline, Cxbladder Triage was mentioned as the only urine-based biomarker test that has ‘Grade A’ evidence from a randomised controlled trial (the STRATA Study) in support of this recommendation.

As a consequence of the new guideline, Pacific Edge anticipates an uplift in demand for Cxbladder tests.

The 50 worst performing ASX stocks in February

CODE COMPANY LAST SHARE PRICE FEBRUARY RETURN % MARKET CAP
BSA BSA Limited 0.086 -92% $8,258,318
BIT Biotron Limited 0.005 -69% $8,121,445
OCT Octava Minerals 0.036 -66% $2,440,372
NIM Nimy Resources 0.06 -59% $12,290,438
5EA 5Eadvanced 0.805 -56% $12,671,100
AVW Avira Resources Ltd 0.009 -55% $1,616,337
MGU Magnum Mining & Exp 0.006 -54% $4,856,168
OVT Ovanti Limited 0.008 -53% $16,320,835
FBR FBR Ltd 0.019 -53% $106,257,034
DTM Dart Mining NL 0.005 -52% $2,990,278
I88 Infini Resources 0.35 -50% $18,406,627
AUH Austchina Holdings 0.001 -50% $2,420,384
MOM Moab Minerals Ltd 0.001 -50% $1,566,999
SIT Site Group Int Ltd 0.001 -50% $3,257,490
CLG Close Loop 0.1 -49% $55,844,236
TFL Tasfoods Ltd 0.009 -47% $4,370,955
APX Appen Limited 1.305 -47% $429,602,701
SOC Soco Corporation 0.067 -46% $9,754,856
BRN Brainchip Ltd 0.21 -46% $507,910,504
ALA Arovella Therapeutic 0.11 -45% $133,019,193
LYN Lycaon Resources 0.135 -45% $7,417,875
BEZ Besra Gold Inc 0.041 -45% $17,035,047
NVQ Noviqtech Limited 0.056 -44% $15,846,803
AMN Agrimin Ltd 0.088 -43% $32,266,701
PEN Peninsula Energy Ltd 0.87 -43% $143,672,576
RDN Raiden Resources Ltd 0.004 -43% $17,254,457
VR1 Vection Technologies 0.023 -43% $36,537,363
BDG Black Dragon Gold 0.039 -42% $12,148,642
GLL Galilee Energy Ltd 0.007 -42% $3,900,350
AI1 Adisyn Ltd 0.07 -42% $59,953,024
OD6 Od6Metalsltd 0.038 -42% $6,051,338
1AE Aurora Energy Metals 0.036 -41% $6,267,231
SUM Summit Miinerals 0.074 -41% $6,534,599
PLY Playside Studios 0.22 -41% $87,982,759
IFG Infocus Group 0.015 -40% $2,920,253
NGS NGS Ltd 0.024 -40% $4,064,485
CYC Cyclopharm Limited 1.425 -40% $167,816,644
XF1 Xref Limited 0.13 -40% $24,958,732
PEK Peak Rare Earths Ltd 0.097 -39% $38,730,352
LDX Lumos Diagnostics 0.026 -38% $20,958,645
BEL Bentley Capital Ltd 0.01 -38% $761,279
SLX Silex Systems 4.11 -37% $959,430,407
AMD Arrow Minerals 0.034 -37% $28,726,586
MIO Macarthur Minerals 0.031 -37% $6,189,631
PNV Polynovo Limited 1.43 -36% $1,018,993,412
IPT Impact Minerals 0.007 -36% $27,534,903
AM5 Antares Metals 0.008 -36% $4,083,847
4DX 4Dmedical Limited 0.385 -36% $175,101,208
CXL Calix Limited 0.43 -36% $99,810,674
BDT Birddog 0.036 -36% $5,813,497

At Stockhead, we tell it like it is. While OzAurum Resources is a Stockhead advertiser, it did not sponsor this article.

Originally published as ASX February winners: Benchmark fell almost 4pc amid stormy weather

Original URL: https://www.thechronicle.com.au/business/stockhead/asx-february-winners-benchmark-fell-almost-4pc-amid-stormy-weather/news-story/0b1619acf93a89da8b2f85732a18d1bf