Pressure on Joe Biden to hit back at Iran over deaths of US troops
Joe Biden is facing intense political pressure to retaliate against Iran for the deadly drone strike on US troops.
Joe Biden is facing intense political pressure to retaliate against Iran for the deadly drone strike on US troops, posing a major challenge for the Democrat President in an election year.
Striking Iran would dramatically escalate the risk of the wider war Mr Biden says he’s trying to avoid – not to mention the possibility of more US caskets coming home in the months before polls open.
But with Republicans urging the 81-year-old to hit Iran directly, Mr Biden can ill afford to portray weakness as he struggles with low approval ratings ahead of a likely rematch with former president Donald Trump.
“He’s under tremendous pressure – the administration’s in a kind of a lose-lose situation,” Colin Clarke, research director at the Soufan Centre in New York, said.
“I think he’s going to get hammered by people saying he’s weak and he’s going get hammered by people saying he’s going too far. So it’s damned if you do, damned if you don’t.”
The White House said on Monday (Tuesday AEDT) that Mr Biden was “weighing his options” for a “very consequential” answer to the attack on a base in Jordan that killed three US troops, the first to die in hostile action since the start of the Israel-Hamas war on October 7.
Mr Biden said “we shall respond” during a campaign event in South Carolina on Sunday.
Iran has denied any link to the attack, which Mr Biden blamed on Iran-backed militias.
National Security Council spokesman John Kirby strongly denied that Mr Biden’s decision would be influenced by the election.
“He’s not looking at political calculations, or the polling or the electoral calendar as he works to protect our troops ashore and our ships at sea,” he said.
“And any suggestion to the contrary is offensive.
“We are not looking for a war with Iran.”
H
owever, the strike “was escalatory, make no mistake about it, and it requires a response”.
Mr Kirby earlier told CNN that the US response would be “very consequential”, but would not speculate on the options Mr Biden was considering, including whether targets inside Iran were on the table.
The issue has become a political weapon for Republicans – and Mr Trump in particular, as he seeks a return to the White House.
Mr Trump described the deaths as a “consequence of Joe Biden’s weakness and surrender” – focusing on a deal the Biden administration made with Iran last year to free US captives in exchange for unblocking $US6bn in Iranian funds.
He could also point to the fact that he had ordered the US strike that killed Iranian Revolutionary Guards general Qasem Soleimani in 2020 – although Mr Trump has also admitted to calling off another strike on Iran with 10 minutes to spare in 2019 despite being “cocked and loaded”.
Other Republicans also gave notice they would use Iran as a test case of Mr Biden’s strength ahead of elections.
“The entire world now watches for signs that the President is finally prepared to exercise American strength,” Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell said.
Lindsey Graham, the top Republican on the Senate judiciary committee and a leading hawk, urged Mr Biden to “hit Iran now. Hit them hard”.
The dilemmas facing Mr Biden are huge though.
Direct strikes on Iranian territory would be a giant escalation, but even lesser action against Tehran’s proxies could fuel the fires of conflict, while destabilising efforts to reach a ceasefire in Gaza.
Further involvement would undermine Mr Biden’s prized policy of extracting America from its “forever wars” in the Middle East – even if the chaotic US withdrawal from Afghanistan on his watch led to a Taliban takeover.
“There’s a domestic political risk, which is Biden alienates part of his base progressives, anti-war folks, and at the same time, opens himself up to accusations of wag-the-dog,” Dr Clarke said, referring to a movie in which a US president starts a war to distract from political issues at home.
“So I think it’s a really difficult situation.”
AFP