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Budget surplus: Former Swan staff head Jim Chalmers questions Josh Frydenberg prediction

Shadow Minister for Finance Jim Chalmers at a press conference at Parliament House in Canberra. Picture: Kym Smith
Shadow Minister for Finance Jim Chalmers at a press conference at Parliament House in Canberra. Picture: Kym Smith

Call that a surplus? Richard Ferguson, The Australian, December 3:

Opposition finance spokesman Jim Chalmers has questioned whether Josh Frydenberg will … hand down … a surplus. “If the government gets to the budget … they will be claiming a surplus for the following year, which is a very different thing from handing down an actual surplus.”

This is a surplus. ABC’s AM, February 26, 2009:

Wayne Swan: We’ve made it very clear that we want to return our ­budget to surplus as quickly as we can.

Swan’s budget speech, May 11, 2010:

Every dollar of new policy in this ­budget has been offset … a strategy that will see the budget return to ­surplus in three years’ time, three years ahead of schedule, and ahead of every major advanced economy.

Seven’s Sunrise, August 18, 2010:

Swan: Well, we’re getting back into surplus in three years, Kochie … come hell or high water.

Failure? Sky News, August 19, 2010:

Host: If you don’t get the budget back into surplus in three years, what happens? Do you sack the treasurer? Do you take personal responsibility?

Julia Gillard: It’s happening, David. Failure is not an option.

Nine’s Today, November 7, 2010:

Gillard: The budget will be back in the black, back in surplus, in 2012-13.

Laurie Oakes: Guaranteed?

Gillard: Yes … as promised.

Swan, February 7, 2012:

We’ve got our colours nailed to the mast … producing a surplus in 2012-13.

Swan’s budget speech, May 8, 2012:

The four years of surpluses I announce tonight are a powerful endorsement of the strength of our economy … We’ll be back in the black by 2012-13, on time, as promised.

He did it! James Thomson, smartcompany.com.au, May 8, 2012:

Well, he’s done it. Treasurer Wayne Swan has kept his political promise to deliver a surplus in 2012-13 …

We did it. Julia Gillard, July 4, 2012:

We saved jobs, stayed out of recession and got back to surplus.

They did it. Phillip Coorey, Sydney Morning Herald, October 22, 2012:

Swan unveils $1.1b surplus.

Oops. Jacob Greber, The Australian Financial Review, October 20, 2012:

Swan’s grip on surplus gets slippery.

Oh dear. Swan, December 20, 2012:

It’s unlikely that there will be a surplus in 2012-13.

Big spender. ABC 7.30, May 14, 2013:

Host Leigh Sales: Wayne Swan, last year you promised … a $1.5 billion surplus. Tonight you’ve delivered an $18bn deficit. How can you look Australians in the eye?

Swan: Very clearly … we’re looking at a $17bn revenue writedown …

Sales: … The deficit is $18bn. You would have still been in deficit even if you earned every last cent you anticipated … In 2010-11 revenue grew by 6 per cent, the following year … by 9 per cent. This year … by 6 per cent. Doesn’t that indicate Australia … has a problem with overspending, based on inflated expectations?

Pre-election economic and fiscal outlook, August 7, 2013:

An underlying cash deficit of $30.1bn is estimated for 2013-14.

What’s it got to do with Jim? Chalmers biography, aph.gov.au:

(Deputy and chief of staff to the treasurer and deputy prime minister 2007-13)

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Original URL: https://www.theaustralian.com.au/opinion/cutandpaste/budget-surplus-former-swan-staff-head-jim-chalmers-questions-josh-frydenberg-prediction/news-story/d88612d9a2e7309fad19cad46ee4c999