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Data dump points to modest economic expansion

New data reinforce expectations the economy expanded modestly in the first quarter of 2021, ahead of Wednesday GDP figures.

Australia’s economy has rebounded strongly after the pandemic shock. Picture: Bianca De Marchi
Australia’s economy has rebounded strongly after the pandemic shock. Picture: Bianca De Marchi

March quarter data will reinforce expectations that the Australian economy expanded modestly in the first three months of 2021 after an exceptionally strong rebound in the previous six months following last year’s Covid-19 shock.

While company profits were weaker than expected, net exports and inventories were considerably stronger than expected for the quarter. April building approvals didn’t fall as much as expected.

Company profits fell 0.3 per cent versus a 3.4 per cent rise expected by economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

But inventories rose 2.1 per cent versus 0.2 per cent expected, the balance of payments rose to $18.3bn versus $17.7bn expected and net exports will detract 0.6 percentage points from GDP, whereas economists expected a 1.2 percentage point detraction.

Building approvals fell 8.6 per cent versus an expected fall of 10 per cent, with private sector housing approvals up 4.6 per cent.

The Australian dollar rose slightly to a four-day high of $US77.64c after the data were released.

Ahead of Tuesday’s data, economists were expecting the March quarter national accounts, released on Wednesday, to show a 1.1 per cent rise in GDP quarter on quarter and a 0.3 per cent rise year-on-year.

Read related topics:Coronavirus
David Rogers
David RogersMarkets Editor

David Rogers began writing about financial markets in 1987. He has worked for Standard & Poor's, Thomson Financial, BridgeNews, Tolhurst Noall, Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal. David has extensive real-time reporting experience in economics, foreign exchange, equities, commodities and bonds.

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Original URL: https://www.theaustralian.com.au/business/economics/data-dump-points-to-modest-economic-expansion/news-story/7530384d265e8a870f57c491a7443947