This was published 3 years ago
Race-by-race preview and tips for Wagga on Thursday
By Neil Evans
Track likely improving to soft 5 and rail true.
Race 1 CLASS 3 HCP (1000m)
The Christmas Eve card gets rolling with a strong short-course dash. Canberra 3YO filly 1. Delacour has a ton of natural speed, and resumes off a typical smart trial win at home. Distance specialist who has only missed a place one in six starts, and scored consecutive dominant wins in spring, but asked to carry the biggest weight of her short career.
Dangers: Albury mare 4. Ballerina Magic has shown steady improvement over three runs this prep, and drops in weight, although meeting a few smarter ones here; while 6YO 3. Nobody's Puppet resumes with no public trials, but has speed and normally fires when fresh.
How to play it: Delacour to win
Odds and Evens: Split
Previous highway form of Obelos was very good for a race like this, and draws to sit back and be produced to the outside.Credit: Fairfax Media
Race 2 MAIDEN HCP (1000m)
A weak maiden augurs well for ultra-consistent 4YO 5. Gallant Run having his first start for a new Albury stable. Has ridden the speed and placed in both runs this prep at provincial level. Must be the one to stop from the draw.
Dangers: Watch the betting on local filly 6. Carnival Miss, who has trialled well and drawn to get a sweet run; while home-track mare 13. Zelberg had been around the money in her last few before trialling well on the Riverside track here.
How to play it: Gallant Run to win
Odds and Evens: Split
Race 3 MAIDEN PLATE (1400m)
Progressive 3YO Canberra filly 13. One Aye will dominate this market, and from the draw seemingly only bad luck stands in her way. Charged home at big odds to just miss in a stronger maiden at Mudgee second start, and gets the blinkers added over an even more suitable trip.
Dangers: Doubt there are any if the top selection gets a clear run from the turn, but improving Albury 4YO 2. Mr Zhivago can run the quinella after working home OK in his first run for a new Albury yard. Stablemate filly 14. Vinnie's Girl out in distance; and Canberra pair 7. Favourite Things who was close-up in a handy maiden at home, and improving colt 5. Arcadia Power, are the best of the rest.
How to play it: One Aye to win
Odds and Evens: Split
Race 4 CLASS 2 HCP (1200m)
Tricky race. Canberra 5YO gelding 10. Who's Shout resumes with no official trials, and likely to go around well over 30-1, but maps OK carrying his lightest weight in a while. Continually hit the line well last prep, and don't be put off by his ordinary strike rate. Would have done enough work, and can be saved up in transit for one almighty late surge.
Dangers: Wangaratta 3YO 9. Big Day Out can go close second-up over a more suitable journey after a tidy return on the Riverside track. Draws to get good cover just off the speed. Wodonga mare 8. Tori Marguerite has had little luck in her last two at home across BM64 grade, and looks well over the odds with a senior country rider booked and key gear changes made.
How to play it: Who's Shout each-way and box exacta 8,9,10.
Odds and Evens: Split.
Race 5 TED RYDER CUP (1600m)
Open feature race, with a decent tempo expected. Big fan of Goulburn 6YO 7. Obelos, who overcame traffic problems third-up before sweeping home to comfortably win a BM 83 at Orange. Previous Highway form was very good for a race like this, and draws to sit back and be produced to the outside.
Dangers: Albury 7YO 6. Wyangle should be right at his peak now after finishing best to win the Prelude carrying a half-kilo more, and the drier the better. Victorian 6YO 8. Mellors is the best weighted runner in the race, dropping a hefty 7kg from a string of strong efforts at BM 64 level over the border. Trainer has replaced blinkers with winkers. Tough Canberra 7YO 5. Supreme Polarity had been in and around the money all prep before finding a metro BM 78 a little rich, although a query at the mile.
How to play it: Obelos each-way and first four 6,7,8/6,7,8/5,6,7,8/5,6,7,8
Odds and Evens: Split
Race 6 OPEN HCP (1200m)
Good deep race. Like the third-up value here about lightly raced Gundagai 8YO 7. Thistledo coming back from a handy closing run at huge odds in a stronger metro BM 72. Draws to get enough cover back in the field, and this is his pet trip.
Dangers: The market will revolve around smart Canberra mare 8. Tejori dropping back from a good effort in a stronger highway at Randwick. Draws the inside, and ready for this longer trip third-up. Albury 4YO 9. Scout lost no admirers resuming under a big weight behind a good sprinter at home, and while this is naturally tougher, he gets significant weight relief from a good trailing draw. Local 7YO 4. Forever Newyork finished best to win a BM 81 on the Riverside track third-up, and is also drawn to find a useful trail off the fence.
How to play it: Thistledo each way and box exacta 7,8,9
Odds and Evens: Split a special
Race 7 BM 58 HCP (1400m)
Testing battle with a few chances. Victorian filly 11. Aswaat can hit back hard over this trip after failing to run out the mile third-up in a BM 70 at Sandown. Despite coming out of his own age group, looks incredibly well weighted carrying 1kg less at this country level, and must be the one to beat with blinkers going on.
Dangers: Liked the way lightly raced Albury 9YO 13. Faramondo hit the line second-up at Wodonga, and even better suited on the bigger track; while Wagga 5YO 3. Certain Shaft draws well coming off a strong closing CL1 win second-up at Gundagai.
How to play it: Aswaat to win
Odds and Evens: Odds
Race 8 BM 66 HCP (2000m)
A strong and very wide open staying test, with plenty of chances, to close the meeting and welcome Santa. Progressive Wellington 4YO 7. Athena's Lad is on the rise, and can make it three from his last four. Loves to settle back and finish hard, and his late charging win in a similar grade at Narromine augurs well for this longer trip, despite a 2.5kg rise in weight.
Dangers: Victorian 4YO 5. Huntly Castle looks much better suited here fifth run this prep after a flat showing in a deeper race at Sandown, although drawn right off the track. Goulburn 5YO 6. Lamington Drive got too far back in the small field at Warwick Farm before working home well, and more ground on a bigger circuit are handy plusses well into the prep.
How to play it: Athena's Lad each-way
Odds and Evens: Split
BEST BETS
Race 3: (13) ONE AYE
Race 7: (11) ASWAAT
BEST VALUE
Race 5: (7) OBELOS
Tips supplied by Racing NSW
Full form and race replays available at racingnsw.com.au