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Australian recession

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President Donald Trump gives a thumbs-up as Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu leaves the West Wing of the White House, Monday, April 7, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)

The ‘stable genius’ has the world economy on a knife edge

If you’re wondering why your superannuation is shrinking or why the Reserve Bank may cut interest rates next month, blame US President Donald Trump.

  • Shane Wright

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Donald Trump 2.0 is going harder and sooner on his fanciful American dream of restoring American manufacturing’s glory days.

Trump’s tariffs raise risk of global recession this year to 60 per cent, JP Morgan warns

America’s biggest investment bank has torn up its growth forecasts for the US after global stocks tumbled.

  • Eir Nolsoe and Louis Goss

From Gaga to tradwives: Signs of economic doom, according to the internet

Treasurer Jim Chalmers says the Australian economy is on the up and up, but social media tells a different tale. Welcome to the world of “recession indicators”.

  • Lauren Ironmonger
Big crowds at the Australia-India test series helped lift the ecoomy through the December quarter.

Australia’s longest per capita recession since WWII comes to an end

A record seven quarters of falling GDP per person has finally ended, with new figures showing the economy improving in late 2024.

  • Shane Wright

When trust goes bust: how we bind during a crisis and break in the aftermath

Australians back their governments at times of national peril, then dump them when it’s over. Who will they blame in 2025?

  • George Megalogenis
The Reserve Bank has looked at its key Covid-era policies to determine what worked and what didn’t. Australian governments have yet to do so.

The half trillion-dollar stimulus we didn’t know about

The Reserve Bank and governments pumped hundreds of billions of dollars into the economy to deal with Covid. We are still counting the cost.

  • Shane Wright
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An economist has warned Australia could dip into a recession if there is a dramatic drop in international students.

Labor’s international student caps ignite recession fears

Australia could be pushed into a recession if universities are forced to slash their international student numbers under Labor’s migration crackdown.

  • Daniella White
The Reserve Bank board faces one of its toughest choices yet in its August meeting.

Reserve Bank risks recession with August rate rise

The Reserve Bank is at a critical point, economists say – it could let inflation remain a little higher for longer or risk tipping Australia into a recession.

  • Rachel Clun

The RBA has squeezed us like a lemon, but it’s still not happy

Maybe the Reserve Bank needs to see more blood on the street before it will believe we’re getting inflation back under control. If so, we’re running a bigger risk of recession than the central bank cares to admit.

  • Ross Gittins
The Australian economy is expected to avoid a recession, and remains strong despite cost of living pressures.

Government action needed to avoid higher interest rates: IMF

The International Monetary Fund forecasts inflation will not return to 2-3 per cent until 2026, suggesting well-targeted stimulus measures for struggling households.

  • Rachel Clun

Original URL: https://www.smh.com.au/topic/australian-recession-1nh6