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'Panic index' shows Australians were the world's best panic buyers

By Shane Wright

Australia outperformed the world dealing with the coronavirus pandemic - and the nation's consumers out-shopped their international counterparts when it came to panic buying.

New research by two University of New South Wales academics into coronavirus-related panic shopping shows that Australian consumers were the quickest in the world to raid supermarket aisles in search of toilet paper and canned soup.

This Melbourne IGA store introduced elderly-only shopping hour amid coronavirus panic buying, the big supermarkets soon followed suit.

This Melbourne IGA store introduced elderly-only shopping hour amid coronavirus panic buying, the big supermarkets soon followed suit. Credit: Jason South

Mike Keane and Tim Neal from the university's school of business used Google search data from 54 countries, covering January to late April, to pinpoint the scope and intensity of panic buying in response to the coronavirus outbreak.

Consumers in almost every nation stockpiled goods as governments shut down key parts of their economies. These included internal and external travel bans such as Australia's decision to close the borders to non-nationals travelling from China on February 1.

Panic buying escalated through March in Australia. Sales of canned and dry soup surged by 180 per cent, purchases of toilet and tissue paper doubled while there were also short-term shortages of flour, rice and pasta.

While panic buying was common, Australian shoppers took it to an extreme level. In a "panic index" created by Professor Keane and Dr Neal, Australia eclipsed shoppers from around the world.

"The experience of Australia is notable for the incredible speed and scale with which panic took hold in early March," they found.

"Unlike in other countries, the escalation in panic does not appear to correspond with any significant increase in domestic COVID-19 cases."

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So extreme was domestic panic buying, the researchers had to modify the graphs in their paper to show the extent of Australians' efforts to find sought-after goods.

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Professor Keane and Dr Neal said it was likely panic buying was associated with border bans, but Australia was an international outlier. They found Australians may have reacted to restrictions in other countries.

Both warned there were economic and medical repercussions from panic buying.

"Shortages created by panic buying also force consumers to devote extra time and effort to shopping, diverting time away from welfare-improving activities like work, leisure, and sleep, as well as generating psychological costs by inducing anxiety and stress," they found.

Australian National University marketing lecturer Andrew Hughes said it appeared Australians had been overwhelmed with FOMO, the fear-of-missing-out.

"Once one person misses out on something, the FOMO principle kicks in. In this day and age, once people think they are going to miss out on something, it triggers a fear that they'll miss out on it," he said.

"It could be an iPhone or it could be toilet paper."

While panic buying has subsided, some spending habits have changed since the coronavirus outbreak.

NAB's measure of online shopping, released on Tuesday, showed cyber-sales grew 16.2 per cent in April, the single largest monthly increase on record. Annually, online sales were up a record 58.5 per cent.

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Original URL: https://www.smh.com.au/link/follow-20170101-p54ync