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Healthcare, consumer stocks tumble as Trump tariffs spook ASX; $A slides

By Jessica Yun and Sumeyya Ilanbey
Updated

US President Donald Trump’s sweeping tariffs strike on China, Canada and Mexico spooked the Australian share market to post its biggest loss in four months on Monday, as investors mulled over the prospect of a global trade war.

The S&P/ASX 200 closed 152.9 points, or 1.8 per cent, lower to 8379.4 points, with healthcare and consumer discretionary stocks leading sector losses of more than 2 per cent.

Wall Street surrendered early gains  on Friday after the White House said President Donald Trump would impose promised tariffs.

Wall Street surrendered early gains on Friday after the White House said President Donald Trump would impose promised tariffs.Credit: AP

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare was one of the biggest losers of the day, shedding 7.4 per cent after it warned that its costs would increase as a result of the tariffs and that it would be two to three years before it could reach its 65 per cent profit margin target. Around 43 per cent of its revenue comes from the US market. Medical device company Polynovo shed 7.2 per cent.

The Australian dollar, meanwhile, briefly dropped under US61¢ for the first time in nearly five years, since early in the COVID-19 pandemic.

The Aussie was already down sharply on the tariff news and fell through the US61¢ level after a private survey of China’s economy known as the Purchasing Managers’ Index showed a continued decline in the country’s manufacturing sector last month.

The Australian dollar fell as low as 60.88¢, its lowest level since April 2020, although by late afternoon the AUD had rebounded to US61.27¢ – still down sharply from the US62.25¢ it was buying late Friday afternoon.

IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said that unless the Aussie could rebound to around US63.50¢, it risked testing the psychologically significant US60¢ level before a move lower towards US57¢.

AMP chief economist Shane Oliver said healthcare stocks (down 2.3 per cent) was the hardest-hit sector on Monday because Trump had previously flagged potential tariffs on pharmaceutical companies.

Cochlear declined 2.4 per cent despite issuing a statement saying it doesn’t expect new tariffs to increase the cost or restrict access to its products in the US. CSL dropped 1.8 per cent and Resmed fell 3.1 per cent.

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“Tariffs on medicines increase costs and reduce access for patients, which is why the first Trump administration and policymakers of both parties consistently have refrained from imposing tariffs on medicines,” CSL said in a statement.

Oliver said the broader sharemarket reaction appeared overblown. “It’s certainly a knee-jerk reaction, no doubt about that. Shoot fast, ask questions later,” Oliver told this masthead.

“I think the sharemarket is signalling more concerns about Australian economic growth,” he added. “If [Trump] pushes down the path putting tariffs on everybody, then you could get broad-based retaliation around the world in a global trade war, which leads to less trade, less economic activity globally, which in turn would be less demand for our exports in particular.”

Judo Bank economists Warren Hogan and Matthew De Pasquale said the impact on the US and Canada’s inflation would be immediate but that it was too soon to tell for the impact on Australia.

“We have little to fear from direct US tariff measures. The main concern is weaker global growth and demand for our exports due to a global trade war,” said Hogan and De Pasquale in a note.

“This now looks more likely than ever, given Trump’s move and Canada’s clear retaliatory response.”

Donald Trump has signed an order to impose stiff tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada and China, drawing swift retaliation from the country’s North American neighbours in an emerging trade war.

Donald Trump has signed an order to impose stiff tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada and China, drawing swift retaliation from the country’s North American neighbours in an emerging trade war.Credit: Bloomberg

Betashares chief economist David Bassanese said global equities were facing an onslaught of simultaneous challenges.

“First came sticky US inflation and news that the Fed is in no hurry to cut rates further. Then came the DeepSeek shock, which has raised question marks over US tech valuations once again. Then on Friday came what markets have long dreaded: significant new tariffs on key trading partners and the start of Trump Trade Wars 2.0,” Bassanese said.

“Countering these negatives are the resilience of US economic growth and corporate earnings (at least for now) and reasonable hopes – prior to the new tariffs – that US inflation would likely fall further. The near-term outlook is messy to say the least and the risk of deeper correction in equity markets has escalated.”

The US should expect price increases of 0.5 per cent, which will endanger the hopes of lower inflation and Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, he added.

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The miners were hit hard with BHP (down 1.8 per cent), Rio Tinto (down 2.1 per cent) and Fortescue (down 4.4 per cent) slumping. The big four banks also lost ground, led by NAB (down 2.3 per cent). CBA is down 1.5 per cent, ANZ slid 1.4 per cent and Westpac declined 1.7 per cent.

Wealth manager Magellan copped the biggest hit of the session, shedding 9.7 per cent after the latest news of executive changes at the firm led to UBS downgrading Magellan’s shares to sell.

Trump on Saturday (Sunday AEDT) placed 25 per cent tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico and 10 per cent tariffs on goods from China. The White House provided no word on whether there would be any exemptions to the measures that could result in swift price increases to US consumers.

The tariffs have fuelled fears of a global trade war amid pledges of retaliation from the affected countries. The US president has also flagged wider tariffs, including against the European Union.

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“This is the most significant trade shock since the Smoot-Hawley tariffs of the 1930s, which are widely blamed for exacerbating and prolonging the Great Depression,” said RBC chief economist Frances Donald in a note.

“This shock far surpasses the 2018 tariffs in magnitude, diminishing the value of that period as a helpful guide for the economic impact ahead. For context, in 2018, the US average import tariff rose from 1.5 per cent to roughly 3 per cent. Under the new policy, the US average tariff rate [rises] to nearly 11 per cent, the highest average ratio since the 1940s.”

Apple reversed course from market-leading gains to a loss of 0.7 per cent. The company had reported stronger profit for the latest quarter than analysts expected. Wall Street’s most valuable company, and thus the most influential on the S&P 500 and other indexes, said sales of iPhones dipped. But revenue for its services businesses, such as AppleCare and its app store, rose to a record.

KLA, a supplier to the electronics industry, initially rose after reporting profit and revenue that topped analysts’ expectations, but then closed down 0.6 per cent. The company, which credited its results on expanding artificial-intelligence and high-performance computing investments, fell 6.3 per cent on Monday. That’s when tech stocks around the world tumbled, after a Chinese upstart, DeepSeek, said it developed a large language model capable of competing with the world’s best, without having to use top-flight chips.

The disruption raised questions about whether all the investment expected for AI chips, data centres and electricity is really needed.

Shares of Nvidia, considered the poster child for the AI frenzy, fell 3.7 per cent. They dropped 15.8 per cent for the week. Its CEO, Jensen Huang, meet with Trump on Friday in Washington.

Worries that tariffs could end up driving inflation higher helped push long-term bond yields higher, including the 10-year Treasury, which rose to 4.54 per cent from 4.52 per cent late on Thursday.

“It’s not the safe haven that it normally is because these tariffs might result in higher inflation and the need for the Fed to remain on pause for longer or to reverse course and raise rates,” Stovall said.

with AAP and AP

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Original URL: https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/asx-set-to-slump-wall-street-falls-after-trump-tariffs-a-slides-20250202-p5l8xb.html