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Microsoft and OpenAI’s ‘bromance’ begins to fray

By Cade Metz, Mike Isaac and Erin Griffith

Late last year, Sam Altman, OpenAI’s CEO, asked his counterpart at Microsoft, Satya Nadella, if the tech giant would invest billions of dollars in the startup.

Microsoft had already pumped $US13 billion ($19 billion) into OpenAI, and Nadella was initially willing to keep the cash spigot flowing. But after OpenAI’s board of directors briefly ousted Altman last November, Nadella and Microsoft reconsidered, according to four people familiar with the talks who spoke on the condition of anonymity.

Sam Altman once called OpenAI’s partnership with Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella “the best bromance in tech.”

Sam Altman once called OpenAI’s partnership with Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella “the best bromance in tech.”Credit: AP/Bloomberg

Over the next few months, Microsoft wouldn’t budge as OpenAI, which expects to lose $US5 billion this year, continued to ask for more money and more computing power to build and run its artificial intelligence systems.

Altman once called OpenAI’s partnership with Microsoft “the best bromance in tech,” but ties between the companies have started to fray. Financial pressure on OpenAI, concern about its stability and disagreements among employees of the two companies have strained their five-year partnership, according to interviews with 19 people familiar with the relationship between the companies.

That tension demonstrates a key challenge for AI startups: They are dependent on the world’s tech giants for money and computing power because those big companies control the massive cloud computing systems the small outfits need to develop AI.

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No pairing displays this dynamic better than Microsoft and OpenAI, the maker of the ChatGPT chatbot. When OpenAI got its giant investment from Microsoft, it agreed to an exclusive deal to buy computing power from Microsoft and work closely with the tech giant on new AI.

“We’re deeply grateful for our partnership with Microsoft; the early big bet they took on us and the vast compute resources they’ve provided have been essential to our research breakthroughs, benefiting both companies greatly,” Altman said in a statement on Thursday. “We are excited and committed to pursuing our shared vision and achieving even greater things together far into the future.”

Over the past year, OpenAI has been trying to renegotiate the deal to help it secure more computing power and reduce crushing expenses while Microsoft executives have grown concerned that their AI work is too dependent on OpenAI. Nadella has said privately that Altman’s firing in November shocked and concerned him, according to five people with knowledge of his comments.

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Since then, Microsoft has started to hedge its bet on OpenAI.

“We have continued to invest in OpenAI at many discrete points in the partnership,” Scott, Microsoft’s chief technology officer, said in a recent interview. “We are certainly the very largest investor of capital in them.”

But in March, Microsoft paid at least $US650 million to hire most of the staff from Inflection, an OpenAI competitor. Inflection’s former CEO and co-founder, Mustafa Suleyman, oversees a new Microsoft group that is working to build AI technologies for consumers based on OpenAI software. He is also the point person for Microsoft’s long-term effort to build technologies that could replace what the company is getting from OpenAI, according to two people familiar with Microsoft’s plans.

“Microsoft could be left behind if it is only using OpenAI technologies,” said Gil Luria, an analyst at investment bank D.A. Davidson. “It is a real race — and OpenAI may not win it.”

OpenAI expected to spend at least $5.4 billion in computing costs through the end of 2024.

OpenAI expected to spend at least $5.4 billion in computing costs through the end of 2024.Credit:

After Microsoft backed away from the discussions about additional funding, OpenAI was in a bind. It needed more cash to keep its operations going, and its executives chafed at the exclusivity of the contract. Over the past year, the AI company repeatedly tried to negotiate to lower the cost and allow it to buy computing power from other companies, according to seven people familiar with the discussions.

In June, Microsoft agreed to an exception in the contract, six people with knowledge of the change said. That allowed OpenAI to sign a roughly $US10 billion computing deal with Oracle for additional computing resources, according to two people familiar with the deal. Oracle is providing computers packed with chips suited to building AI, while Microsoft provides the software that drives the hardware.

And in recent weeks, OpenAI and Microsoft negotiated a change to a future contract that reduces how much Microsoft will charge the smaller company for computing power, although the exact terms were unclear, according to a person familiar with the change.

While it was looking for computer power alternatives, OpenAI also raced to broaden its investors, according to two people familiar with the company’s plan.

Earlier this month, OpenAI closed a $US6.6 billion funding round led by Thrive Capital, with additional participation from Nvidia, MGX and others. Apple did not invest, but Microsoft also participated in the funding round.

OpenAI expected to spend at least $US5.4 billion in computing costs through the end of 2024, according to documents reviewed by The New York Times. That amount was expected to skyrocket over the next five years as OpenAI expanded, soaring to an estimated $US37.5 billion in annual computing costs by 2029, the documents showed.

It is not clear how much the recent tweaks to the partnership between OpenAI and Microsoft will alter that trajectory, but Microsoft executives were happy with the changes, according to a person familiar with the company’s strategy. The tech giant can continue to benefit from OpenAI’s improving technologies, while the startup continues to pay the tech giant for substantial amounts of computing power.

This article originally appeared in The New York Times.

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Original URL: https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/microsoft-and-openai-s-bromance-begins-to-fray-20241020-p5kjsb.html