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The Last Say: Tips, late mail and market movers for 2025 Tatt’s Tiara day on Saturday, June 28, 2025

Ray Thomas gives you all the information you need to back a winner today as Eagle Farm hosts the final Group 1 meeting of the year, with massive cards also at Rosehill and Caulfield.

Ray Thomas
8 min read
June 28, 2025 - 7:48AM

Eagle Farm hosts the 76th and final Group 1 race of the 2024-25 season with the $700,000 Tatt’s Tiara (1400m) today.

Trainer Chris Waller and jockey James McDonald are hoping to cap their outstanding seasons when they combine with Firestorm, rated a $4.40 chance in latest Tiara betting.

Waller is hoping for a record-extending 20th Group 1 win for the season while McDonald can equal “Miracle” Mal Johnston’s long-standing riding record of 16 majors set in 1979-80.

But the Peter Snowden-trained Tashi is looming as a major chance in the Tiara. The mare is one of the most consistent in training but she is still chasing her first black type success. It would be some feat if her first stakes win was at Group 1 level.

• PUNT LIKE A PRO: Become a Racenet iQ member and get expert tips – with fully transparent return on investment statistics – from Racenet’s team of professional punters at our Pro Tips section. SUBSCRIBE NOW!

At Rosehill Gardens, the Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained French import Elamaz is $3.90 favourite to make a winning Australian debut in the Listed $200,000 WJ McKell Cup (2000m).

Elamaz, who is raced in similar interests to another former French horse Eliyass, has not missed a top two finish in his seven starts, winning four races, but he has never raced beyond 1600m.

At Caulfield, there has been a huge betting plunge on the Peter Moody and Katherine Coleman-trained Mercurial Lady to win the Ive Handicap (1200m).

Mercurial Lady has firmed from $4.20 into $3.50 favouritism after consistent support including bets of $600 at $4.20 five times, $500 at $4.20 three times, $1000 at $4.05, $670 at $4 three times, $500 at $4 three times and $720 at $3.80 three times.

• Big Bets: Local popular in Group 1 feature

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TRACK CONDITIONS

ROSEHILL GARDENS
Weather: Cool, mostly sunny day and a forecast top temperature of 17c.
Track: Good (4).
Rail: 6m out.

EAGLE FARM
Weather: Mild, partly cloudy day with the slight chance of a shower and a forecast top temperature of 15c.
Track: Good (4).
Rail: 6m out.

CAULFIELD
Weather: Cool, mostly sunny day with light winds and a forecast top temperature of 25c.
Track: Soft (6).
Rail: 12m out.

MORPHETTVILLE PARKS
Weather: Cool, partly cloudy day with a slight chance of a shower and a forecast top temperature of 16c.
Track: Soft (6).
Rail: True.

• LAURIE’S LONGSHOTS: $26 chance can win, Laurie Sainsbury says

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BE WARY

Rosehill is rated a good 4 with the rail moved to 6m out (from 3m two weeks ago). Jockeys steered away from the inside at the last meeting but with a good track rating it is expected the track should play evenly. Eagle Farm is just in the soft range with the rail out 6m after being 4m out two weeks ago. Eagle Farm has been favouring leaders in recent weeks and the rail placement today is expected to advantage those on speed again. Caulfield’s rail is out 12m which is usually advantageous for leaders but the track rating of a soft 6 does even things up a little. Like always, watch early races carefully for any discernible track bias.

• Tips from the big bookies for Tatt’s Tiara Day

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ROSEHILL GARDENS TIPS

BEST BET: Race 4 No.5 WEEPING WOMAN ran well first-up on an unsuitable heavy track when third to Liberty State at Rosehill then led for a long way in a fast-run race only to be collared near the line by a very impressive Sacred Rocks. It took a good horse to beat Weeping Woman last start but she is primed third-up from a spell. The firmer track is in her favour and she will make her own luck riding the speed. There’s been solid support for Weeping Woman this week and she is ready to win.

THE NEXT BEST: Race 3 No.9 PUNTIN resumed with a close second behind The Great Houdini at Canterbury when he fought under a big weight in a tight finish. He’s very genuine – five starts for three wins and two seconds – and will be improved by that narrow first-up loss. He’s drawn a little awkward but has good tactical speed and could either lead or settle outside the leader – either way he will be in a controlling position.

VALUE BET: Race 5 No.13 MANAAJEM is a well-bred filly by Tassort out of multiple stakeswinner Najoom, herself the dam of Group 1 winner Charm Stone. Manaajem didn’t make her debut until she was a three-year-old last December and she looked good winning in fast time at Wyong by a big margin. She was then beaten as an odds-on favourite at Kensington before a spell. Manaajem then resumed at Warwick Farm and was a very short-priced favourite again when fourth over 1100m. The soft 7 track conditions were against her first-up and she will appreciate getting back onto a good track today. She is over the odds around $9.

THE WHISPER: Race 6 No.1 GREEN SHADOWS ran a blinder when sixth in the Civic Stakes last week. He drew the “car park” and had to go back to near last in a big field before he charged through the ruck to be beaten two lengths behind Headley Grange. The true merit of Green Shadows’ effort was reflected in the sectional times – he ran his final 600m in 34.90s with a closing 200m of 12.30s which were among the best splits all day. Green Shadows gets out to 1500m which suits and it is worth noting he has won on the seven-day back-up previously when going from 1400m to 1600m.

• EXPERT TIPS: Clinton Payne’s race-by-race tips and analysis for Rosehill Gardens

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EAGLE FARM TIPS

BEST BET: Race 6 No.3 MARE OF MT BULLER was very impressive when she got out to 1900m for the Epona Stakes and reeled in her rivals to win with authority. Her two runs since have been good efforts – third in The Coast and fifth in the Magic Millions National Classic – but they were over 1600m which is a short of this mare’s best distance. Mare Of Mt Buller gets out to 2100m for the Gold Crown, she’s in a fillies and mares race, drawn perfectly in barrier two and gets James McDonald. There’s a lot to like about her today.

NEXT BEST: Race 4 No.5 AUTUMN BOY, trained by Chris Waller, created a big impression on debut when he gave stablemate Central Coast a start and reeled him in late at Canterbury. Central Coast has since won to frank the form. Autumn Boy is going to be much better suited on a bigger track like Eagle Farm and going out to 1400m. Promising two-year-old who has been heavily backed from $4.20 into $3.70 after bets of $600 and $500 at $4.20, $666 a $4.15, $1725 at $4.05, $500 at $4 twice and $500 at $3.80.

VALUE BET: Race 8 no.13 TASHI has been placed seven times in stakes races – she has 10 career second placings in her 25-start career – and here she is trying to win her first stakes race in a Group 1! But this is the very consistent Tashi’s chance. The Peter Snowden-trained mare goes to the Tatt’s Tiara with a hat-trick of second placings in stakes races including her narrow loss to Floozie in the Dane Ripper Stakes. Tashi is well drawn, should be able to find cover in the front half of the field and she will be hitting the line hard.

THE WHISPER: Race 9 No.8 NEED SOME LUCK, also from the Snowden stable, has been devoid of luck in successive Listed grade races, finishing second on the Gold Coast and then second again at Eagle Farm. On both occasions, he began slowly, settled back in the field, and has had to defy track bias to finish as close as he did. Need Some Luck, a half-brother to former champion sprinter Chautauqua, is bursting to win a race and gets his chance in the Healy Stakes.

• EXPERT TIPS: Graeme Carey’s best bets, quaddie picks and race-by-race tips and analysis for Eagle Farm

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TAB FIXED ODDS BIG BETS AND MARKET MOVERS

ROSEHILL GARDENS
Race 1: Crafty Eagle $8-$7, Miss Spacegirl $8-$7
Race 2: New Pharoah $8-$4, Red Rags To Bulls $15-$9.50
Race 3: Puntin $4.60-$4.20, Don’t Forget Jack $6-$5
Race 4: Weeping Woman $4.40-$3.50, Lady Boss $8-$7, Super Norwest $15-$7.50
Race 5: Livin’ Thing $8-$4.40
Race 6: Thunderlips $6-$3.60, Green Shadows $11-$7.50
Race 7: Casual Connection $4.60-$3.10, Speycaster $8-$6.50, Mormona $15-$6.50, Bacio Del Mist $15-$7.50
Race 8: Alpha $4-$3.90, Piggyback $6-$4.20, Federer $6-$4.40
Race 9: Elamaz $4.60-$3.90, Glory Daze $6-$4.60, Townsend $11-$7.50
Race 10: Snack Bar $8-$3.60, Eye Of The Fire $11-$7

• Market Movers: Dual acceptor $9 into $4.80

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LADBROKE BIG BETS AND MARKET MOVERS

ROSEHILL GARDENS
Race 1: Khumbila $18-$9.50 with a bet of $150 at $11
Race 2: New Pharoah $5.50-$3.60, Pensitava with bets of $250 at $9.50, $250 at $9, Salute Again $13-$8.50 with a bet of $250 at $9, Red Rags To Bulls $14-$8 with a bet of $155 at $14
Race 3: Soldier Of Rome $26-$14, Don’t Forget Jack $6-$3.70 with bets of $525 at $4.80, Puntin $1000 at $4.20, Tasoraay $1000 and $500 at $4.40, $595 at $3.50
Race 4: Captain Amelia with a bet of $500 at $6.50, Weeping Woman $4.20-$3.50 with a bet of $500 at $3.60, Mia Ballerina $12-$7.50 with bets of $180 at $12, Super Norwest $12-$6.50 with a bet of $180 at $12
Race 5: Livin’ Thing $5.50-$4.20 including a bet of $560 at $4.60
Race 6: Green Shadows $8.50-$7.50 with bets of $500 at $8, $300 w/p at $7.50/$2.30, Thunderlips $5.50-$3.40, Testator Silens $20- $15
Race 7: Mormona $14-$7, Casual Connection $4.50-$3.20 with bets of $570 at $4.50, Bacio Del Mist $17-$7 with bets of $140 at $15
Race 8: Piggyback $5.50-$3.80
Race 9: Elamaz $4.80-$4 with a bet of $1000 at $4.80, Glory Daze $6-$3.90, Townsend $10-$7
Race 10: Eye Of The Fire $9-$6, Unstopabull $500 at $10), Snack Bar $5.50-$3.30 with a bet of $530 at $4.80, Liberty State $7.50-$5

EAGLE FARM
Race 1: Mishani Lily $3.60-$2.25 with a bet of $835 at $3.40, Break Free $4-$2.70
Race 2: He’s Heaven $20-$12, John Rambo $4-$3, Termagent $500 at $3.80
Race 3: Invahir $8.50-$4.80, Kazza’s Jet $31-$12
Race 4: Brave Design $3.60-$3.30 with bets of $800 at $3.50, Autumn Boy $4.20-$3.70 with bets of $600 and $500 at $4.20, $666 a $4.15, $1725 at $4.05, $500 at $4 twice, $500 at $3.80
Race 5: Banker’s Choice $9.50-$6.50, Mr Waterville $21-$7 with a bet of $165 at $13
Race 6: Mare Of Mt Buller $3.60-$2.80 with a bet of $770 at $3.60, Thalassophile $16-$11 with bets of $135 at $16, Quietness $6-$4.80 with a bet of $525 at $4.80, $650 at $4.40
Race 7: Rising Pacific with a bet of $1000 w/p at $9.25/$2.90, The Inflictor $6.50-$4 with a $365 bet at $6.50
Race 8: Grinzinger Belle with a bet of $500 at $14, Infancy $35-$19, Floozie $2000 at $4.60, $500 at $4.50, $550 at $4.40
Race 9: Metalart $8.50-$6.50, Midnight In Tokyo $26-$14

CAULFIELD
Race 1: Frostnip $14-$8.50 with a bet of $155 at $14
Race 2: Manolo Bling $3.50-$2.60, Trembles $5-$4.20 with bets of $300 at $5, $525 at $4.80 twice
Race 3: Stage ‘N’ Screen $5-$3.70 with a bet of $500 at $5, Xarpo $300 at $7.50, Mercurial Lady $4.20-$3.50 with bets of $600 at $4.20 five times, $500 at $4.20 three times, $1000 at $4.05, $670 at $4 three times, $500 at $4 three times, $720 at $3.80 three times
Race 4: Harry’s Yacht $4.80-$3.50 with a bet of $500 at $5,
Race 5: Euphoric $500 at $5, Captain Electric $3.30-$3.80-$2.80 with a bet of $715 at $3.80
Race 6: Cheerstothat $5.50-$3.70 with a bet of $445 at $5.50
Race 7: Chinqui $7-$6.50 with bets of $250 each-way at $7/$2.40, Raikoke $7.50-$6
Race 8: Milford with bets of $300 and $150 at $14, Sayedaty Sadaty $5-$3.70 with a bet of $500 at $5, Fame $26-$15, Amberite $20-$7 with bets of $125 a $17, $180 at $12
Race 9: Run Harry Run $10-$6.50 with a bet of $220 at $10, The Open $625 at $4.20, $670 at $4

• EXPERT TIPS: Brad Waters’ best bets, quaddie picks, race-by-race tips and analysis for Caulfield

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INTERSTATE MAIL
Caulfield Race 1 No.6 OYSTER LANE
Caulfield Race 3 No.10 MERCURIAL LADY
Caulfield Race 6 No.3 THE BLACK CLOUD
Caulfield Race 9 No.10 THE OPEN
Morphettville Race 4 No.6 FICKLE
Morphettville Race 6 No.12 MARK OF THE MAN

• EXPERT TIPS: Heath Pope’s best for Morphettville Parks, Aaron Mills’ top tips for Pinjarra

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PROVINCIAL MAIL
Newcastle Race 4 No.1 LOVING
Newcastle Race 6 No.5 IN SUMMER

• Shayne O’Cass’s tips, inside mail for Newcastle on Saturday

#Good luck today and I hope you back plenty of winners

Originally published as The Last Say: Tips, late mail and market movers for 2025 Tatt’s Tiara day on Saturday, June 28, 2025

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Original URL: https://www.ntnews.com.au/sport/racing/the-last-say-tips-late-mail-and-market-movers-for-2025-tatts-tiara-day-on-saturday-june-28-2025/news-story/cb36796a98329a75665b70add609c077