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SuperCoach AFL round 4 trade guide: Experts rate most popular moves, top targets

Is Jack Billings’ time up already in SuperCoach? Who is the best rookie option in defence? Get our expert verdict on the players being traded in and out for round 4.

Round 4 (Gather Round!) preview: Sam Darcy on the bubble, Jack Billings stocks down, and GIANTS off the bye | SuperCoach AFL

Are you catching up with the pack or trying to get ahead?

Priorities start to diverge after last week’s bubble rush, with some coaches looking to upgrade their team (very) early while others are strengthening their rookie stocks or jumping on a money train before it totally leaves the station.

Then there are Jordan Dawson owners. We feel for you, guys.

Here are our experts’ verdicts on the 10 most traded in and traded out players for rond 4.

MOST TRADED IN

1. Sam Darcy $123,900 FWD

Al Paton: BUY. Job security is a concern but worth the risk given his Break Even (-92) and money making potential.

Tim Michell: BUY. Can’t feel 100 per cent confident buying a Bulldog the way Bevo is spinning the magnets and subs and Rory Lobb is lurking in the VFL. But he looks a sure bet to make $100k-plus.

Dan Batten: BUY. Getting some good ruck minutes and as well as the cash, he should get handy FWD-RUC eligibility.

Max Stainkamph: BUY. Sure! If you need a forward rookie then Sam’s the man, but watch out for Bevo. He’s gonna getcha sooner or later.

Tarquin Oakley: BUY: Despite his lower score in round 2 Darcy will make a stack of cash. Just a question of whether he can keep Lobb out of the side.

Young Bulldogs tall Sam Darcy is the buy of the week. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images
Young Bulldogs tall Sam Darcy is the buy of the week. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images

2. Josh Draper $123,900 DEF

AP: PASS. An option if you need a warm body on field but I’m hoping to skate through this week with two zeroes on the bench in defence then go back to best 18 scoring for a couple of weeks. Procrastination is the key to success, right?

TM: BUY. Seems to have been largely forgotten but I loved his second game. He’s more than a key defender he takes the game on and likes to run and break lines. Great job security too to get us out of the defensive rookie mess.

DB: PASS. A likely type and not the worst shout if you need it, but I feel his debut score of 35 is a better reflection of his scoring going forward than his 68 against the Crows.

MS: BUY. I like the cut of Josh Draper’s jib. He should have good job security with Freo’s defensive timber felled, but don’t expect many scores.

TO: BUY: A cheaper defensive option than Tom Brown if you need a little bit of extra coin to chase a premium down.

3. Tom Brown $154,200 DEF

AP: CONSIDER. If I need a defensive rookie this week he’s the one I’ll target. Price is a bit annoying but expect the Tigers to invest in the top-20 draft pick.

TM: BUY. Saw a Tiger Twitter page a few days ago which was dedicated to his kicking, and, as The Phantom loves to say, good kicking is good SuperCoach. Doesn’t need a lot of footy to score well and Richmond is ravaged by injury.

DB: BUY. The first-round pick is a noted interceptor and looks to be the locked in the Richmond defence

MS: My pick of the rookies this week. Seems to have a set role, 60 seems like it could be his floor and will (hopefully) only improve. $150k price tag hurts, though.

TO: BUY: Looks a more consistent scorer than Draper but has a bye in round 6.

Tom Brown (right) has settled into Richmond’s backline. Picture: Jason Edwards
Tom Brown (right) has settled into Richmond’s backline. Picture: Jason Edwards

4. Tom Powell $375,000 FWD

AP: BUY. Try to forget how much you could have got him for last week, $375k is still a great price for a potential top-six forward.

TM: BUY. Great role, still under $400k. Bulk CBAs. Might even be a keeper.

DB: BUY. I went Harry McKay over Powell last week and will be jumping on the Tom train a week late.

MS: BUY, BUY BUY. Get on before it’s too late. He’ll average 90-95 but at that price is a gimme.

TO: BUY: Still at a great price with a negative Break Even and a fantastic role in the middle. Will have DPP status soon.

5. Oliver Dempsey $219,800 FWD

AP: PASS. Loved Dempsey’s game on Easter Monday and he’ll be a great money maker for those who got on last week, but $219k is just too much to pay for a rookie who could drop a bad score at any time.

TM: CONSIDER. Missing out on $70k of cash generation is a tough pill to swallow but he’s playing well enough to still make at least another $100k, if not more.

DB: PASS. One poor score will raise his Break Even at this kind of price. Is a wingman/half forward worth $220k?

MS: PASS. Nope, we’ve missed the boat, folks. Do not pass go, do not collect $200, go directly to the land of regret.

TO: CONSIDER: A big miss for me and others who didn’t get the $70k price rise from Dempsey, but now we must consider if he’s a good mid-price option rather than a rookie.

6. Sam Flanders $528,200 MID/FWD

AP: BUY. My original plan was to trade James Jordon to him next week on Sydney’s bye, but why wait?

TM: BUY. If you were holding off until after the Suns’ bye you’ve got two very compelling reasons to pick him. The bye is now done and he’s averaging 118.

DB: BUY. Fresh off the bye and looks a certain top six forward.

MS: BUY.I’m bringing him in this week. When Dimma says a bloke’s gonna be good for SuperCoach, then he’s gonna be good for SuperCoach.

TO: BUY: Perfect time to jump on for non-owners fresh off his bye and looks to be the most reliable forward option this year.

Tom Green is averaging 140 after two games. Picture: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images
Tom Green is averaging 140 after two games. Picture: Mark Kolbe/Getty Images

7. Tom Green $653,200 MID

AP: CONSIDER. A tough one considering Green’s start to the year but he has played North Melbourne and West Coast, and is very expensive. If you have the cash lying around then sure, but money might be better invested elsewhere then pick up Green after his next bye in round 12 ... if you can survive watching footy without him that long.

TM: BUY. Might be M1 come the end of the year.

DB: BUY. Although consider how it affects the rest of your team.

MS: CONSIDER. You’d be Green with envy if you didn’t start him. If you’ve somehow got the cash, yes, but for the love of all that’s holy don’t go ruining your team and trading out Roberts or McKercher to get him.

TO: BUY: A great get if you can afford him and is a better option than Serong this week given George Hewett awaits the Docker.

8. Isaac Heeney $591,000 FWD

AP: PASS. Not the week before his bye, when most teams will already have a long list of Sydney and Collingwood players missing. Don’t watch the Swans-Eagles game this week if you don’t have him, though.

TM: PASS. You’ve missed the boat here with Taylor Adams back and Luke Parker not far away.

DB: BUY. If you don’t get on this week, you may be kissing goodbye to Heeney with a favourable match-up against West Coast.

MS: PASS. He’s too expensive and has the bye coming up, so all us who don’t own him are locked in to at least one more week of staring blankly into the middle distance, wondering what could have been if we hadn’t been such big idiots for fading him.

TO: PASS: One week until the bye and with Taylor Adams coming back I would hold off if I was a non-owner and see how his role is affected. Make plans to jump on in round 6 if you’re still keen.

9. Jack Steele $557,700 MID

AP: BUY. I wasn’t totally sold on Steele returning to his super hero self even when I picked in my team at the start of the year, but after three rounds we can say he’s definitely back. And still great value at that price.

TIM: BUY. Averaging 26 disposals but it’s everything else he’s doing that has him scoring 120s every week. Averaging six clearances, six score involvements, four inside-50s and eight tackles a game. Midfielders who aren’t reliant on big disposal numbers for points are gold.

DB: BUY. Opposition mids have taken the micky against the Tigers and I expect Steele to do the same. One I’m seriously considering.

MS: BUY. He’s good! He’s back! Great option for those trading Wines out.

TO: BUY: I love Steele as an option. Nobody is taking points off him in that St Kilda midfield and he’s a tackle machine.

Jack Steele is back to his best. Picture: Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images
Jack Steele is back to his best. Picture: Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images

10. Lachie Bramble $347,900 DEF/MID

AP: BUY: A classic Bevo player. Sould be a safe placeholder in defence at a bargain price, but will need to be traded out again to a geniune premium at some stage.

TM: CONSIDER. Role is great but I’m not sold he’s a keeper or going to generate enough cash from here.

DB: BUY. Seems to have the role and most of the kick-ins under Bevo.

MS: PASS. He sure is a footballer who’s alive and playing and scoring points. He should keep being the first two, will he be the third?

TO: CONSIDER: Looks the goods if you want to go down the mid-priced path again.

MOST TRADED OUT

1. Nick Coffield $123,900 DEF

AP: HOLD. Only a must-trade if you are looking at a zero on the field, or you really like one of the backline rookies on the bubble this week.

TM: TRADE. Not likely to play again for at least three months. There’s a stack of DPP DEF-MIDs coming, so don’t feel like you have to rush this one though.

DB: TRADE. But can also hold if you aren’t fielding a doughnut.

MS: TRADE. He’s injured, so not an essential trade out, but if you can move him on, do so.

TO: CONSIDER: The injured Coffield is working nicely for me as a loophole off the bench, but if your team is going so well that you don’t have other priority trade outs you can move him on.

2. Jack Billings $305,900 MID/FWD

AP: TRADE. What were the Dogs doing when they allowed him to take 15 uncontested marks in round 1? Isn’t going to be the reliable scorer or cash generator his owners hoped.

TM: TRADE. Like many I took the bait hook, line and sinker. Serious waste of two trades, sadly.

DB: TRADE. Two weeks was long enough.

MS: TRADE. My mother taught me if you weren’t going to say anything nice about people moving heaven and earth to bring in a guy who was an obvious sub risk and with dicey role security after being discarded from his previous club and then said people needing to find a rapid exit strategy for an objectively bad pick, then don’t say anything at all. So I won’t.

TO: TRADE: The option of holding two more weeks until his bye could actually lose you money.

Trading in Jack Billings hasn’t worked out. Picture: Morgan Hancock/Getty Images
Trading in Jack Billings hasn’t worked out. Picture: Morgan Hancock/Getty Images

3. James Jordon $344,700 MID/FWD

AP: CONSIDER. Could wait for one more price rise before moving him on at Sydney’s bye, but SuperCoach Plus is only projecting a $12k jump so if it works for your plans this week, feel free to jettison him.

TM: CONSIDER. Ideally give him one more week with Sydney playing West Coast but move him on if it helps you land a big gun.

DB: CONSIDER. The logical move is to hold him for the Eagles, but if it gets you a premium a week early, by all means go for it.

MS: WAIT. Hold him for one more week until his bye.

TO: HOLD: A much easier hold than Billings with a Break Even of only 44 and one more match against lowly West Coast before his bye. Then you can reassess.

4. Blake Howes $215,600 DEF

AP: HOLD! I can’t afford to trade out anyone who’s playing in defence, and his safe should be safe with Marty Hore injured. Will make more money with a decent score, too.

TM: TRADE. Just about maxed out on cash gen now after a stinker last round. Had been reliable up until then but now needs an 80-90 score to kickstart his money making again.

DB: HOLD. Still some more cash to make, and trading out Reid or Coffield is probably a greater priority.

MS: HOLD. We’ve hardly made any cash from him and another 80 gets his price moving again.

TO: HOLD: I’m backing him in to regenerate another cash surge and the risk is not all that high given his Break Even of 30.

5. Nat Fyfe $319,200 MID/FWD

AP: CONSIDER. Not a keeper but his role is great and another triple-figure score is coming, probably the week I trade him out.

TM: TRADE. But only if it’s helping get you to a big gun. Fyfe is doing enough at the moment that trading him shouldn’t be a priority.

DB: TRADE. His midfield minutes are remain strong but you might be better off looking elsewhere.

MS: HOLD. Hold for a bit longer unless you’ve got a real juicy Flanders-type in mind.

TO: CONSIDER: Still has some money to make and showd he can crack the ton in round 1, but will always be a sub risk.

Nat Fyfe attended 65 per cent of centre bounces in Fremantle’s last match. Picture: Daniel Carson/AFL Photos via Getty Images
Nat Fyfe attended 65 per cent of centre bounces in Fremantle’s last match. Picture: Daniel Carson/AFL Photos via Getty Images

6. Zane Duursma $213,000 MID/FWD

AP: TRADE. If you need to trade out a forward to bring in Darcy or upgrade to a premium, he’s at the top of the list.

TM: CONSIDER. Averaging 51 which is pretty decent playing as a first-year forward at North Melbourne. Trading him to Sam Darcy will boost your budget faster, though.

DB: TRADE. Tough match-ups against Brisbane and Geelong to come.

MS: Can be traded, but lower priority.

TO: TRADE: Has a 29 in his scoring cycle, and a downgrade to Darcy gives you an extra $90k to work with.

7. Ollie Wines $474,300 MID

AP: TRADE. Solves the headache of coaches watching him score well, but not well enough to match other top-end mids or shoot up in price. Like the idea of using this is an opportunity to get an extra strong rookie on field in the midfield and bringing in a top-liner in defence or the forward line.

TM: TRADE. When has a 29-year-old ever missed one week with a hamstring? Ship him for a premium like Tom Green, Touk Miller or Jack Steele.

DB: TRADE. After some solid but not outstanding scores, you now have the perfect excuse to bring in Jack Steele, Matt Crouch or even Nic Martin.

MS: CONSIDER. I still maintain Wines is a good pick and has been exactly what we expected, but wouldn’t begrudge anyone from trading this week, especially now we’re back to Best 22.

8. Zac Fisher $380,500 FWD

AP: TRADE. Not losing money so could hold but can be part of trade plans to get a real premium.

TM: TRADE. Not going to be a top-six forward. Start working out which premium you’re going to turn him into and pull the trigger.

DB: TRADE. Too many seagulls to feed in that North Melbourne backline, so his scoring will likely be inconsistent.

MS: If you’ve held him so far then continue holding.

TO: CONSIDER: A tough one given he’s a reasonably safe hold with a low enough Break Even, but will he really be a season keeper and can you use him to trade up to a gun premium?

Ollie Wines has suffered a hamstring injury. Picture: Sarah Reed/AFL Photos via Getty Images
Ollie Wines has suffered a hamstring injury. Picture: Sarah Reed/AFL Photos via Getty Images

9. Caleb Windsor $233,000 MID/FWD

AP: TRADE. Swap him for a real money maker.

TM: TRADE. Scored about 40 points in the last quarter against Port but the bigger concern is he was on less than 20 before then. Bye coming up too makes him expendable.

DB: TRADE/HOLD. Not a must trade and will have the occasional spike game, but a trade to Darcy looks a solid move

MS: CONSIDER. Candidate to trade out.

TO: HOLD: There are other more urgent issues than Windsor at this stage. Can wait a couple of weeks until his bye to make a call.

10. Jordan Dawson $590,400 MID

AP: TRADE. Holding premiums usually turns out to be the right move but I don’t think I could suffer through another poor score. You could get Steele or Touk Miller and have some change left over.

TM: HOLD. Has all the hallmarks of Hayden Young and Nic Martin. If you trade him, he’ll find his kicking boots and pump out a 150.

DB: CONSIDER. The traditional view would be to say stick fat with him, but with extra trades we can afford to be ruthless. Has had no trouble finding the footy, though.

MS: HOLD. People will be jumping on Dawson soon when his price bottoms out, and he’s too good a player to stay bad for long. Besides, you can tell all the new buyers you owned him before it was cool.

TO: CONSIDER: You feel like a massive score is just around the corner, but Touk Miller, Jack Steele and Matt Rowell all beckon.

Trade guide: Top targets, who’s on chopping block for round 4

– Tim Michell and Al Paton

The SuperCoach money trains have left the station.

Now it’s just a matter of whether you can catch up or wait for the next one to arrive.

Harry McKay, Tom Powell and a host of rookies are set to spike in price after their third games of the season in round 3, and Hawk Massimo D’Ambrosio will join them after Easter Monday.

McKay and Powell both delighted their new owners with strong performances on Good Friday and are in line to rise by about $70k and $65k respectively when lockout ends.

Although coaches who wanted another look have missed out on a hefty jump in value, there is still money to be made on popular picks such as McKay, Powell and D’Ambrosio.

What you need to weigh up is just how much their value could still rise and whether it justifies paying a premium compared to what thousands of other coaches did.

Meanwhile, some players coaches hoped would be a goldmine this season have flatlined, prompting questions about whether it’s too early to trade them out.

Here are our top targets ahead of round 4, and who could be on the chopping block.

TRADE IN TARGETS

Harry McKay is one of the form players in SuperCoach. Picture: Robert Cianflone/Getty Images
Harry McKay is one of the form players in SuperCoach. Picture: Robert Cianflone/Getty Images

HARRY MCKAY (FWD) $467,200

The big Blue is yet to score below 107 points in any game this year – including Carlton’s pre-season clash against Melbourne. In the real stuff, McKay has gone 130, 112 and 137 and is heading towards $500k fast. One of McKay and his partner-in-crime Charlie Curnow will get Alex Pearce this week and the Dockers skipper is one of the form defenders in the league. But if McKay ends up with a match-up against Josh Draper, the third-gamer is going to have his work cut out. McKay kicked five goals and had a huge say in the Blues’ Good Friday win over North Melbourne, taking him to 11.2 for the season.

TOM POWELL (FWD) $375,000

Powell amassed 92 points despite North Melbourne being well beaten by Carlton on Friday. A few days after inking a new deal at Arden St, Powell had 29 disposals, kicked a goal and most importantly recorded 33 centre bounce attendances. Had Powell not recorded six turnovers, he might already be $400k. As it was, his price jumped by over $60,000 and he enters round 4 with a negative Break Even. The 22-year-old has a prominent role in the Roos’ midfield and is destined to have DPP status after round 7 as a FWD-MID. Plenty of coaches are already hoping Powell will end up as a forward keeper due to the lack of standout premium options. If you think he can be, there’s no reason not to jump on this week and what is still a very affordable price.

OLIVER DEMPSEY (FWD) $219,800

Our man at the Geelong advertiser Dan Batten told us the Cats love Dempsey, and just over 9000 coaches made the best rookie call of the round by trading him in on his bubble game. Conditions at the MCG were terrible for a young goal sneak but Dempsey showed he is much more than that, roaming the field to gather 22 disposals, 11 contested possessions, six marks, seven tackles and 86 points in an ultra impressive 88 per cent game time. He was unlucky not to score higher with some touches in the wet just missing their target. And all that without hitting the scoreboard. Dempsey’s price spiked by $71k after lockout but there is more money to be made – SuperCoach Plus predicts he’ll be $300k in a few weeks and $350k by round 9. Throw in reliable on-field scores and it’s a compelling package.

Sam Darcy is on the bubble this week. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images
Sam Darcy is on the bubble this week. Picture: Daniel Pockett/Getty Images

SAM DARCY (FWD) $123,900

Almost 11,000 coaches had seen enough after Darcy’s first game to trade him in last week. Many of the rest had him locked into their round 4 trade plans, but things have become a little complicated. Darcy couldn’t back up his 109 in his first game of the year, scoring 54 in the Bulldogs’ rout of West Coast, kicking one goal from 11 disposals and providing some back-up to Tim English in the ruck, taking 27 ruck contests including seven centre bounces. His Break Even is a mouth-watering -92 and SuperCoach Plus projects a $61k price jump after his next game ... assuming he stays in the team. Darcy replaced Rory Lobb, who dominated in the VFL with five goals and 20 hitouts. And let’s not forget an individual named Luke Beveridge sits on match committee. Wait to see next week’s teams before committing.

TOM BROWN (DEF) $154,200

The other issue with Darcy is that forward lines are already well stocked with quality cheapies. The desperate need is at the other end of the ground, where a young Tiger could be a saviour. Brown appears to have locked away his spot in Adem Yze’s backline after his second game of 2024 featured several key defensive acts and piercing kicks that set up counter-punches from Richmond’s back half. Brown doesn’t rack up huge disposal tallies but looks assured with the ball, going at 80 per cent efficiency against the Swans (five intercepts) from his 10 touches, after 13 at 77 per cent (eight intercepts) the week before. The 17th pick in the 2021 draft has now played three AFL games and scored 69, 63 and 60 including the final round last year, which pushed his starting price above $150,000. But he’s on the bubble this week and could be the best option to get reliable scores at the fragile bottom end in defence.

AARON CADMAN (FWD) $194,100

The No.1 draft pick from 2022 has made a strong start to his second season, kicking seven goals in three games and averaging 81 SuperCoach points. Cadman’s price has already jumped by more than $66k, but with a Break Even of -52 the key forward is projected to have at least another 1-2 weeks of serious money making. Cadman will face tougher opposition than North Melbourne and West Coast in the next few weeks, but after averaging 22.8 last year, he has delighted coaches who took the punt by starting him. Sam Darcy is more of a priority this week though, with forward spots at a premium this year.

Max King has a negative Break Even as he returns from suspension. Picture: Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images
Max King has a negative Break Even as he returns from suspension. Picture: Dylan Burns/AFL Photos via Getty Images

MAX KING (FWD) $341,500

The next Jesse Hogan and Harry McKay? Key forwards are known for their volatile SuperCoach scoring but coaches who gambled on Hogan and McKay have so far been rewarded. King has a Break Even of -32 and only needs a score of 80 against Richmond to rise by about $50k. The Saints spearhead has scored 115 and 110 against Geelong and Collingwood this year and has a depleted Richmond defence this week. Another triple-figure score will all but guarantee a profit of $100k or more for those who trade King in prior to round 4.

NICK VLASTUIN (DEF) $560,800

Vlastuin has always been around the mark in defence but a rung below the elite scorers, but that could be about to change in the triple premiership Tiger’s 13th season. Vlastuin opened the season with scores of 118 and 134, then scored 71 against Port Adelaide before exploding with one of the best individual games by a defender in recent memory. Twenty-seven disposals at 100 per cent efficiency and 15 intercepts helped Vlastuin to 167 points against Sydney. It makes sense to wait until after Richmond’s round 6 bye to target him with a trade but by then you might have to pay over $600,000 for a player who started the year cheaper than Hayden Young.

JORDAN CLARK (DEF) $498,500

SuperCoaches could be forgiven for having heard enough talk about Fremantle defenders, but Clark is another name we should be taking seriously in 2024. The dashing half-back has opened the season with scores of 108, 119 and 119, the latest coming from 26 disposals (88 per cent efficiency), seven marks and two tackles. He also has the nice bonus of taking at least two kick-ins each week so far this season, taking three against the Crows and playing on from two of them. The appeal of Clark is that even after his first price rise he will still be available for under $500,000, which could get some coaches out of jail in a shaky back six this year.

AND FOUR GUNS COMING OFF THE BYE ...

TOUK MILLER (MID) $572,600

Miller has already risen by $27k, but is all but certain to climb again after round 4 due to a Break Even of 72. The Suns co-captain has been back to his best in the early rounds, scoring 116., 137 and 115 to remind SuperCoaches what a dominant force he can be. Match-ups against early frontrunners GWS and Sydney in the next month will be tricky, but Miller also faces Hawthorn and West Coast in the next four weeks. Any fears his scoring would be hampered by Damien Hardwick’s coaching have been well and truly quashed.

LACHIE WHITFIELD (DEF) $544,800

After finding a home in defence during the second half of last year (averaging 109 in his last 10 games), Whitfield has been one of the top defensive scorers in SuperCoach during the Giants’ opening three games of 2024. Whitfield has scored 108, 118 and 124 already this year and gone up by more than $25k from his opening quote. Whitfield has had 17 kick-outs in three matches and become the No.1 distributor from defence for GWS ahead of Harry Himmelberg and Lachie Ash. With such an integral role in Adam Kingsley’s backline, Whitfield looks every bit a top-six defensive threat this year. He is projected to rise another $18k after round 4.

Lachie Whitfield has become an integral part of Adam Kingsley’s defence. Picture: Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images
Lachie Whitfield has become an integral part of Adam Kingsley’s defence. Picture: Michael Willson/AFL Photos via Getty Images

SAM FLANDERS (FWD-MID) $528,200

Coaches who decided to wait until after the bye for the breakout Sun of 2023 will have to pay $34k above his starting price to add Flanders this week. Flanders is averaging 29 disposals, 3.7 marks, three tackles and 4.7 inside-50s a game, building on his prolific finish to last season with a key role in Hardwick’s midfield mix. Flanders has posted three consecutive tons to start the season, going 124, 128 and 102 in successive matches. He is projected to reach a peak price of about $550k in a few weeks, so you can afford to wait if you have other priorities and think finding the extra $20k won’t be too difficult.

TOM GREEN (MID) $653,200

One of the big questions of pre-season was whether to start with Green (knowing he played West Coast and North Melbourne early) or to wait until after the Giants’ bye. Those who were prepared to cop a doughnut in round 3 were rewarded with scores of 152 and 137, which more than justified the decision to start with Green. He even rose by more than $30k after his third game, so those without Green will need to spend more than $650k to bring him in. Green has scored 147 (Gold Coast), 119 (St Kilda) and 145 (Carlton) in his last three matches against GWS’s next opponents, numbers which make for ominous reading for coaches without Green.

TRADE-OUT OPTIONS

JORDAN DAWSON (MID) $590,400

More than 25,000 coaches discovered the perils in round 3 of trading out a top-line player who has been getting the footy but wasting it, dragging down their SuperCoach scores. Hayden Young found his radar on Friday night, hitting the target with 78 per cent of his 32 disposals, and powered his way to 132 SuperCoach points. Can Dawson turn the corner? He has had 27, 26 and 26 disposals in his three games, only a touch under his average for his elite SuperCoach season in 2023. But his sure-fire left boot has become a liability, hitting the target with fewer than half of his 55 kicks over the first three rounds. Holding premiums is often the right play, but how much more can Dawson’s owners endure after SuperCoach scores of 82, 96 and 68 from a player who averaged 116 last year? His price will crash after lockout ends and his Break Even next week will be astronomical.

Jordan Dawson and the Crows are off the boil in 2024. Picture: James Elsby/AFL Photos via Getty Images
Jordan Dawson and the Crows are off the boil in 2024. Picture: James Elsby/AFL Photos via Getty Images

JACK BILLINGS (FWD-MID) $305,900

Remember way back in round 1 when Billings scored 119 points against the Bulldogs? Those were the good old days. Fast-forward two weeks and Billings has scored 69 and 42 before being subbed off against Port Adelaide. His price will tick upwards to around $300,000 but that could just about be it for his cash generation unless he can put up a big score in the next couple of weeks. And after being used as the sub twice in four games – and missing selection altogether in opening round – his place in the Demons’ best 22 doesn’t look anywhere near as assured as it did. Hopefully he can at least get to the round 6 bye before owners cash him in.

JAMES JORDON (FWD-MID) $344,700

Jordon has been the pick of the $200-$300k forward group which was the talk of the SuperCoach pre-season, but that group has a whole has underdelivered and a poor score against Richmond has Jordon in the gun heading into round 4. He eked out 65 points from 18 disposals (six contested) and one tackle. The former Demon used the ball well (89 per cent efficiency) but it’s fair to say he had limited impact on the contest and attended just two centre bounces. His Break Even is creeping up and owners might need to revise predictions of how much cash Jordon would deliver, but he should be a safe pick for one more week then cash him in on Sydney’s bye in round 5.

Harley Reid is the most selected player in SuperCoach. Picture: Darrian Traynor/Getty Images
Harley Reid is the most selected player in SuperCoach. Picture: Darrian Traynor/Getty Images

HARLEY REID (FWD-MID) $242,200

The No.1 draft pick has shown glimpses of his enormous talent in the first three games of his AFL career, but the unfortunate truth is it’s hard going for anyone walking into the West Coast midfield right now. The Eagles’ losing margins are getting bigger each week, and Reid’s SuperCoach scores are going in the wrong direction – scoring 78 in round 1, 63 in round 2 and 54 in round 3 from 12 disposals against the Bulldogs. The role is good – he attended 15 centre bounces, third for the Eagles behind Tim Kelly and Elliot Yeo. But ruckman Bailey Williams is fighting a losing battle every week and SuperCoach Plus projects Reid’s price will plateau at about $250k in a week or two. The draft experts who saw him dominate in every level he played last year tell us to keep the faith, but it’s a serious question whether to start Reid on field or on the bench against the Swans next week.

Originally published as SuperCoach AFL round 4 trade guide: Experts rate most popular moves, top targets

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Original URL: https://www.ntnews.com.au/sport/afl/supercoach-news/supercoach-afl-round-4-trade-guide-harry-mckay-tom-powell-and-the-best-trade-targets/news-story/408db20d26d046ef215e8c1da31144a1