US Election swing state results and analysis
The US election was won in seven swing states. See the detailed results and the photos of joy and defeat inside the battlegrounds that handed Donald Trump back the keys to the White House.
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While people in all 50 states of the US went to the polls on Tuesday, the election itself was fought, won and lost in seven so-called “swing” states.
These are the states where the contest was incredibly tight, and where Donald Trump and Kamala Harris have been focusing their attention over the past few weeks.
Here’s an update on where the seven states stand according to Reuters and the Fox Decision Desk.
CALLED
In Georgia, 97.3 per cent of vote counted, Trump has 50.8 per cent and Harris 48.5 per cent. Fox News called for Trump
In North Carolina, 99 per cent is counted and Trump has 51.1 per cent and Harris 47.7 per cent. Fox News has called it for Trump.
In Pennsylvania, where 97.26 per cent of the vote has been counted, Trump has 50.7 per cent and Harris 48.4 per cent. Fox News called for Trump.
In Wisconsin, where 98.77 per cent of the vote has been counted, Trump has 49.7 per cent to Harris on 48.8 per cent. Fox News called for Trump.
In Michigan, where 98.39 per cent of the vote has been counted, Trump has 49.8 per cent and Harris at 48.3 per cent.
UNDECIDED
As of early Friday morning AEDT, in Arizona, 69.05 per cent of the vote was counted, and Trump has 52.3 per cent and Harris 46.8 per cent.
In Nevada, 89.73 per cent had been counted, with Trump on 51 per cent and Harris is on 47.2 per cent.
ARIZONA
Electoral college votes: 11
2016 Election: Republican
2020 Election: Democrat
Demographic: Fastest population growth in US. Home to 27 Native American tribes. Around 30 per cent Hispanic. Two thirds identify as Christian.
Key issues: Immigration reform, water scarcity.
Arizona was among 2020s tightest races, with Biden triumphing by just 10,457 votes.
Trump hopes frustrations over the Biden-Harris administration’s immigration policy will swing Arizona, which shares a border with Mexico, back in his favour.
GEORGIA – Trump wins
Electoral college votes: 16
2016 Election: Republican
2020 Election: Democrat
Demographic: Racially diverse – 50 per cent white and 30 per cent black. Black voter turnout tipped to decide result. Relatively high numbers of LGBT people – particularly in Atlanta.
Key issues: economy, jobs, Black Lives Matter
This southeastern state was an election flashpoint at the end of Trump’s first term, and the controversy simmers.
Prosecutors in Georgia indicted Trump in an election interference case after he called state officials urging them to “find” enough votes to overturn Biden’s narrow 2020 victory.
But in a boost for Trump, the case is paused until after the election. Biden was the first Democrat to win the state since 1992.
NEVADA
Electoral college votes: 6
2016 Election: Democrat
2020 Election: Democrat
Demographic: 30 per cent Hispanic. One of the least populous states. Lowest church attendance rates in US. Highest unemployment rate in US.
Key issues: Jobs, abortion, cost of living.
Nevada, with a population of 3.1 million, hasn’t voted Republican since 2004. But conservatives, buoyed by Trump’s headway with Hispanic voters, are convinced they can flip the script.
NORTH CAROLINA – Trump wins
Electoral college votes: 16
2016 Election: Republican
2020 Election: Republican
Demographic: One of the most populous states. Predominantly white, but one in four people are black. Very religious – mostly Protestant or Baptist.
Key issues: Healthcare, economy
The southeastern state has voted Democratic only once since 1980, but Harris believes it’s back in play.
The population, now over 10 million, is expanding and growing more diverse, benefiting Democrats.
PENNSYLVANIA – Trump wins
Electoral college votes: 19
2016 Election: Republican
2020 Election: Democrat
Demographic: Predominantly white, one of the highest numbers of elderly, Amish population in rural areas
Key issues: Abortion, economy
Pennsylvania was once reliably Democratic, but these days, it’s consistently one of the tightest races of any state. Trump won by 0.7 percentage points in 2016, and Biden claimed it by 1.2 percentage points in 2020.
MICHIGAN - Trump wins
Electoral college votes: 15
2016 Election: Republican
2020 Election: Democrat
Demographic: Predominantly white and Catholic. Recent upswing in homelessness.
Key issues: Inflation, jobs, abortion.
Trump flipped Michigan, a former Democratic stronghold, on his way to defeating Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Biden returned it to the blue column in 2020, buoyed by unionised workers and a large black community.
WISCONSIN – Trump wins
Electoral college votes: 10
2016 Election: Republican
2020 Election: Democrat
Demographic: Predominantly white. One in three have German heritage. Low unemployment.
Key issues: economy, abortion.
Clinton lost Wisconsin after giving the state a wide berth during the 2016 campaign.
As with Midwestern neighbour Michigan, it was a different story when Trump’s opponent was Biden, who turned a 23,000-vote deficit into a winning margin of 21,000 for Democrats.
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