Shayne O’Cass’s extended preview and tips for Rosehill Gardens
Daily Telegraph form analyst Shayne O’Cass examines every race at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday to point you in the right direction to finding a winner.
Daily Telegraph form analyst Shayne O’Cass runs the rule over every race, including suggested bets, for the Rosehill meeting on Saturday.
The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here.
ROSEHILL
Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 5m.
RACE 1
Overview: Kazalark’s number one fan speaking ; he was very good at Kembla last start over the mile and is crying for 1800m and more in 2023. Lot of people are talking him up as a Queensland Derby horse and rightfully so. I was thinking of the Rosehill Guineas and Australian Derby myself but maybe he does need that little extra time. By the way, his third dam is the great Riverina Charm. Kudos (big time) to Chris Waller for the early scratching of the favourite.
Betting Advice: Kazalark to win.
RACE 2
Overview: Terry Robinson has won more Highways than any other trainer (23 isn’t it?) and can add another one to the tally on Saturday via Danzadel whose last two Highway runs have been excellent. Songblue is a Highway veteran of sorts and has run well in the majority of them. He is back to Highway grade on the weekend after finishing an even fourth to Deep Snow (who goes well) in what looks a deep (no pun intended) Benchmark 72 race here last start.
Betting Advice: Danzadel each-way
RACE 3
Overview: Operative, a $900,000 yearling, has looked a million dollars this prep, winning back-to-back races. Quality colt. That said, Flashy Tashi was getting closer to Operative with every blade of grass when she resumed off a debut win on the Kensington track in mid-June. On her way now. Sorgente got a brilliant ride by Nash Rawiller to win first-up at Canterbury. He looked the winner half way from home. Always shown talent and has come back really well.
Betting Advice: Tashi each-way
RACE 4
Overview: Frumos won her first three starts before ‘that ride’ abruptly ended the sequence. The Chris Waller-trained mare was beaten at her next two starts but one of them was a close second to Hope In Your Heart and that form has just skyrocketed while Frumos has been off the scene. Barrier 1? Hmmm. Thalassophile is Plan B if Frumos it out or too short. Ten Bells has won two of her last three and is a somewhat underrated mare. She is just going to need to slot in somewhere from the outside draw.
Betting Advice: Frumos to win or if scratched Thalassophile to win
RACE 5
Overview: Easy to see why Deep Snow is the favourite. 10 starts, three wins, three seconds and a third. The Angela Davies-trained gelding comes off a last-start win here where he treated his rivals with contempt. It’s not all sunshine and lollipops though, he drew 1 last start, he’s 16 (minus a few) this time. Dr Evil could be the horse to ambush them late here at the big odds. The caveat is that he has won from 1600m to 1900m only but he is fresh up here in what shapes as a fast run 1300m.
Betting Advice: Dr Evil each-way, quinella 3,4
RACE 6
Overview: Zoumon makes a return to Sydney metro racing for the first time since he finished fourth at $81 in the ATC Derby behind Hitotsu. Fast forward to more recent times and the Waterhouse/Bott-trained son of Zoustar was a November 11 winner at The Valley, by six lengths. King Of Clubs has trialled well (again) before the start of the new campaign. Disappointed in his two Australian runs in the winter but he was $5 at his first run here and is more than double that this time which invites a speculative bet.
Betting Advice: King Of Clubs to place
RACE 7
Overview: The dry tracks have seen a marked return to form of Golden Sixty’s half-brother Rainbow Connection. At his best, he is the best horse in the race and I am banking on barrier 4 and a Good 4 cancelling out his 60.5kg. American President finished ninth in The Warra but he actually ran a very good race, beaten as he was under three-lengths and racing in a bit of traffic up the straight. Barrier 11 of 11 might not be the negative that it looks on paper for him.
Betting Advice: Rainbow Connection to win
RACE 8
Overview: Sur La Mer has raced at Rosehill twice for a win and a second (to Frumos). She goes on Good to Heavy which accounts for the fact that she has finished on the podium at 12 of her 20 starts including at her Nov 3 visit to Flemington where she finished runner-up to stablemate Roots. Hard to beat - she always is. Lot of appealing roughies here; few more so than Shaquero. Remember him? There is nothing in recent history to suggest he will be winning on Saturday but he is fresh and new to racing again. Trialled well too.
Betting Advice: Sur La Mer to win, Shaquero to place
RACE 9
Overview: I Am Me is one of literally scores of reasons/examples why I Am Invincible is the Champion Stallion in Australia. You can pick her a mile off as one of his. She’s got that quality about her that sets the good ones by the Yarraman Park resident apart. Great record, great pattern, great turn of foot. This is a decent enough test for her but she really is pitched in on the limit on a sheer kilo to talent ratio. Key Largo has everything going for him here in terms of race shape as the pros would say.
Betting Advice: I Am Me to win
RACE 10
Overview: The dogs were barking Estadio Mestalla’s name when he made his Australian debut in a midweeker here on Nov 16. I wouldn’t say he was in trouble on the bend but once he got balanced up and knew there was a race to be won, he won like the seriously good horse he might just be. Touristic is a fascinating runner here. Born and bred in Great Britain but raced in France, I am not sure he is the next Huetor but gee whiz he trialled well the other day.
Betting Advice: Touristic to place
Originally published as Shayne O’Cass’s extended preview and tips for Rosehill Gardens