Rosehill races: Shayne O’Cass’ tips and extended preview

Dual Group 1 winner Militarize can upset his more fancied rivals including Golden Slipper-winning stablemate Shinzo in the Golden Rose at Rosehill according to form analyst Shayne O’Cass.

Dual Group 1 win Militarize can add the Golden Rose to his record. Picture: Grant Guy

Daily Telegraph form analyst Shayne O’Cass runs the rule over every race, including suggested bets, for the Rosehill meeting on Saturday.

The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here!

ROSEHILL

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 2m

RACE 1

Overview: Atmospheric Rock’s last four starts have all been in Highways and you could spend the rest of the day debating how many, if any, he could or should have won. The one thing that can’t be questioned is that a 1500m Highway is more suitable than all the others combined. Master Of Rewards gas finished third in two 1500m Rosehill Highways in the past; once at $41, the other at $21. Both of Take The Kitty’s wins are at 1100m but surely she will run out 1500m, won’t she?

Bet: Atmospheric Rock to win, Master Of Rewards each-way, quinella 6, 10

RACE 2

Overview: Peace Officer ran some eye-catching races in some big races back when he was a two-year-old. The Clarry Conners-trained gelding deserves great praise for that first-up win at Wyong where he made light work of the others despite a big weight. Crackalacka has won five from 20 and rounded out the last campaign with two very good runs in Provincial/Midway Heats. One word - underrated. Flying Destiny’s ‘numbers’ speak for themselves. That’s a winning draw for him probably.

Bet: Peace Officer to win

Peace Officer can make it back-to-back for the campaign at Rosehill. Picture: Bradley Photos

RACE 3

Overview: Mr Waterville has a big handicap waiting to be won, if not this year, then the next. Keep in mind that he will run 3200m so maybe he has a Cup of some shape to collect. Let’s just worry about a Benchmark 88 first but you could see his quality in that Australian debut. Logan Street Lion is consistent. Pierossa gets in with a nice weight now. Howgoodareyou has a great racing pattern. If the other jockeys leave alone again, they’ll only have themselves to blame.

Bet: Mr Waterville to win

RACE 4

Overview: Ozzmosis was never going to get beaten at Gosford on debut and it was barrier trial stuff on the day. He went to Randwick immediately after and easily handled Royal Tribute, Fleetwood and the others. Spelled and trialled like a bomb on Sept 5. Royal Tribute will be harder to beat this time after that sizzling win at Hawkesbury. That said, I can see a scenario where Celestial Legend runs over the top of both of them but 1100m at Rosehill is very unfriendly to those sort of horses.

Bet: Quinella 4, 5

RACE 5

Overview: Outlandos’ run in the Newcastle Cup may not have looked all that good to the eye but mathematically speaking, he was quite good; it was a very on-pace Cup and he was 14th of 16 at the 400m. This is his trip and his only run at the track and distance was a win and please note, he had 60kg and beat Al Aabir among others. In saying that, one more stride and the results are the other way around. Alegron had no chance in the Wyong Cup and little chance in the Newcastle Cup thanks to outside circumstances.

Bet: Outlandos each-way

Espiona looks hard to beat in the Golden Pendant. Picture: Getty Images

RACE 6

Overview: You don’t need a clock to tell you that Espiona and Atishu went like a pair of bombs behind the newly inducted Everest runner Sunshine In Paris in the Sheraco but just in case, let’s a have a little look. Espiona, last 200m in 10.75s, last 600, in 32.42s. Atishu, 10.93s last 200m, last 600m in 32.66s. Wow. That said, one can often disappoint and the other can blow the start and be out of business. The ‘best’ Zougotcha wins and wins easily. So Dazzling is the knockout.

Bet: Espiona to win

RACE 7

Overview: Kirwan’s Lane is the best horse in the 2024 Shannon Stakes and that is a fact given his superior benchmark, 11 wins and $1.8m in the bank. He’s not getting any younger and he’s had 43 starts but for a horse who has never been a first-up performer (but is a second-up performer), how well did he go in the Theo Marks? My answer is ‘fantastic’ but I will concede that Waterford went at least as well, probably better. New Mandate had excuses in the Tramway.

Bet: Kirwan’s Lane to win, quinella 1, 7

RACE 8

Overview: Militarize was knocked down and out in Shinzo’s Golden Slipper but ended up winning the Sires’ and the Champagne after that against some ‘questionable’ two-year-olds it must be said, Cylinder, Veight, Don Corleone, Tom Kitten excluded. That said, Militarize thrashed them in both and for what it is worth, I thought he was the ‘run’ in the Run To The Rose. Charm Stone is hard to line-up but it’s not hard to see she has Group 1 talent and OMG - what a draw. Shinzo and Cylinder are obviously top tier colts. Snapback is the value.

Bet: Militarize to win, quinella 1, 13

Loch Eagle can run a bold race second-up on Saturday. Picture: Grant Guy

RACE 9

Overview: Reigning Provincial Championship Final runner-up Loch Eagle was pretty good first-up here in a 1200m race. He goes as well, even better, second-up and this record at the 1400m is 10 starts for two wins and four seconds. The only caveat being, is he perhaps better with the sting out of the ground? Seems so. Vienna Princess has plenty of options this spring. Point is, she might be better after this run but the market will tell us more there. Million dollar baby Journalism is three from three first-up.

Bet: Loch Eagle to win

RACE 10

Overview: Ojai won the Kirkham on debut but hasn’t added to her tally since. To be fair, she has run in a whole lot of stakes races, including the Golden Slipper where she ran fifth. Bad barriers haven’t aided her cause, she has nine here but will come in a few which is a big plus. Newhaven Park mare Rainbiel was ‘huge’ at her first run for Joe Pride. Tristate split Olentia and Diamond Dealer last start; that’s rock solid form.

Bet: Ojai to win

Originally published as Rosehill races: Shayne O’Cass’ tips and extended preview