Analysis: The mystery of the Orr Stakes speed map at Caulfield

The speed map for the Group 1 Orr Stakes is a big talking point among punters. Who leads, who sits on the pace and who gets posted wide? No one really knows.

Where will Tofane settle in the run in the Orr Stakes?

The speed map for the Group 1 Orr Stakes at Caulfield on Saturday has punters confused.

While on paper the three-year-old Lightsaber looks the likely leader, it’s what happens behind him that has everyone stumped.

Who sits second?

Will Tofane roll forward from barrier 8? Or does she need cover?

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Will Jamie Kah push forward on Behemoth from barrier 9 and sit second or will she also be looking to not be so far forward?

If Tofane and Behemoth don’t come out of the gates aggressively and attempt to look for cover there’s a chance they could get posted three-wide the trip, making their task almost impossible.

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Favourite Sinawann (gate 6) was slow out of the gates last time and he can’t afford the same thing to happen here.

Craig Williams won’t want to be too far off the speed so the jump from the gates for Sinawann is crucial.

Also, of the horses drawn in gates 1, 2, 3 and 4 — Cascadian, Lighthouse, Wild Planet and Just Folk — how far forward will they want to be?

Cascadian has drawn barrier 1 in the Orr Stakes at Caulfield.

The race will be an intriguing battle of tactics when the gates open.

A lot will depend on how the horses jump but the first 200m of this race could make or break the chances of a few runners.

One thing we do know is I’m Thunderstruck will be smoking the pipe out the back from barrier 11 — but how far off the leaders will he be?

Originally published as Analysis: The mystery of the Orr Stakes speed map at Caulfield