Raceday focus: Best bets, analysis for Pakenham on Thursday

Early favourite Silly Salmon should give the first race at Thursday’s Pakenham meeting a shake for local trainer Michael Huglin.

Trainer Michael Huglin could be in the winner's circle with Silly Salmon after the first race of Thursday evening's Pakenham meeting. Picture: Racing Photos via Getty Images

Herald Sun form analyst Brad Waters runs the rule over Thursday’s meeting at Pakenham.

BEST BET

SILLY SALMON (Race 1 No.5 – $2)

Not far away when resuming down the straight. Short odds for his second-up run but the form out of his Flemington run is too strong to ignore.

NEXT BEST

WAHOO FLYER (Race 4 No.12 – $2.60)

Wahoo Flyer hit the line hard when narrowly beaten first-up and will only be improved for that outing. Expecting her to race closer and be harder to hold out.

EURO DANDY (Race 7 No.5 – $5)

Euro Dandy was an impressive winner first-up last time in. Trialled well at Geelong and should go well fresh.

TAVISTORM (Race 8 No. 3 – $2.30)

Impressive debut winner in this track last start and looks capable of measuring up to this harder assignment. Stick with him.

Tavistorm is capable of making it two wins from as many starts when he tackles the last race of Thursday evening’s Pakenham meeting. Picture: Racing Photos via Getty Images

VALUE BET

TWOTOCHOOSE (Race 2 No.6 – $8.50)

Showed ability in two runs last time in and had more time to mature. His jumpouts indicate a forward showing is on the cards first-up.

THE JOCKEY

MICHAEL DEE

Michael Dee has six rides at Pakenham and looks set to be in the finish with most mounts. VINLAGO (Race 1 No.7 – $6.50), DIAMOND DAGGER (Race 4 No.9 – $5), IMPOSING BROOK (Race 5 No.3 – $4.20), LORD WONDER (Race 6 No.1 – $6), CHALONNE PRINCESS (Race 7 No.8 – $5.50), TAVISTORM (Race 8 No.3 – $2.30)

THE WEEK AHEAD

The Valley holds Friday night’s card, which follows the Colac Cup meeting during the day. Caulfield will host the first Melbourne Group 1 race of 2022 on Saturday with the running of the CF Orr Stakes. Yarra Valley also races on Saturday while the Buchan Cup picnic meeting is also scheduled. Sale and Werribee race on Sunday before a Stony Creek meeting on Monday.

Originally published as Raceday focus: Best bets, analysis for Pakenham on Thursday