Last-minute betting guide and tips for Stakes Day at Flemington

THE weather is on the improve for the final day of the Flemington carnival, so let’s hope these tips for Stakes Day also have a bright outlook.

A DAY for families, Stakes Day gets bigger and bigger every year.

And the good news is the weather is on the improve for the final day of the Flemington carnival.

If you’re watching the races and looking for a tip, or two, then you’ve come to the right place.

FOLLOW OUR LIVE COVERAGE OF STAKES DAY

THE EARLY OIL: STAKES DAY

TOP TIPS: WEEKEND BEST BETS

Sneaky Chance podcast special guest Katelyn Mallyon helps the gang track down that elusive winner as the curtain comes down on Flemington with the Stakes Day meeting.

FLEMINGTON PROGRAM

Race 1: 12:15pm — Maribyrnong Plate (1000m)

Race 2: 12:50pm — Juvenile Diabetes Research Foundation Plate (2000m)

Race 3: 1:30pm — 3AW Trophy (1600m)

Race 4: 2:10pm — Sensis Digital Trophy (1400m)

Race 5: 2:50pm — Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2600m)

Race 6: 3:35pm — Matriarch Stakes (2000m)

Race 7: 4:10pm — Darley Classic (1200m)

Race 8: 4:55pm — Emirates Stakes (2000m)

Race 9: 5:45pm — Emirates Airline Handicap (1400m)

WEATHER

We’re finally due some warm weather and a top of 25C has been forecast.

EMIRATES STAKES TIP

FOLKSWOOD

Tough race. Folkswood ran third in the Cox Plate but he’s had two tough runs in Australia, which is a concern, and he will need to do some work from the wide barrier.

BEST BET

KIWIA (R5 No. 3): There was only a head between Kiwia and winner Qewy in the Bendigo Cup, which was won in a race record time, and a huge gap to the rest of the field. The pair meet again but Kiwia can turn the tables from the better draw, while Qewy can find himself in a speed battle early.

Not a lot separated Kiwia and Qewy in the Bendigo Cup. Picture: AAP

JUMP ON

KING (R1 No. 6): Always a risk backing two-year-olds when there’s unexposed form, but this Written Tycoon colt for the Snowden stable has looked impressive in recent jumpouts and trials.

VALUE BET

CHAUTAUQUA (R7 No. 1): The grey flash’s controversial scratching before the Manikato Stakes could turn out to be a blessing. The seven-year-old gelding was the only horse to break 33sec for the last 600m in the The Everest and he loves the straight.

Chautauqua has excellent form at Flemington. Picture: AAP

RISK

TOSEN STARDOM (R8, No. 4): In hindsight, Tosen wasn’t a great betting proposition last week in a race that was always going to lack speed, but he still performed well below his peak effort the start before. He could bounce back this weekend, but he also may not.

TRANSPORT OPTIONS

* Trains: Flemington Racecourse-bound trains depart Flinders Street Station and/or Southern Cross Station, stopping at North Melbourne Station, then express to Flemington.

* Trams: Catch the No. 57 West Maribyrnong tram from the corner of Elizabeth Street and Flinders Street to Flemington Drive (stop 30).

* Buses: Route 472 from Williamstown, Footscray or Moonee Ponds to Fisher Parade; Route 404 from Footscray or Moonee Ponds to Smithfield Road.

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@chrisv195

Originally published as Last-minute betting guide and tips for Stakes Day at Flemington