Beat The Bookie value bets

OUR experts try to boost your bank balance with the best value bets of the weekend in the major cards around the nation.

Newcastle Cup

OUR experts try to boost your bank balance with the best value bets of the weekend in the major cards around the nation.

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Saturday meetings: RANDWICK (9 races, start 12.15pm), CAULFIELD (8 races, start 1.10pm), DOOMBEN (8 races, start 12.25pm), MORPHETTVILLE (8 races, start 1.08pm), BELMONT (7 races, 3.28pm). AEST times. Sunday: FLEMINGTON (9 races, start 12.30pm).

HOT TIPS: WEEKEND BEST BETS

MOONEE VALLEY (Friday night)

MICHAEL MANLEY (Herald Sun). Form: x0560

WELL SIGHTED

Race 1, No. 5

Ran on strongly for first-up fourth at Caulfield in a race where the favourites for this race Keen Array and Mawahibb finished second and third. With an extra 100m up his sleeve might be able to get home over the top of them.

TAB Fixed Odds: $10

DANNY RUSSELL (Herald Sun). Form: 23146

BUFFERING

Race 7, No. 1

Giving away 8.5kg to the star fillies, but if he gets his big rump in front at the Valley he’s near impossible to get past.

TAB Fixed Odds: $7.50

DARYL TIMMS (Herald Sun). Form: 1x868

SO DOES HE

Race 2, No. 11

Ready to salute again after winning at last start and second before that.

TAB Fixed Odds: $6

SIMON MOY (Superracing). Form: 53930

SO DOES HE

Race 2, No. 11

Courageous last start to win Up in grade but looks a handy prospect.

TAB Fixed Odds: $6

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RANDWICK (Saturday)

STEPHEN ZAMMIT (Daily Telegraph). Form: 5x036

BEYOND THANKFUL

Race 9, No. 4

Every time Chris Waller steps the bar up for this gelding, he measures up.winning a listed race at Wyong on September 4, then repeating the dose in the Group 3 Newcastle Cup on September 18. Hugh Bowman has stuck solid here and the $11 looks value.

TAB Fixed Odds: $6

SHAYNE O’CASS (The Sportsman). Form: 54073

TWIST TOPS

Race 2, No. 14

I was keen on Twist Tops but less so after the horror draw. She might ping the lids and lead, but it’s only the draw stopping me from saying she’s the clear pick from the fillies’ trials here 10 days ago.

TAB Fixed Odds: $5

DARREN PRENDERGAST (Superracing). Form: 39784

SILVERBALL

Race 7, No. 7

Chris Waller knows how to get his horses to peak for the big mile at Randwick and Silverball should be right in the mix. The grey drops back to 1600m after scoring a tough win in the Kingston Town Stakes. It’s the same path Waller used for last year’s Epsom winner He’s Your Man.

TAB Fixed Odds: $9.50

FLEMINGTON (Sunday)

ROD NICHOLSON (Herald Sun). Form: 12033

ULMANN

Race 9, No. 12

Big run at Caulfield last start and working super. Distance suits and draw to box seat at good each-way odds.

TAB Fixed Odds: $7

CHRIS VERNUCCIO (Superracing) Form: First starter

RISING ROMANCE

Race 7, No. 9

Two outstanding runs this campaign and was nosed out by Fawkner in the Makybe Diva. She should be close to a peak run and I’m prepared to overlook her shocking barrier (17). There looks to be a lack of speed in the Turnbull and she is capable of taking up a forward role from a wide barrier, as she did in last year’s Caulfield Cup when runner-up.

TAB Fixed Odds: $9

NICK QUINN (TAB) Form: 97803

HAPPY TRAILS

Race 7, No. 1

Won this race in 2013 and has won three Group 1 races at Flemington. His run behind Fawkner in the Makybe Diva indicates that he is ready to win and at double figure odds is worth an each-way ticket.

TAB Fixed Odds: $12

Happy Trails is capable of causing a boilover in the Turnbull Stakes.

DOOMBEN (Saturday)

NATHAN EXELBY (The Courier-Mail). Form: 53297

MISS COVER GIRL

Race 3, No. 3

Has a class edge in this field having won at stakes level in Sydney last campaign and she usually flies fresh. Some query over the 1050m, but that’s the reason you are getting the price and without electric speed, she’s drawn to be within striking distance at the right time.

TAB Fixed Odds: $2.10

BRAD DAVIDSON (Gold Coast Bulletin). Form: 24806

WATLING

Race 6, No. 9

Struggling to work out how this horse is $31 in early markets. Yes, he has drawn the car park and faces the genuine possibility of being trapped wide without cover but his last three runs have been superb and if he jumped away with them last start he would have beaten Nozawa easily and that horse is favourite for this race. The gate is the big worry but Jim Byrne is a classy jockey and if he gets luck early he can fight out the finish.

TAB Fixed Odds: $26

MORPHETTVILLE (Saturday)

BEN SCADDEN (The Advertiser). Form: 34721

BEAU RIVAGE

Race 7, No. 8

Three-year-old who showed sharp imrpovement when strong-finishing winner over highly rated American Star last time. Facing older horses here but could go on with it now he’s found his way to the winner’s circle.

TAB Fixed Odds: $6

LINCOLN MOORE (The Advertiser). Form: 9x141

JEST FOR THE ROAD

Race 3, No. 4

Chased home Miss Gunpowder and Counter Sign when last in work and should strip fitter for a even effort at first run back from a break behind Viddora. Blinkers go on, there looks to be genuine speed in the small field and he looks big overs in early fixed price markets.

TAB Fixed Odds: $17

FEATURE RACE MARKETS

TAB FIXED ODDS

CAULFIELD GUINEAS

Caulfield, October 10

$2.40 PRESS STATEMENT

$7 READY FOR VICTORY

$8 DAL CIELO

$10 BASSETT, TARZINO

$11 TULSA

$12 BON AURUM

$14+ Others

BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS

CAULFIELD CUP

Caulfield, October 17

$8.50 FAME GAME

$10 MONGOLIAN KHAN, RISING ROMANCE

$13 SET SQUARE, HARTNELL, PREFERMENT

$15 HOKKO BRAVE

$18 DANDINO, GUST OF WIND, LUCIA VALENTINA, SNOW SKY

$21+ Others

BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS

COX PLATE

Moonee Valley, October 24

$4.60 KERMADEC

$7 FAWKNER

$9 HIGHLAND REEL

$10 AROD

$11 WINX

$13 CRITERION, PORNICHET

$15+ Others

BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS

MELBOURNE CUP

Flemington, November 3

$8.50 FAME GAME

$12 ORDER OF ST GEORGE

$14 MAX DYNAMITE

$16 HOKKO BRAVE, SNOW SKY, PREFERMENT, TRIP TO PARIS, WHO SHOT THEBARMAN

$18 MONGOLIAN KHAN

$21+ Others

BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS

Note: Prices correct at time of publishing