The Early Oil: Michael Manley previews Moonee Valley
EMERGING star Iconoclasm is meeting every challenge and can make it four consecutive wins, according to leading Herald Sun form analyst Michael Manley.
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EMERGING star Iconoclasm is meeting every challenge and can make it four consecutive wins, according to leading Herald Sun form analyst Michael Manley.
Iconoclasm relished the trip to 1600m last start and Manley describes him as a good horse going places quickly.
HOT TIPS: WEEKEND BEST BETS
RACE WATCH: ROSEHILL GARDENS
BEST BET
ICONOCLASM (Race 8, No. 1)
VALUE BET
CREATIVITY (Race 3, No. 3)
EARLY QUADDIE
1,2,5,12/3,5/1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8,13,15/2,4
$100 flexi for 62.5 per cent
BIG6
1,7,8,10/2,4/7,10/1,2,10,11/1/1,3,9,10
$100 flexi for 39.06 per cent
QUADDIE
Race 6: 2,4,7,8,10,13
Race 7: 1,2,10,11
Race 8: 1,12
Race 9: 1,2,3,5,6,9,10
$100 flexi for 29.76 per cent
RACE 1
ANJANA (1) is a two-year-old filly who looks to have a nice future. She sprinted home from well back to win her debut at Wangaratta and then last start she settled just behind the leaders and then eased to the middle of the track for hollow six length win on a heavy track over useful fillies. The Hayes team’s first starter SHE’S SENSATIONAL (7) was impressive winning a Flemington jump-out recently. She’s a strong filly. EMBRACE ME (2) used her speed to lead throughout to win at Werribee last start after useful Flemington debut. KOBE PRINCESS (6) and COSMIC RUBY (4) ran on well for third and fifth respectively behind Riviera at Sandown Hillside over 1000m and should be suited by the 1200m.
SUGGESTED BET: ANJANA THE WIN
RACE 2
WILLIAM THOMAS (1) is an exciting prospect and is getting better with every start. Looked in some trouble half way up the straight at Caulfield last start but exploded home like a good horse and in the finish won with something in hand. He should be undefeated this time in as he was a sitting shot when left in front at his previous start too early when second at that track. BEL SONIC (2) is a Valley winner and he finished on strongly for second to Exceltara at Caulfield last start. He’ll get back and swoop home. The promising SPIRIT OF AQUADA (12) resumes and he looks the value runner. He finished second to Bel Sonic five starts ago at Pakenham and meets him two and a half kilos better. HUGE ACTION (5) is showing promise. KING’S AUTHORITY (4) and I AM SOMEONE (6) next best.
SUGGESTED BET: WILLIAM THOMAS THE WIN
RACE 3
CREATIVITY (3) led and tired last start at Group 3 level in Adelaide. She’ll revert to taking a sit in this with SULLIVAN BAY (2) and RUN GYPSY RUN (9) likely to set a good clip. She won her previous two runs at Caulfield taking a sit off the speed. Damian Lane who has ridden her four times and won the past three will go back on and she should be able to stalk the speed from inside draw. DIVINE QUALITY (5) is ready to win. She finished on well for second at Flemington last start behind First Among Equals and she’ll finish strongly again. HEAR THE CHANT (1) returned to her best when she won at Caulfield last start. Sullivan Bay is building to another win and will take catching. JOCASTA (12) should finish on well.
SUGGESTED BET: CREATIVITY THE WIN
RACE 4
They are going to fly in this with many of these sprinters natural leaders. This could play into the hands of STRYKINGLEE (15) who will carry only 52.5 kilos after Fred Kersley’s two kilos claim. She will need some luck though as she has drawn barrier 4. She was just beaten at Sandown Hillside last start by Chiavari and she drops four and a half kilos. MURPHY’S REWARD (1) is racing well in stronger races. It took the in-form Inn Keeper to beat him last start and he won his only run at Moonee Valley last December over 1000m. REMOVAL (8) will also go back and run home. SAM’S IMAGE (7) returned to his best when he defeated Nature Strip last start at Caulfield but he has to contend with barrier 15. YOU’VE BEEN HAD (3) has won four of his five starts but he’s also drawn the outside barrier.
SUGGESTED BET: STRYKINGLEE EACH-WAY
RACE 5
JAMAICAN RAIN (4) might be a level above her rivals. She resumed with a six-length victory on a heavy track at Cranbourne defeating the in-form Scoliaro. In each of her four wins she’s thrashed her rivals. She might prefer it wetter but she’s shown enough on good tracks to still win. HECTOPASAL (2) was held up for a run for a long duration of the Sandown Hillside straight but burst home to win when in the clear. Ethan Brown again takes two kilos off. MISS CLOONEY (8) finished on strongly to just fail to catch SINGLE NOTE (5) who returned to form when she led throughout to win at Bendigo last start. VIOLENT SNOW (6) didn’t fire on Geelong Synthetic but won this race last year. ENSUING (14) flopped at Bendigo but is worth another chance.
SUGGESTED BET: HECTOPASAL EACH-WAY
RACE 6
THIS could be re-named the Dad’s Army Handicap with the average age of these geldings seven, headed by 10-year-old JACQUINOT BAY (4) and five eight-year-olds. RAW IMPULSE (7) showed he’s ready to win again finishing on nicely for fourth behind his smart stablemate Land Of Plenty at Group 3 level in Adelaide. MAGIC CONSOL (10) won a Benchmark 84 over 1600m at this meeting last year and he was held up for a run last start when fourth behind TARQUIN (6) over 1800m at Flemington last start. Jacquinot Bay is racing well but hasn’t been placed in four starts at this track. AKAVAROUN (2) looks on the way back to finding form. Good run last start at Flemington when second-up fourth behind Moss ‘N’ Dale over 1400m at Flemington.
SUGGESTED BET: RAW IMPULSE THE WIN
RACE 7
MY NORDIC HERO (11) was no match for Boom Time last start at Flemington but his effort to finish second in front of Second Bullet was sound. He ran some good sectionals chasing Boom Time. He worked well at Moonee Valley during the week and he could be at peak fitness. MAGNAPAL (10) tends to fly under the radar. He followed his win at Caulfield at $26 two starts ago with a useful seventh in the Warrnambool Cup. LITE’N IN MY VEINS (1) form in Adelaide was excellent with two wins before a third to Land Of Plenty in a Group 3. He’s been racing over 1600m and steps up to 2040m for the first time. Classy stayer PILOT D’ESSAI (2) is on the comeback trail and his two runs over 1400m at Flemington returning from a 62 week spell were sound. FOUR BY FOUR (14) ran on well for second behind Jaminzah at Flemington last start. GREY LION (7) has claims.
SUGGESTED BET: MY NORDIC HERO (11) EACH-WAY
RACE 8
ICONOCLASM (1) is a horse going places. He’s won his last three at Flemington impressively and if anything he’s getting better with every start. Drawn out again which suits and although he’s up to 59.5 kilos, apprentice Ethan Brown rides him well. WOULDA THOUGHT SO (12) finished off strongly for second behind him last start over 1600m at Flemington. SNOGGING (5) failed at Group 2 level against her own sex at Doomben last start. Go on previous win at Caulfield over 1600m. SIRRCONI (2) is sure to lead and he battled on well for third behind Peaceful State in the Port Adelaide Guineas last start. ANDAZ (7) has finished second to Fifty Stars at his past two starts. Step up in distance to 1600m should suit.
SUGGESTED BET: ICONOCLASM THE WIN
RACE 9
DAMIAN Lane could complete a big day with promising sprinter WISE HERO (10). He wasn’t suited by the wet track at Warrnambool last start behind the in-form INN KEEPER (9). Wise Hero has the speed to use his inside barrier draw. ASHLOR (3) will also go forward. He was beaten less than a length when third to Rich Charm at Caulfield two starts ago and then last start he finished third in the Wagga Town Plate. Top Tassie sprinter LORD DA VINCI (1) flies fresh and likes the Valley. CAMDUS (2) won well in Adelaide last start. SUSPENSE (5), LEODORO (6) and PROUD WOLF (7) have claims.
SUGGESTED BET: WISE HERO EACH-WAY