SuperCoach Racing formguide: Round 4 preview and trade advice
Last weekend provided a scoring bonanza in SuperCoach Racing but Round 4 could be the hardest so far. Here are our top picks and tactics.
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There were some massive scores in Round 3, but our expectations will have to be set lower with just two races offering Group 1 points this weekend — the Caulfield Cup and The Everest.
Of the two, The Everest is the race to have multiple runners. I’ve chosen SANTA ANA LANE ($500,000), and the well-backed ARCADIA QUEEN ($375,000) is a steal.
However, it would remiss of me to go without a runner in the cup even though anything could happen.
There are two Group 2 and three Group 3 races at Caulfield, while The Kosciuszko at Randwick has been assessed as a Group 3.
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MUST-HAVE HORSE
WARNING ($100,000)
The Derby contender won impressively on Turnbull Stakes day and also avoided a price increase.
PREMIUM PICK
SANTA ANA LANE ($500,000)
The top-priced horses haven’t been kind to me so far, but with only two races offering Group 1 points this week, I have to pick the country’s best sprinter to win The Everest.
RACE TO TARGET
TRISTARC STAKES (CAULFIELD)
Group 2 races are also scarce this week and I want to get involved here. POHUTUKAWA ($275,000) and ANGELIC RULER ($225,000) were added to the black book after eye-catching runs last start.
THE DILEMMA
ROYAL MEETING ($225,000)
The Godolphin raider has two wins from as many starts, including a Group 1 in France, but hasn’t raced in more than 12 months and is returning from a throat operation. He could blow the opposition away and he’s an attractive price to find out.
CAP SQUEEZE
BRUTAL ($400,000)
Should be winning the Sydney Stakes at Randwick, but there’s no room for him at $400,000 in a Group 3 race.
HAPPY CLAPPER ($475,000)
Like Brutal, the veteran is the favourite in a Group 3 but will cost near top-dollar.
RACE TO AVOID
CAULFIELD SPRINT
Big risk to sacrifice some Group 2 points when there are so few of them, but this a tricky contest. MISS LEONIDAS is the favourite after racing out of her skin in the Group 1 Moir Stakes last start, but her starting price that night was $31.
JOCKEY TIP
TOMMY BERRY
He has three favourites at Randwick (BRUTAL, HAPPY CLAPPER and VICTOREM) as well as the second fancy in The Everest, PIERATA.
ROUND 4 TEAM
Santa Ana Lane $500,000 C
Arcadia Queen $375,000
Mer De Glace $300,000
Pohutukawa $275,000
Angelic Ruler $225,000
Royal Meeting $225,000
Vegas Jewel $150,000
Celestial Falls $125,000
Miami Bound $125,000
Warning $100,000
Jockey: Tommy Berry
ROUND 3 TEAM
Avilius 18
Trekking 32
Loving Gaby 18
The Inevitable 32
Dalasan 14
Alligator Blood 24
Cosmic Force 32
Flit 40
Shadow Hero (c) 80
Bottega 18
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy 8
Score: 324
Overall score: 820