Beat The Bookie value bets

OUR experts try to boost your bank balance with the best value bets of the weekend in the major cards around the nation.

4 min read

March 18, 2016 - 3:56PM

Photographer: Simon Bullard. RACE 5 GLOAMING STAKES (3YO SET WEIGHTS) - 1800M. Winner 'Vanbrugh' ridden by Hugh Bowman.

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OUR experts try to boost your bank balance with the best value bets of the weekend in the major cards around the nation.

SATURDAY MEETINGS (AEDT Times)

ROSEHILL (10 races, start 12.40pm), BENDIGO (9 races, start 12.25pm),

DOOMBEN (8 races, start 1.28pm), MORPHETTVILLE (8 races, start 1.08pm),

ASCOT (8 races, start 3.54pm).

HOT TIPS: WEEKEND BEST BETS

ROSEHILL

RAY THOMAS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 00988

REBEL DANE

Race 8, No. 3

Is an extremely talented galloper who has been racing well in top grade all season. At his most recent start he ran well for fourth behind Turn Me Loose in the Futurity. Coming back in distance but suited by the hot tempo of this race and I expect he will be charging home late.

TAB Fixed Odds: $14

NIC ASHMAN (Daily Telegraph). Form: 14895

GOOD STANDING

Race 7, No. 8

Extremely talented colt that has never run badly — trials included. His work last Saturday was phenomenal and I can’t help but think this could be the last time we see him at $14.

TAB Fixed Odds: $13

JOHN DAVIS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 08219

FLIPPANT

Race 3, No. 8

Comes to hand quickly and looks primed first-up from a spell following a 900m trial win at this track last month. Wet ground should not pose a problem and Hugh Bowman engagement seals the deal.

TAB Fixed Odds: $7

SHAYNE O’CASS (Sportsman). Form: 12006

BOUNDING

Race 8, No. 10

Can hit back hard here after her Oakleigh Plate ‘failure’ where she was ninth, beaten 2.8-lengths. There was good money for her that day and no wonder, she trialled like nobody’s business at Randwick 8-days before the Plate. I think you have to forgive a really good horse a bad run. K-Mac (aka Kerrin McEvoy) has ridden her once on race day and that was her massive 4-lens win in The Heath. I’ve seen him ride her in a few trials and they look like they have a bond.

TAB Fixed Odds: $26

LISTEN TO THE SUPERRACING PODCAST PREVIEW OF GOLDEN SLIPPER DAY

DARREN PRENDERGAST (Superracing). Form: 04230

VANBRUGH

Race 6, No. 3

Powered home after being held up at crucial stage in the Australian Guineas. Won the G1 Spring Champion Stakes over this distance in the spring and has the services of Hugh Bowman. Big chance.

TAB Fixed Odds: $8

CHRIS VERNUCCIO (Superracing). Form: 21175

FELL SWOOP

Race 8, No. 13

Just ran out of time in the Oakleigh Plate (finished second) and that form looks good with The Quarterback beating Chautauqua in the Newmarket. Yet to produce a poor run.

TAB Fixed Odds: $5.50

DARYL TIMMS (Herald Sun) Form: 8314x

CAPITALIST

Race 7, No. 7

Form was faultless before last start failure, but is perfectly drawn and well worth another chance.

TAB Fixed Odds: $8

NICK QUINN (TAB). Form: 09832

CAPITALIST

Race 7, No. 7

Massive market overreaction to his defeat in the Todman and can emulate stablemate Sepoy by bouncing back and winning the Slipper.

TAB Fixed Odds: $8

MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS

Fell Swoop is right in the mix for the Group 1 The Galaxy on Saturday.

BENDIGO

MATT STEWART (Herald Sun). Form: 01531

DANDY GENT

Race 5, No. 11

Great effort to push Real Love last start after excellent effort when led at fast clip at Valley. Overs.

TAB Fixed Odds: $6

MICHAEL MANLEY (Herald Sun). Form: 49012

TIVACI

Race 8, No. 2

Forgive his failure in the Australian Guineas when he had a tough run from his outside draw. Go on his controversial win over Palentino before that and he looks nice value at $6.

TAB Fixed Odds: $6

DANNY RUSSELL (Herald Sun) Form: 642x3

TIVACI

Race 8, No. 2

Forgive last start when he pulled his head off in Australian Guineas. If he settles here, can blow them away.

TAB Fixed Odds: $6

SIMON MOY (Superracing). Form: 15x71

PERIGNON

Race 9, No. 10

Seems to have more than her fair share of setbacks but there is little doubt she is blessed with exceptional ability. Super finish to down rivals last start first-up. If right, can do it again.

TAB Fixed Odds: $7

MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS

DOOMBEN

NATHAN EXELBY (The Courier-Mail). Form: 80114

DECONSTRUCTED

Race 6, No. 7

The $6 is likely to trim up as we get closer to race time. Has five lengths to make up on the enigmatic Liberation, but the step to 1350m suits and nothing worked out for him fresh. Expect a sharp improvement.

TAB Fixed Odds: $6.50

BEN DORRIES (The Courier-Mail). Form: 60141

HARBOR SPRINGS

Race 3, No. 6

Versatile mare who strikes a very winnable race and has a terrific second-up record. Was finishing nicely at Coffs Harbour last time and the extra trip suits. Looking for a rough result here, as the favourite is silly odds.

TAB Fixed Odds: $17

BRAD DAVIDSON (Gold Coast Bulletin). Form: 86013

QUICK KETCH

Race 8, No. 2

He was a bit ordinary last start but he did miss the jump and the race was a sprint home. Before that he put together two city wins on the trot and the $8.50 is over the odds. Plenty of speed in this race and expect him to flash late.

TAB Fixed Odds: $8

MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS

MORPHETTVILLE

BEN SCADDEN (The Advertiser). Form: 82436

DASHEBO

Race 7, No. 9

Been thereabouts at two runs back from a spell and should be nearing peak. Drawn to enjoy a cosy trip and expect her to be finishing strongly against an even group of three-year-olds.

TAB Fixed Odds: $8.50

MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS

FEATURE RACE MARKETS

DONCASTER MILE

Randwick, April 2

$6 Press Statement

$8 Winx, First Seal

$11 Azkadellia, Happy Clapper, Kermadec, Palentino

$15+ Others

FULL MARKET: TAB FIXED ODDS

TJ SMITH STAKES

Randwick, April 2