Adam Hamilton: Expert tips and betting analysis for Flemington
Flushed with success in the Gold Coast Magic Millions Classic, TAB’s Adam Hamilton believes Ciaron Maher and David Eustace can find themselves in the winner’s enclosure again with All Too Royal.
SuperRacing
Don't miss out on the headlines from SuperRacing. Followed categories will be added to My News.
TAB form expert Adam Hamilton casts his eye over the main races for the Flemington twilight meeting on Saturday in search of a winner.
Watch over 50 sports LIVE on Kayo! Stream to your TV, mobile, tablet or computer. Just $25/month, cancel anytime. New to Kayo? Get your 14-day free trial & start streaming instantly >
HAMO’S THREE TO WATCH
BEST BET: BILL THE BEE
(Flemington Saturday, Race 9, No. 14)
VALUE BET: ENFLEURAGE
(Rosehill Saturday, Race 5, No. 11)
LAY OF THE WEEK: ROGUES POINT
(Flemington Saturday, Race 4, No. 2)
DONATE TO SALVATION ARMY DISASTER APPEAL (1100M)
Flemington, R3, 4.30pm
Although Condo’s Express as a listed winner is the class runner, however, it is a maiden performer that has caught the eye of TAB customers for the running of the third on the card.
Dynamic Duo, the only runner in the event that is yet to win a race, is the early mover with TAB Fixed Odds having been backed from a high of $13 into $7 within minutes of the market opening.
This Tony Noonan runner has finished in the placings at his only two starts, the first of those behind Star Surprise, who has won three races and beaten horses of the calibre of Can’t Be Done, Lady Loire, That Girl and Exquisite Beauty.
Some of the early bets on the son of Not A Single Doubt include $500 @ $13 and $500 @ $12.
Condo’s Express opened $2.60 favourite but hasn’t been seen since finishing second in Group 3 company at Moonee Valley on October 26, when Sartorial Splendor was the only one to get the better of him.
Banquo, also a Listed winner in the Spring, is second elect at $3.60 while Alabama Express has also taken out a Listed race (over Hilo and Heirborn) and is a $6 chance first-up since the Coolmore Stud Stakes.
THE TIP: CONDO’S EXPRESS
KENSINGTON STAKES (1000M)
Flemington, R5, 5.50pm
Punters have been quick to jump on All Too Royal in this after TAB went up $3.60 on Wednesday.
The Ciaron Maher and David Eustace runner was installed second pick behind Time To Reign ($2.80), however, sheer weight of early money has seen the pair swap positions in the betting.
All Too Royal has been backed into $2.90 favourite off the back of a number of decent bets including $1000 @ $3.60 and $500 @ $3.20, forcing Time To Reign’s price to drift out to $3.10.
Boxing Day was the last time we saw All Too Royal in action when he charged home to score in the Xmas Stakes (Listed) at Caulfield, beating Mystyko and Crystal Dreamer. A winner of eight of 16 starts, with a further three placings, the five-year-old always seems to have support at TAB whenever he goes around.
Time To Reign hasn’t been seen since finishing fifth to Kiamichi in the Golden Slipper in March last year but did win a trial at Warwick Farm recently.
Bold Star ($4-$4.20) has been flying of late with a win and a close second at Flemington to his credit while Sartorial Splendor ($6-$6.50) beat Condo’s Express to win the Group 3 Red Anchor back in October and more importantly, goes very well first-up.
THE TIP: ALL TOO ROYAL
VICTORIAN OWNER GOLD CARD HANDICAP (2520M)
Flemington, R7, 7pm
Will the punters go to the well one more time with High Bridge?
Well, early indications are the answer will be yes with the nine-year-old firming in from $2.80 to $2.60 since markets opened.
High Bridge has been sent out a heavily tried $4.40 and $3.90 chance at his past two starts, however, has found Morton’s Fork and El Don a shade too good on the day. Now with three runs his belt, he should be ready to peak for Chris Waller.
Stablemate The Lord Mayor has been an alarming drifter since the market opened despite saluting at Flemington last Saturday. He has drifted from an opening quote of $4 to $4.60.
Yulong Rising ($4.60-$4.40) has firmed slightly early and gets weight relief compared
to previous outings. The gelding carried 59kg at Moonee Valley over a similar distance on Dec 28 but drops 5kgs for this and gets Craig Williams on board.
El Don ($5), who beat High Bridge in Listed grade last start, has been solid in early betting but is jumping up 1.5kg on his last start win.
THE TIP: YULONG RISING
MORE NEWS