Western Bulldogs missing midfield power of premiership year amid injuries and form slumps
THE key ingredient in the Western Bulldogs’ drought-breaking 2016 flag was raw coalface power but half way into their premiership defence, the Dogs are more bark than bite.
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THE hunter has become the hunted.
The key ingredient in the Western Bulldogs’ drought-breaking 2016 flag was raw coalface power.
They hunted the contested ball and they hunted the clearance with a manic assault that almost ambushed sides throughout the season and went to another level again in four incredible finals.
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But half way into their premiership defence, the Dogs are more bark than bite as they battle to gain continuity in the face of injuries and form slumps.
Suddenly, the Sons of the West are vulnerable in-close and today at Etihad Stadium they will undergo a fierce examination by a previously unlikely source — Melbourne.
Luke Beveridge’s Bulldogs have gone from averaging 16.5 more contested possessions than their opposition each week — ranked No.1 in the competition — to +0.2 (ranked 10th). Melbourne is this year ranked 4th at +6.6 per game.
Clearance differential has fallen from +6.2 per game (1st) to -3.5 (14th). The Demons go at +2.9 a week -ranked 5th.
Then there’s goals per inside 50m. The Dogs struggled to capitalise on entries for much of last season before hitting a purple patch late, but the issue has returned with venom this year.
The Bulldogs are the worst team in the competition at converting forward entries to goals, kicking a major from only 21.8 per cent of their inside 50s. Melbourne? The fourth-best in the AFL at 26.3 per cent.
As a consequence the Bulldogs rank a lowly 14th in points-scored at 83.7 a week. Melbourne is 4th at 100.7.
“I think last year we were in similar territory and we did change that from an outcome perspective in the back end of the year,” Beveridge said.
“We’re ambitious in that area, we feel we can be a lot better and we don’t hope, but we believe it will tidy itself up as time goes by. But it’s not good enough at the moment.”
Of more concern to Beveridge is what’s happening at the source.
“Their (Melbourne’s) strength and their power through there, we come up against something we’ve got to combat,” he said.
“It’s been interesting with the changes in ‘Dunks’ (Josh Dunkley) and Clay (Smith) not there and all that. We’re evolving and finding ways. Toby McLean’s been pretty good inside, Caleb Daniel’s been really good ... all the time that we’re maybe not at our absolute best, our younger players are benefiting from new experiences.”
Both teams go into the clash at 6-5, but only one is hunting.
THE BIG TEST
Where the Western Bulldogs need to improve to roll Melbourne
MIDFIELD
DISPOSAL DIFFERENTIAL
Demons: +44.7 (1st)
Bulldogs: +9.3 (8th)
CONTESTED POSSESSION DIFFERENTIAL
Demons: +6.6 (4th)
Bulldogs: +0.2 (10th)
CLEARANCE DIFFERENTIAL
Demons: +2.9 (5th)
Bulldogs: -3.5 (14th)
TACKLE DIFFERENTIAL
Demons: +5 (4th)
Bulldogs: -0.4 (10th)
SCORING
POINTS FOR
Demons: 100.7 (4th)
Bulldogs: 83.7 (14th)
GOALS PER I50
Demons: 26.3% (4th)
Bulldogs: 21.8% (18th)
TERRITORY
POINTS FROM FORWARD HALF TURNOVERS
Demons: 41.1 (3rd)
Bulldogs: 29.3 (10th)
ON THE LEASH (ranking points drop 2016-17)
Matthew Boyd: 100 ... 73.6 ... -26.4
Tom Campbell: 75.7 ... 56.2 ... -19.5
Lachie Hunter: 92.7 ... 74.7 ... -18
Dale Morris: 67 ... 54.3 ... -12.7
Josh Dunkley: 74.6 ... 62 ... -12.6
Liam Picken: 87.5 ... 75.2 ... -12.3
Clay Smith: 75.9 ... 64.2 ... -11.7
SOURCE: Champion Data