TAB Footy Form: AFL Grand Final odds, best bets, money movers
The big one is here, with the AFL Grand Final on Saturday night between Richmond and Geelong shaping as a tight tussle, Chris Cavanagh has tried to find you a winner — including a juicy same-game multi.
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After the most unusual of seasons, the two best teams of 2020 in Richmond and Geelong are set to face off in the AFL Grand Final at the Gabba.
Herald Sun footy tipping guru Chris Cavanagh has taken a look at the game from a punter’s perspective to try and find you a winner.
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THE MATCH
Richmond v Geelong
Gabba, Saturday 7.30pm
TAB odds: Richmond $1.87, Geelong $2
Line: Richmond -1.5 points $1.90, Geelong +1.5 points $2
Margins: Richmond 1-24 points $2.80, Richmond 25+ points $4.20, Geelong 1-24 points $3, Geelong 25+ points $5, Draw $31
Geelong has attracted 60 per cent of head-to-head support with TAB to defeat Richmond
CHASING THE MONEY
— Richmond is coming off a six-point preliminary final win over Port Adelaide and has won eight of its past nine matches.
— Geelong is coming off a 40-point preliminary final win over Brisbane and has won nine of its past 11 games.
— The Tigers have won five of their past six matches against the Cats dating back to the 2017 qualifying final.
— The Cats’ sole win over the Tigers since the 2017 qualifying final came by 67 points in Round 12, 2019.
— Richmond has a 2-1 record at the Gabba this season, losing its most recent game at the venue to Brisbane in the qualifying final.
— Geelong is unbeaten at the Gabba this season with a 5-0 record.
— The Cats average 15 more marks a game than the Tigers but four fewer inside-50s.
— Geelong’s preliminary final side had an average age of 28 years and four months to Richmond’s 27 years and one month. The Cats average 162 games experience to Richmond’s 132.
MORE GRAND FINAL NEWS
The Architects: How Geelong tapped into a junior footy team to build a premiership-contending list
AFL Grand Final 2020: Richmond prepares for rain as it makes final preparations
TAB GRAND FINAL SPECIAL
Richmond’s Dion Prestia and Geelong’s Mitch Duncan to combine for 45+ disposals is $3
CHRIS SAYS
It’s looking like being Tiger Time again. Richmond has won five of its past six games against the Cats and has a strong air of confidence entering a third Grand Final in four years. I like Richmond to win a low-scoring contest by 1-24 points at $2.80. If it is wet as expected, that will only help keep the contest close.
MULTI MANIA
Our picks for a Same Game Multi with TAB
Richmond by 1-24pts $2.80
To kick a goal — Gary Ablett $1.85
20+ disposals — Dustin Martin $1.65
Multi price is $6.50
GRAND FINAL BIG BETS
$10,000 @ $4.25 on Richmond (September 2)
$10,000 @ $3.25 on Richmond (September 21)
$10,000 @ $2.10 on Geelong
$9510 @ $2.10 on Geelong
$7750 @ $2.10 on Geelong
$7000 @ $4.50 on Geelong (September 10)
$5900 @ $2.10 on Geelong
$5600 @ $1.80 on Richmond