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2017 AFL finals: Herald Sun experts predict how September will pan out

HAS Charlie Curnow done enough to top McGrath, Burton and Powell-Pepper for the Rising Star? The Herald Sun’s footy experts predict who will win all the big awards.

Dustin Martin of the Tigers.
Dustin Martin of the Tigers.

IN THE most even season in memory, it all comes down to the next five weeks.

Who will win the flag, the Norm Smith Medal, the Brownlow and Rising Star Award?

The Herald Sun’s footy writers also nominate their September surprise and fess up to what they got right and wrong from their pre-season predictions.

FINALS WEEK ONE: WHO IS PLAYING WHO

According to the experts the Cats and Crows are the teams to beat — but we know how hard tipping has been this year.

Scroll down to see all our experts’ tips, and revisit what they predicted before Round 1.

Mark Robinson

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upGWS Giants
Norm SmithJake Lever
Mr SeptemberShane Mumford
Spring surpriseCan we get a Port v Crows Grand Final?
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperJosh P Kennedy
Rising StarCharlie Curnow
What I got right pre-seasonLions last, GWS and Crows top four
What I got wrongSt Kilda to make the eight

ROBBO SAYS: The Crows are strong across the board. Midfield was supposed to be the weak link, but have largely matched it against big-name opposition midfields, we know the potency of their forward line and the defence has stoppers, rebounders and interceptors. If all goes to plan it’s home final into home final and on to the MCG.

Jon Ralph

PremierGWS Giants
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithToby Greene
Mr SeptemberDylan Shiel
Spring surpriseChristian Petracca
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarAndrew McGrath
What I got right pre-seasonTipped Dusty to win the Brownlow
What I got wrongDogs to go back-to-back

RALPHY SAYS: Consider recent history — you back in the team that hits form as we reach September. The Giants’ injuries are evaporating, they have rediscovered their pressure game, they have more talent than the rest of them.

Sam Edmund

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upGWS Giants
Norm SmithRory Sloane
Mr SeptemberJosh Kelly
Spring surpriseStephen Coniglio
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperTrent Cotchin
Rising StarCharlie Curnow
What I got right pre-seasonLions to win the wooden spoon
What I got wrongHad Hawthorn third

SAM SAYS: The Crows are ranked No. 1 for offence, goals per inside 50m and defending opposition ball movement and they’ll get two finals at Adelaide Oval, where they’ve won 25 of their last 30 matches. The Swans loss? Crows had 21 more inside-50s, seven more scoring shots and 21 more contested possessions. That’s an anomaly.

Will Patrick Dangerfield face his old team on the last Saturday in September?
Will Patrick Dangerfield face his old team on the last Saturday in September?
Rory Sloane is a key to Adelaide’s chances of claiming its first premiership since 1998.
Rory Sloane is a key to Adelaide’s chances of claiming its first premiership since 1998.

Jon Anderson

PremierGeelong
Runner-upAdelaide
Norm SmithPatrick Dangerfield
Mr SeptemberSam Menegola
Spring surpriseTom Stewart
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperLance Franklin
Rising StarRyan Burton
What I got right pre-seasonGeelong and Giants in top four, Lions last
What I got wrongBulldogs to finish third

ANDO SAYS: The likely return of Joel Selwood, Mark Blicavs and Nakia Cockatoo has a 2016 Western Bulldogs feel about it. If Selwood and at least one of the others make it, then it significantly strengthens the Cats’ bottom six.

Sam Landsberger

PremierRichmond
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithJack Riewoldt
Mr SeptemberLance Franklin
Spring surpriseCats out in straight sets
BrownlowDustin Martin, out-polling Danger
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarAndy McGrath
What I got right pre-seasonBugger all
What I got wrongPlenty, including Pies in the eight. Sorry, Bucks

SAM SAYS: There are parallels between Richmond’s game and the Dogs of last year. Manic pressure is made for September. MCG should hand out earplugs, for this will be a bursting roar.

Michael Warner

PremierGWS Giants
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithTom Scully
Mr SeptemberToby Greene
Spring surpriseBrett Deledio
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarCharlie Curnow
What I got right pre-seasonEssendon to play finals
What I got wrongAdelaide to miss the eight

MICK SAYS: KB was on the money — the Giants are the Winx of the competition. Best list by a country mile.

Jay Clark

PremierGeelong
Runner-upAdelaide
Norm SmithPatrick Dangerfield
Mr SeptemberMitch Duncan
Spring surpriseSteven Motlop
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperTrent Cotchin
Rising StarRyan Burton
What I got right pre-seasonPort Adelaide in the eight
What I got wrongMax Gawn to win the Brownlow

J AY SAYS: Joel Selwood makes miracle recovery, Patrick Dangerfield’s Norm Smith eases Brownlow anguish and the Cats go and add Gary Ablett for next season.

Eliza Sewell

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upGWS Giants
Norm SmithMatt Crouch
Mr SeptemberMatt Crouch
Spring surpriseCharlie Cameron
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarSam Powell-Pepper
What I got right pre-seasonIf GWS wins the flag, I picked that!
What I got wrongHawks and Pies in the eight

ELIZA SAYS: Sometimes you can do your head in trying to find reasons to get the favourite beaten. Finished on top for a reason. Tex and Daniel Talia will be super fresh for week one.

Glenn McFarlane

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithRory Sloane
Mr SeptemberEddie Betts
Spring surpriseRichmond wins a final - finally
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperJosh P Kennedy
Rising StarRyan Burton
What I got right pre-seasonBrisbane to claim the wooden spoon
What I got wrongBulldogs to finish second

MACCA SAYS: The Crows have been the most consistent team of the year and look exceptionally hard to beat with the prospect of two home finals. So many X-factors in attack, strong defence and a midfield that just keeps delivering.

Gilbert Gardiner

PremierGWS Giants
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithToby Greene
Mr SeptemberJosh Kelly
Spring surpriseBrett Deledio ends Richmond's season
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarRyan Burton
What I got right pre-seasonGiants, Crows, Cats in top four
What I got wrongHawks and Saints in the top eight

GILBERT SAYS: Too much firepower and class across the park, the Giants need only get their heads in the game to create history.

Rebecca Williams

PremierSydney
Runner-upAdelaide
Norm SmithJosh P Kennedy
Mr SeptemberRory Sloane
Spring surpriseCallum Mills
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperJoel Selwood
Rising StarRyan Burton
What I got right pre-seasonBrisbane to win the spoon
What I got wrongA Bulldogs' top-two finish

BEC SAYS: The ladder position might not look as cosy outside the top four, but the Swans are the hot team heading into the finals. Building momentum since their slow start and peaking at right time.

Lauren Wood

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithRory Sloane
Mr SeptemberLance Franklin
Spring surpriseJack Graham
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarAndy McGrath
What I got right pre-seasonTipped a bunch of teams fighting for eighth
What I got wrongUnderestimated the Blues

LAUREN SAYS: The Crows have hit premiership-worthy numbers consistently all season and think they’ll be primed. They have contributors on every line — a great premiership recipe.

Mick Malthouse

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upGWS Giants
Norm SmithDylan Shiel
Mr SeptemberTom Lynch
Spring surpriseJonathon Patton
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperTrent Cotchin
Rising StarSam Powell-Pepper
What I got right pre-seasonBrisbane to win wooden spoon
What I got wrongCollingwood to play finals

MICK SAYS: I am a strong believer in a bird in hand is worth two in the bush. The Crows home ground advantage, and potential two home finals, should get them through to the grand final. It took a side as slick as Sydney to open them up on the enormous Adelaide Oval ground, but they would have learnt from that.

Matthew Lloyd

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithMatthew Crouch
Mr SeptemberRory Sloane
Spring surpriseDane Rampe
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarAndrew McGrath
What I got right pre-seasonGWS, Crows, Cats in top four
What I got wrongHawthorn to play finals

LLOYDY SAYS: Adelaide will win the premiership because tit should get the dream passage of two home finals into the grand final and they have proven all year that they are the most destructive side in attack. They have built a steely resolve though the midfield this season led by Rory Sloane and the Crouch brothers.

Hawks youngster Ryan Burton is a leading contender for the Rising Star Award.
Hawks youngster Ryan Burton is a leading contender for the Rising Star Award.

Chris Cavanagh

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithEddie Betts
Mr SeptemberJosh P Kennedy
Spring surpriseSteven Motlop
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperTrent Cotchin
Rising StarAndrew McGrath
What I got right pre-seasonGWS and Geelong in the top three
What I got wrongRichmond to finish 12th

CHRIS SAYS: Crows have been the best team all year and remain so, with few weak links across the ground. Their midfield has improved and their forward line is the most potent in the competition.

Scott Gullan

PremierGeelong
Runner-upSydney
Norm SmithPatrick Dangerfield
Mr SeptemberCharlie Dixon
Spring surpriseBrandon Parfitt
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarSam Powell-Pepper
What I got right pre-seasonBrisbane to finish last
What I got wrongBulldogs to win the flag

SCOTT SAYS: Never thought they could win it until saw the number they did on GWS on Saturday night. Might get dream finals draw — which is essentially missing playing Sydney until the GF. Need a few lesser names to stand up but get the sense Patrick Dangerfield is on a personal mission to at least make sure the Cats win it before his former team.

David King

PremierAdelaide
Runner-upGWS Giants
Norm SmithEddie Betts
Mr SeptemberToby Greene
Spring surpriseRichard Douglas
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarRyan Burton
What I got right pre-seasonGiants and Crows in top four
What I got wrongCarlton to finish last

KINGY SAYS: Rory Sloane, Taylor Walker and Daniel Talia’s leadership is coming to the fore and they’re ready to win big finals. The AFL’s most efficient attack whilst defensively still ranked top 4. Matt Crouch, Rory Atkins and Brad Crouch are sharing the midfield load the was all Rory Sloane’s last season.

Dermott Brereton

PremierGWS Giants
Runner-upAdelaide Crows
Norm SmithJosh Kelly
Mr SeptemberLance Franklin
Spring surpriseZach Williams
BrownlowDustin Martin
All-Australian skipperPatrick Dangerfield
Rising StarRyan Burton
Eagles in the eight, Lions wooden spoonLions to claim wooden spoon
What I got wrongHawthorn in the eight

DERMOTT SAYS: In a very even football season, no team is head and shoulders above the rest. Therefore in an even and unpredictable season, I’m selecting the team with the most talent: the Giants.

REVISIT OUT OUR EXPERTS’ PRE-SEASON PREDICTIONS ...

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