Ultimate Brownlow Medal betting guide

THE hottest tips on the Brownlow winner, who will poll the most votes at your club and the punter who's backing Heath Grundy.

Adam Goodes

CHRIS Judd might be an odds-on favourite to win Monday night's Brownlow Medal at $1.75, but the thought of Sydney's Adam Goodes winning his third Brownlow has bookmakers struggling to get to sleep at night.

"Goodes has been a huge go after we bet as much as $67. Everybody knows how well he polls and he had a brilliant second half of the season so the punters can't get enough of him," TAB Sportsbet's Matthew Jenkins said.

The bigger bets on Goodes in the past week have included $6000 each way on him at $6, $3500 each way at $6, $4000 at $5.50 and three separate bets of $2500 each way at $5.

Goodes was at $67 in Round 18 and was reeled into $41 in Round 19, $26 (Round 20), then out to $41 in Round 22, $17 in the final round and was now $5.

CLEVER AND NOT-SO-CLEVER BETS

Smart bets
$200 each way on Chris Judd at $9 on March 24
$30 on Adam Goodes at $67 on July 18

Long-priced bets
$50 on Trent Cotchin at $501 for a potential $25,050 collect
$50 at $1001 on Jimmy Bartel for a potential $50,500 collec
$100 at $501 on Jimmy Bartel for a potential $50,100 collect
$50 at $1001 on Graham Johncock for a potential $50,500 collect
$1000 at $101 on Scott Thompson for a potential $101,000 collect
$100 at $101 on Matt Priddis for a potential $10,100 collect
$50 at $126 on James Kelly for a potential $6300 collect

You can't be serious
Max Gawn $100 at $5001
Andrew Strijk $50 at $1001
Andrew Gaff $250 at $1001
Andrew Swallow $400 at $251
Andrew Krakouer $50 at $1001
Cale Hooker $50 at $1001
Heath Grundy $50 at $1001

EARLY MOVE ON MURPHY

CARLTON captain Chris Judd is a hot favourite to win the Brownlow Medal at $1.75 with TAB Sportsbet, but it is teammate Marc Murphy who has been the subject of a plunge.

"There has been huge money on Marc Murphy to be leading the Brownlow after 12 rounds, with punters having backed him from $4 into $1.70,'' TAB Sportsbet's Matthew Jenkins said.

"The biggest bet on Murphy is only $4500, so there are plenty of punters who have tickets with his name on it.''
There also has been a long-priced go, with West Coast's Matt Priddis backed from $151 to $41.

Leader after Round 12
$1.70 Marc Murphy (Carl)
$2.50 Chris Judd (Carl)
$7 Matthew Boyd (WB)
$7 Jobe Watson (Ess)
$8 Scott Pendlebury (Coll)

CLUB BY CLUB VOTING GUIDE
Glenn Munsie of TAB Sportsbet and Nick Quinn look at who will poll the most votes at your club

Adelaide
S. Thompson $1.05
N. van berlo $9
Players not quoted $11
P. Dangerfield $21
R. Sloane $34

MUNSIE SAYS: All the money for Scott Thompson who has been $1.08 into $1.05, no interest in anyone else.
QUINN'S BET: Thompson should win by double figures.

Brisbane Lions
S. Black$1.08
T. Rockliff$6
Not Quoted$17
J. Redden$17
J. Brown $51
M. Leuenberger $51

MUNSIE SAYS: We have had good money on Tom Rockliff and one punter has $200 on Matthew Leuenberger at $51 for a potential $10,200 collect.
QUINN'S BET: Black will do enough to win.

Carlton
C. Judd$1.18
M. Murphy$4.25
B. Gibbs$11
M. Robinson$34
K. Simpson $34
Not Quoted$51

MUNSIE SAYS: Much more money for Marc Murphy at $4.25 than Judd at $1.18, surprising considering Judd is such a hot favourite.
QUINN'S BET: Judd to win this and the main prize.

Collingwood
S. Pendlebury$1.35
D. Swan$2.65
T. Cloke$21
D. Thomas$21
L. Davis$51
Not Quoted$51

MUNSIE SAYS: Punters have backed Pendlebury from $1.50 into $1.35 with 87 per cent of money on him. The only other interest has been for Leon Davis with one bet of $300 at $51.
QUINN'S BET: Pendlebury should win this comfortably.

Essendon
J. Watson$1.08
B. Stanton$7
Not Quoted$13
M. Hurley$21
S. Crameri$34
D. Zaharakis$34

MUNSIE SAYS: Very quiet with the only interest in Watson despite the short odds.
QUINN'S BET: Despite missing games, Watson will have an unassailable lead early on.

Fremantle
N. Fyfe$1.75
M. Pavlich$2.10
A. Sandilands$13
Not Quoted$17
D. Mundy$21
N. Lower$51

MUNSIE SAYS: Fyfe has been a big go with punters backing him from $1.90 into $1.75. A punter has parted with $300 at $21 on David Mundy for a potential $6300 collect.
QUINN'S BET: Nat Fyfe looks one of the best bets of the night.

Geelong
J. Selwood$1.25
S. Johnson$9
Not Quoted$9
J. Kelly$11
J. Corey$13
P. Chapman$17

MUNSIE SAYS: A stack of money for Joel Selwood with punters backing him from $1.30 into $1.25. James Kelly has plenty of bets on him at $11.
QUINN'S BET: Selwood will do enough to get the chocolates.

Gold Coast
G. Ablett $1.01
M. Rischitelli$13
N. Bock$21
J. Brennan$21
D. Swallow$21
Not Quoted$26

MUNSIE SAYS: There are plenty of big bets on Ablett including $25,000 to win $250.
QUINN'S BET: Gary Ablett is bank interest without the bank fees.

Hawthorn
S. Mitchell$1.07
L. Franklin $7
L. Hodge$11
Not Quoted$26
C. Rioli$41
B. Sewell$51

MUNSIE SAYS: Sam Mitchell easily the best backed despite the odds. A punter has parted with $200 on Cyril Rioli at $41 for a potential $8200 collect.
QUINN'S BET: Sam Mitchell by the length of the straight.

Melbourne
B. Moloney$1.01
C. Sylvia$11
J. Trengove$17
Not Quoted $21
J. McKenzie$26
J. Frawley$41

MUNSIE SAYS: Moloney looks the obvious but this is one of the quietest groups.
QUINN'S BET: Moloney will have more votes after Round 12 than any of his teammates poll for the night.

North Melbourne
A. Swallow$1.40
D. Wells$3.25
B. Harvey $9
Not Quoted$15
T. Goldstein$34
J. Ziebell $51

MUNSIE SAYS: Plunge on Brent Harvey, backed from $26 into $9 with $800 and $600 bets. Also good money for Todd Goldstein with $300 on him at $34.
QUINN'S BET: Andrew Swallow should win comfortably.

Port Adelaide
T. Boak$2
J. Westhoff$3
R. Gray$4
Not Quoted$9
T. Chaplin $26
J. Schultz$51

MUNSIE SAYS: Westhoff has easily been the best backed player with twice as much for him than the next best backed player, who is Robbie Gray.
QUINN'S BET: Boak is poison at $2, have something on Westhoff

Richmond
D. Martin $1.75
T. Cotchin $1.90
B. Deledio $15
Not Quoted$21
R. Nahas $51
B. Houli $51

MUNSIE SAYS: Equal biggest market mover of any team, Dustin Martin has been backed from $2.75 into $1.75. Initial favourite Trent Cotchin has drifted from $1.70 to $1.90.
QUINN'S BET: Cotchin has been more consistent but Martin starred in the games the Tigers won.

St Kilda
N. Dal Santo$1.15
B. Goddard$4.50
L. Montagna$11
S. Fisher$41
Not quoted $41
N. Riewoldt $51

MUNSIE SAYS: Huge go on Dal Santo, who has been $1.30 into $1.15 with bets of $6300 and $5000 on him.
QUINN'S BET: Dal Santo had a great patch towards the end of the season and should win comfortably.

Sydney
A. Goodes$1.05
R. O'Keefe $8
J. Bolton$15
Not Quoted$17
J. Kennedy $34
S. Mumford $51

MUNSIE SAYS: We put up $1.07 on Goodes and the punters were all over it and he is now $1.05. Goodes has been well backed in every market
QUINN'S BET: Goodes will win.

Western Bulldogs
M. Boyd$1.05
R. Griffen$8
Not Quoted$13
A. Cooney$26
R. Murphy$34
C. Ward$34

MUNSIE SAYS: One of the quietest markets. Obviously Boyd dominates the market, but no substantial bets.
QUINN'S BET: Boyd by a double-figure margin.

West Coast
M. Priddis $1.85
D. Cox $2.75
D. Kerr $4.75
A. Embley $13
Not Quoted $26
L. Shuey $51

MUNSIE SAYS: Huge go on Priddis and one of the biggest firmers for the night. We put up $2.75 and punters have backed him relentisly into $1.75 with one bet of $2.75.
QUINN'S BET: Happy to stick with Dean Cox at the $2.75.