Federal election 2019: Two new polls days out from May 18 spell bad news for Scott Morrison

Two new opinion polls point to bad news for Scott Morrison, as the campaign enters its crucial final days, and the Coalition holds on for its life.

A shock new poll has pointed to a devastating reversal of fortunes for the Coalition in a key Victorian seat — the state that will play a major role in deciding the election outcome.

And a second opinion poll, as the campaign enters its final days, has delivered more bad news for Prime Minister Scott Morrison.

Deakin in Melbourne’s east has swung significantly towards Labor, with support for the Liberal incumbent Michael Sukkar collapsing by more than 6 per cent.

Liberal member for Deakin Michael Sukkar could be in trouble, with Labor nabbing significant support in the seat. Picture: AAP

A YouGov Galaxy poll conducted for the Herald Sun spells bad news for the Coalition.

Mr Sukkar is part of the Coalition’s far-right faction and was one of the key forces behind last year’s chaotic attempt to install Peter Dutton as prime minister.

Labor has seized on anger in the electorate, distributing materials reminding voters there of Mr Sukkar’s alliances with former PM and fellow hard-right figure Tony Abbott.

Climate change has emerged as the key issue in Deakin too, with Mr Sukkar a prominent climate sceptic.

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Michael Sukkar’s role in Peter Dutton’s shambolic attempt to snatch the leadership is a big factor in his loss of support. Picture: Carmelo Bazzano

Deakin is on a 6.5 per cent margin, but the new poll shows Labor hopeful Shireen Morris has gained serious ground, increasing her primary vote to 37 per cent.

That would whack the Liberals with a 5.4 per cent swing against it, or a two-party preferred result of 51 to 49 in favour of the Coalition.

That tight result will spark concern in the Government, which has been campaigning heavily in key Victorian seats.

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Another new opinion poll shows Labor is on track to win government. Picture: AAP

Meanwhile, a second opinion poll released today shows Labor remains ahead of the Coalition, with a majority of voters believing Bill Shorten will be the next PM.

An Essential Poll conducted for the Guardian found both major parties gained modest improvements in their primary votes over the past week.

But on a two-party preferred basis, Labor leads the Coalition 51.5 to 48.5.

Mr Morrison is still the preferred prime minister, but 59 per cent of respondents to the poll believe Mr Shorten will win on Saturday.

Originally published as Federal election 2019: Two new polls days out from May 18 spell bad news for Scott Morrison