Federal Election 2019: Latest newspoll has something for everyone
THE latest Newspoll in election 2019 is a joy to behold. It has something for everyone. And while the Coalition is the biggest winner, there are interesting results for two other political players.
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THE latest Newspoll in election 2019 is a joy to behold. It has something for everyone — except Pauline Hanson and the Greens.
The Coalition is the biggest winner in this every player wins a prize surprise.
Hanson throws Coalition a lifeline
Lies over preferences, says Palmer
The combined Liberals and Nationals preferred vote has edged up from 48 point to 49 which, as we all know, puts them in that magic place. They’re within striking distance of Labor and, in the favoured cliche of election tragics, it’s game on!
Labor has lost its already disappearing smiley face because they are now on just 51 per cent of the preferred vote, which is annoyingly close to the 49.4 per cent they finished with at election 2016.
That was close but they got no cigar. Malcolm Turnbull managed to cling to power like a cliff face climber with 50.4 per cent.
Behind these preferred vote numbers both of the major parties slipped in the primary number stakes. Labor fell 2 points to 37 and the Coalition is down to 38. This is the danger zone for both of these blocs as the Coalition will find it all but impossible to win from 38 per cent, based on all historical evidence.
Labor, meanwhile, can technically win from 37 per cent but it would buck a precedent or 20.
The other big winner is Clive Palmer, who’s bought his way into the contest turning a 2 point score at the beginning of the month into a significant 5 points now.
It might be a big dollar spend per vote but hey, he’s got half a billion in the bank right now, as he told us over the weekend.
The Greens are supposed to be having a bad campaign, but this poll says their vote is holding rock steady at 9 per cent.
The big loser is One Nation which seems stuck in the doldrums at 4 per cent, way down from the 7 points they were attracting just over a month ago.
Elsewhere in this poll Bill Shorten is a surprising winner in the competence stakes — with his preferred prime minister gap on Scott Morrison narrowing from 11 points to just 8.
Morrison took a hit on his popularity with his unfavourable number climbing from 44 per cent to 46. All those happy snaps might have been for nought.
Anyway, let’s take this happy days Newspoll and savour it. Tonight we have the first debate and the ugly negative advertising is justly being unleashed.
This election might have had its day in the sun. Dark clouds loom.
Originally published as Federal Election 2019: Latest newspoll has something for everyone