TIM FLANNERY WRITES ON VIRUS LESSONS. BUT HAS HE LEARNED THEM?
Climate alarmist Tim Flannery's new book could be very interesting.: "Flannery's [book] would show how we could apply what we had learned from coronavirus to climate change." The answer, of course, is DON'T TRUST MODELLING. And don't trust the rush to embrace the scariest claims. Wonder how Flannery of the Dud Predictions will deal with that?
Climate alarmist Tim Flannery's new book could be very interesting.:
Flannery's [book] would show how we could apply what we had learned from coronavirus to climate change.
The answer, of course, is DON'T TRUST MODELLING. Or the rush to embarace the scariest claims.
Up to 150,000 Australians could die from the coronavirus under a worst case scenario, the Morrison government says... Deputy Chief Medical Officer Paul Kelly said that the number of infections would range between 20 per cent to 60 per cent of the population... "The death rate is around 1 per cent. You can do the maths."
Deaths so far: 103.
Or modelling like this from the Medical Journal of Australia that we'd run out of emergency beds :
Australia has around 2200 ICU beds, which implies if public health measures fail to curb the rate of growth, Australia's ICU capacity will be exceeded at around 22 000 COVID-19 cases sometime around the 5 April, 2020...
Not even close. Right now, just one Ausralian with the virus is in an ICU bed. At the peak, fewer than 50 beds were needed.
The parallels with global warming are astonishing.
Remember the modelling that said snow would virtually disappear? That low-lying Pacific islands would drown? That our dams would never fill and Sydney would run out of water? That cyclones would get worse, polar bears vanish and food crops would get smaller? That arctic ice would be gone by now and penguins devastated?
All false. Check the links.
Wonder how Flannery of the Dud Predictions will deal with that?