NRL teams round 11, SuperCoach analysis: Lomax, Grant, Collins among Origin big guns back

A host of State of Origin stars have made their return from injury as they look to push for Game I selection. See all the Round 11 teams here.

Harry Grant, Lindsay Collins and Zac Lomax are among the Origin incumbents named to return this week as they aim to prove their fitness for the interstate blockbuster.

Meanwhile, Zac Hosking is the big winner for SuperCoaches after being named to replace Matty Nicholson (ankle) in the back row.

Full analysis below.

SUPERCOACH WINNERS FROM TEAMS

* Lyhkan King-Togia - Retained at halfback for the Dragons and by far the best cheapie of the week, even with a bye next week. Set for a rise of almost $70K this round.

* Zac Hosking - Takes the Canberra starting edge spot of Matty Nicholson (ankle, three months) and is therefore a serious SuperCoach buy at a discount after being forced to play middle recently.

SUPERCOACH LOSERS FROM TEAMS

* Greg Marzhew - Out for at least four weeks with a knee injury. Sell.

* Matty Nicholson - Out for three months with an ankle injury. Sell.

* Nathan Cleary - The Panthers are on the bye this week and Cleary is out for Origin next week. The round after is also up in the air pending if Cleary backs up. Potential sell.

Rob’s round 11 musings and Q&A

Hello, my name is Rob, and I’m a SuperCoach trade-a-holic.

Even though my team is sitting pretty and basking in the muted glory of the first 1,600+ score of the season, I still spent more of my Monday than I’m comfortable admitting - outside of this safe space - refreshing the SuperCoach app waiting for the chance to trade this week.

But I’m trying to kick the habit and (this is a risky thing for someone running a trade Q&A to write) I think you should too.

I’m not advocating we go cold turkey.

I’m all for trading away injured players like Greg Marzhew and Matty Nicholson - even if I’m not so bullish on the most popular Nicholson replacement.

But be careful of trying to predict Origin teams and trading early - every SuperCoach veteran has horror stories about late injuries or surprise 18th man selections blowing up in their faces.

And I’m taking a stand against one of the most popular trades of the round. Which is where I might as well start my Buy/Sell analysis...

Post your SuperCoach NRL trade questions in the comments section...

NRL Teams: Round 11 SuperCoach trade talk.

TRADE ANALYSIS

Nathan Cleary out - Nicho Hynes in: This is the third most popular trade of the round, and I think it’s a mistake (of sorts).

Which is not to say Hynes is a bad player to own. He’s not. Averaging 73.3PPG, Hynes is behind only Cleary in terms of season average and his superb recent form has him rocking a 3RA of 90.3PPG.

And Cleary is on a bye this week then would appear to be a lock to win State of Origin selection which means he misses this week and next week too.

But let’s take a look over the next 3-4 weeks to see how the two players might fare.

In the shortest of short terms it’s clearly advantage Hynes with the Sharks halfback playing round 11 (against the miserly Storm) and round 12 (against the Roosters who will be missing all their Origin players) while Cleary plays neither.

But extend your horizon and the comparison gets tighter.

In round 13 Hynes is on a bye and Cleary (who would have four days between Origin I and this match) has a juicy matchup against the lowly Eels. Big advantage Cleary.

In round 14 Hynes plays the red hot Warriors, Cleary plays the stone cold Tigers - again, advantage Cleary.

Then in round 15 Cleary is on a bye again while Hynes plays the Dragons - and as we revealed here Panthers Origin players have to be considered highly unlikely to play round 16 too. Big advantage Hynes.

In summary I’d argue that the Cleary to Hynes trade is a good one, but the ideal timing (provided you can cover the round 12 bye) is after round 15 not now.

Post your SuperCoach NRL trade questions in the comments section...

OTHER TRADES

Zac Hosking - The Raider is a VERY popular buy and I feel like this might be a bit of a hype play it also ticks plenty of boxes. The medium term job security looks solid with Hosking expected to move to the Raiders’ right edge in place of an injured Matty Nicholson. The medium term draw is okay too with the Raiders covering both the round 12 and round 18 byes - though they miss round 15. He does run a nice line, and he gets through a decent amount of work for an edge forward. But, when Hosking does not score is he really in your top-17? I’d argue not. He’s not really an offloader. He’s not much of a tackle buster. When he does not score Hosking will get you a pretty safe 50-60 points. That’s okay, but not top-17. For which you are paying $500K. That’s okay, but there’s not much upside. Pass for mine.

Dylan Lucas - Was tipped to score a try against the lightweight right edge of the Titans and he duly delivered. Has scored 75+ in four of his five games this year and seems to be the safest of safe CTWs. The Knights have a great draw playing every game up until the round 18 bye. Buy.

Fletcher Sharpe - Sticking with the Knights, Sharpe also enjoyed the Titans game scoring a try, setting up another and adding three more offloads to his growing tally in that stat area. Sharpe’s price is getting a little awkward and will go up again thanks to his 128 point thumper against the Rabbitohs at magic round so while he’s still a ‘Buy’ I can see why some might pivot and hunt for more value.

Lyhkan King-Togia - The Dragons were outplayed early by the Warriors in round 10 but battled back to make a game of it and the rookie half did not disgrace himself with 33 points and a try-assist via a deft little kick near the line. Has not set the world on fire in his opening two games, but has been pretty darn good and with a BE of -51 just needs a bit of attacking luck to go his way to make us $100-120K. Absent the luck we’ve burned two trades on a guy who does not cover the round 12 bye. Not a great buy, but not a bad one either.

Post your SuperCoach NRL trade questions in the comments section...

Herbie Farnworth is a safe choice at CTW. Picture: Getty Images

Herbie Farnworth - He might not have monstrous games in him, but Herbie rarely has a bad one either. Farnworth rocks the second-best base/power average at the CTW position thanks to a very good base and excellent offload/tackle bust numbers. Covers the first two byes and is a good buy for those looking to offload the likes of Greg Marzhew. Good buy.

Erin Clark - Has absolutely flourished at the Warriors and in his past four games (in which he has played 60+ minutes) he is averaging 60PPG in base and 83PPG total. Another whose price is reaching awkward levels and there’s little value here and while he covers the first big bye he does not cover rounds 15 or 18. Not a great buy, but he is the one I am making this week as a result of needing to move Greg Marzhew on.

Corey Allan - Not looking horrible on the Dragons left edge, Allan has a BE of -15 and should make buyers some money. But will he make enough before Christian Tuipulotu returns from his hamstring injury after the round 12 bye? Probably not - pass.

Ryan Papenhuyzen - Was sublime on the weekend scoring three tries in the blink of an eye and booting a million goals to finish with 182 points. The Sharks this week will be a tougher test than the Tigers provided and then has a round 12 bye (misses round 15 too). Great Ponga replacement.

Jahrome Hughes - I sold Hughes prior to the juicy matchup because I was worried about the shoulder injury he was carrying. On the one hand it worked okay because I got Fletcher Sharpe in Hughes’ place and Hughes was limited to just 67 minutes as the Storm continue to nurse him along. On the other hand, Hughes scored 105 points before he was rested. The injury still has me worried. Pass.

Briton Nikora - Available for $140K less than his starting price and that’s largely down to a drop in his base workrate (Nikora averaged 45.5 in base in 2024 but is averaging 38.2 in base in 2025). Not super safe, but if Erin Clark’s price tag is scaring you off and you wanted to zig while others Hosking-zag then there’s still value at this price.

Scott Drinkwater - The run numbers have increased, the try assists are flowing like cheap wine. But is priced like a bottle of Penfolds Grange. In scintillating form and covers round 15 and 18 byes but oh that price. I feel those who did not buy yet (like me) have to let Drinky go as there’s no value there.

Savelio Tamale - Is being pretty widely sold with people cashing in on the $330K profit generated so far. With the Titans this week, then playing the round 12 the week after I’m holding. It could cost you some money - or he could score a brace against the Gold Coast and his price goes on another run.

Greg Marzhew - Injured, sell.

Matty Nicholson - Injured, sell.

Kalyn Ponga - Out of form, sell.

ROUND ELEVEN TEAMS

KNIGHTS V EELS

Friday May 16, 6pm, McDonald Jones Stadium

Knights

1. Kalyn Ponga 2. James Schiller 3. Dane Gagai 4. Bradman Best 5. Fletcher Hunt 6. Fletcher Sharpe 7. Jack Cogger 8. Jacob Saifiti 9. Phoenix Crossland 10. Tyson Frizell 11. Dylan Lucas 12. Kai Pearce-Paul 13. Adam Elliott

Interchange: 14. Jayden Brailey 15. Mathew Croker 16. Thomas Cant 17. Brodie Jones

Reserves: 18. Jack Hetherington 19. Tyson Gamble 20. Matthew Arthur21. Kyle McCarthy 22. Paul Bryan

Eels

1. Isaiah Iongi 2. Zac Lomax 3. Viliami Penisini 4. Sean Russell 5. Josh Addo-Carr 6. Dylan Brown 7. Mitchell Moses 8. Jack Williams 9. Ryley Smith 10. Junior Paulo 11. Matt Doorey 12. Kitione Kautoga 13. J’maine Hopgood

Interchange: 14. Dylan Walker 15. Luca Moretti 16. Jordan Samrani 17. Toni Mataele

Reserves: 18. Joash Papali’i 19. Ryan Matterson 20. Dean Hawkins 21. Jake Tago 22. Brendan Hands

BULLDOGS V ROOSTERS

Friday May 16 2025, 8:00pm, Accor Stadium

Bulldogs

1. Connor Tracey 2. Jacob Kiraz 3. Bronson Xerri 4. Stephen Crichton 5. Marcelo Montoya 6. Matt Burton 7. Toby Sexton 8. Max King 9. Reed Mahoney 10. Daniel Suluka-Fifita 11. Viliame Kikau 12. Harry Hayes 13. Kurt Mann

Interchange: 14. Bailey Howard 15. Kurtis Morrin 16. Lipoi Hopoi 17. Luke Smith

Reserves: 19. Jack Underhill 20. Blake Wilson 21. Jake Turpin 22. Drew Hutchison 23. Blake Taaffe

Roosters

1. James Tedesco 2. Daniel Tupou 3. Billy Smith 4. Robert Toia 5. Mark Nawaqanitawase 6. Sandon Smith 7. Hugo Savala 8. Spencer Leniu 9. Connor Watson 10. Naufahu Whyte 11. Angus Crichton 12. Siua Wong 13. Victor Radley

Interchange: 14. Zach Dockar-Clay 15. Egan Butcher 16. Blake Steep 17. Lindsay Collins

Reserves: 18. Ethan King 19. Salesi Foketi 20. Dominic Young 21. Chad Townsend 22. Benaiah Ioelu

DOLPHINS V WARRIORS

Saturday May 17th 2025, 3:00pm, Suncorp Stadium

Dolphins

1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow 2. Jamayne Isaako 3. Jake Averillo 4. Herbie Farnworth 5. Jack Bostock 6. Kodi Nikorima 7. Isaiya Katoa 8. Francis Molo 9. Kurt Donoghoe 10. Felise Kaufusi 11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki 12. Tom Gilbert 13. Ray Stone

Interchange: 14. Harrison Graham 15. Mark Nicholls 16. Josh Kerr 17. Connelly Lemuelu

Reserves: 18. Sean O’Sullivan 19. Oryn Keeley 20. Max Feagai 21. Kenny Bromwich 22. Junior Tupou

Warriors

1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad 2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak 3. Adam Pompey 4. Kurt Capewell 5. Taine Tuaupiki 6. Chanel Harris-Tavita 7. Luke Metcalf 8. James Fisher-Harris 9. Wayde Egan 10. Mitchell Barnett 11. Leka Halasima 12. Marata Niukore 13. Erin Clark

Interchange : 14. Te Maire Martin 15. Jacob Laban 16. Demitric Vaimauga 17. Samuel Healey

Reserves: 18. Eddie Ieremia 20. Tanner Stowers-Smith 21. Tanah Boyd 22. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck 23. Moala Graham-Taufa

COWBOYS V SEA EAGLES

Sat May 17th 2025, 5:30pm, Queensland Country Bank Stadium

Cowboys

1. Scott Drinkwater 2. Robert Derby 3. Zac Laybutt 4. Viliami Vailea 5. Murray Taulagi 6. Jaxon Purdue 7. Tom Dearden 8. Jordan McLean 9. Reece Robson 10. Coen Hess 11. John Bateman 12. Jeremiah Nanai 13. Sam McIntyre

Interchange: 14. Harrison Edwards 15. Thomas Mikaele 16. Griffin Neame 17. Kai O’Donnell

Reserves: 18. Jake Clifford 19. Thomas Duffy 20. Semi Valemei 21. Karl Lawton 22. Kaiden Lahrs

Sea Eagles

1. Tom Trbojevic 2. Jason Saab 3. Tolutau Koula 4. Reuben Garrick 5. Lehi Hopoate 6. Luke Brooks 7. Daly Cherry-Evans 8. Ethan Bullemor 9. Jazz Tevaga 10. Siosiua Taukeiaho 11. Haumole Olakau’atu 12. Ben Trbojevic 13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange: 14. Jake Simpkin 15. Corey Waddell 16. Caleb Navale 17. Nathan Brown

Reserves: 18. Michael Chee Kam 19. Clayton Faulalo 20. Jakob Arthur 21. Joey Walsh 22. Matthew Lodge

SHARKS V STORM

Sat May 17th 2025, 7:35pm, Sharks Stadium

Sharks

1. William Kennedy 2. Samuel Stonestreet 3. Jesse Ramien 4. KL Iro 5. Ronaldo Mulitalo 6. Braydon Trindall 7. Nicho Hynes 8. Addin Fonua-Blake 9. Blayke Brailey 10. Oregon Kaufusi 11. Briton Nikora 12. Billy Burns 13. Cameron McInnes

Interchange: 14. Daniel Atkinson 15. Jesse Colquhoun 16. Siosifa Talakai 17. Braden Hamlin-Uele

Reserves: 18. Hohepa Puru 19. Tuku Hau Tapuha 20. Jayden Berrell 21. Teig Wilton 22. Chris Veaila

Storm

1. Ryan Papenhuyzen 2. Sualauvi Faalogo 3. Grant Anderson 4. Nick Meaney 5. Xavier Coates 6. Cameron Munster 7. Jahrome Hughes 8. Stefano Utoikamanu 9. Bronson Garlick 10. Josh King 11. Shawn Blore 12. Eliesa Katoa 13. Trent Loiero

Interchange: 14. Tyran Wishart 15. Alec MacDonald 16. Tui Kamikamica 17. Joe Chan

Reserves: 18. Ativalu Lisati 19. Lazarus Vaalepu 20. Kane Bradley 21. Harry Grant 22. Nelson Asofa-Solomona

BRONCOS V DRAGONS

Sun May 18th 2025, 2:00pm, Suncorp Stadium

Broncos

1. Selwyn Cobbo 2. Deine Mariner 3. Kotoni Staggs 4. Gehamat Shibasaki 5. Jesse Arthars 6. Ezra Mam 7. Adam Reynolds 8. Patrick Carrigan 9. Billy Walters 10. Payne Haas 11. Xavier Willison 12. Jordan Riki 13. Kobe Hetherington

Interchange: 14. Cory Paix 15. Corey Jensen 16. Brendan Piakura 17. Fletcher Baker

Reserves: 18. Tyson Smoothy 19. Josiah Karapani 20. Martin Taupau 21. Jaiyden Hunt 22. Delouise Hoeter

Dragons

1. Clinton Gutherson 2. Tyrell Sloan 3. Moses Suli 4. Valentine Holmes 5. Corey Allan 6. Kyle Flanagan 7. Lykhan King-Tongia 8. Jack de Belin 9. Damien Cook 10. David Klemmer 11. Dylan Egan 12. Jaydn Su’A 13. Hamish Stewart

Interchange: 14. Jacob Liddle 15. Luciano Leilua 16. Loko Jnr Pasifiki Tonga 17. Blake Lawrie

Reserves: 18. Nathan Lawson 19. Hame sele 20. Lachlan Ilias 21. Raymond Faitala-Mariner 22. Michael Molo

RAIDERS V TITANS

Sun May 18th 2025, 4:05pm, GIO Stadium

Raiders

1. Kaeo Weekes 2. Savelio Tamale 3. Matthew Timoko 4. Sebastian Kris 5. Xavier Savage 6. Ethan Strange 7. Jamal Fogarty 8. Corey Horsburgh 9. Tom Starling 10. Joseph Tapine 11. Hudson Young 12. Zac Hosking 13. Morgan Smithies

Interchange: 14. Owen Pattie 15. Simi Sasagi 16. Josh Papali’i 17. Ata Mariota

Reserves: 18. Jed Stuart 19. Noah Martin 20. Pasami Saulo 21. Trey Mooney 22. Danny Levi

Titans

1. Jaylan De Groot 2. Alofiana Khan-Pereira 3. Brian Kelly 4. Jojo Fifita 5. Phillip Sami 6. AJ Brimson 7. Jayden Campbell 8. Moeaki Fotuaika 9. Sam Verrills 10. Reagan Campbell-Gillard 11. Klese Haas 12. Beau Fermor 13. Tino Fa’asuamaleaui

Interchange: 14. Kieran Foran 15. Jaimin Jolliffe 16. Chris Randall 17. Josiah Pahulu

Reserves: 18. Tony Francis 19. Arama Hau 20. Josh Patston 21. Harley Smith-Shields 22. Sean Mullany

WESTS TIGERS V RABBITOHS

Sun May 18th 2025, 6:15pm, Campbelltown Sports Stadium

Wests Tigers

1. Jahream Bula 2. Sunia Turuva 3. Adam Doueihi 4. Starford To’a 5. Charlie Staines 6. Lachlan Galvin 7. Jarome Luai 8. Terrell May 9. Apisai Koroisau 10. Royce Hunt 11. Samuela Fainu 12. Alex Seyfarth 13. Alex Twal

Interchange: 14. Brent Naden 15. Tony Sukkar 16. Jack Bird 17. Sione Fainu

Reserves: 18. Heath Mason 19. Tallyn Da Silva 20. Solomona Faataape 21. Reuben Porter 22. Tristan Hope

Rabbitohs

1. Latrell Mitchell 2. Alex Johnston 3. Isaiah Tass 4. Campbell Graham 5. Bayleigh Bentley-Hape 6. Jayden Sullivan 7. Jamie Humphreys 8. Jai Arrow 9. Siliva Havili 10. Keaon Koloamatangi 11. Euan Aitken 12. Tallis Duncan 13. Lachlan Hubner

Interchange: 14. Jye Gray 15. Sean Keppie 16. Davvy Moale 17. Liam Le Blanc

Reserves: 18. Tevita Tatola 19. Lewis Dodd 20. Joshua Schuster 21. Fletcher Myers 22. Jacob Host

Originally published as NRL teams round 11, SuperCoach analysis: Lomax, Grant, Collins among Origin big guns back