Weekend Best Bets: Rosehill Gardens, Flemington, Doomben, Morphettville Parks
LATEST TAB ODDS: OUR experts give you an early shot at finding a winner as they look at the major races around the nation this weekend.
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OUR experts give you an early shot at finding a winner as they look at the major races around the nation this weekend.
Last week ... four winners. Matt Stewart had ‘his army’ on the march after he claimed bragging rights with his value bet, Red Alto, lobbing at $21. Michael Manley extended his winning run to four with Yogi ($3.20), which was also Simon Moy’s best, while Gilbert Gardiner got off the mark with Aloft ($4.60). In Sydney, Stephen Zammit and Shayne O’Cass got the chocolates with Sayed ($4.60).
SATURDAY MEETINGS (AEST times)
DOOMBEN (9 races, start 11.32am),
ROSEHILL GARDENS (9 races, start 11.55am),
FLEMINGTON (9 races, start 12.15pm),
MORPHETTVILLE PARKS (8 races, 1.01pm),
BELMONT (8 races, 1.48pm).
THE EARLY OIL: FLEMINGTON
ANALYSIS: AURIE’S STAR HANDICAP
RACE WATCH: DAVO’S TIPS FOR ROSEHILL
THE EARLY OIL: FLEMINGTON
ROSEHILL GARDENS
BRAD DAVIDSON (Daily Telegraph). Form: 55513
MENARI (Race 6, No. 2)
Always looked like he would make a top three-year-old and his recent trials have been super. Can sit back off the speed here and pounce late first-up.
TAB Fixed Odds: $3
Value bet: MARIQUITA (Race 8, No. 11)
TAB Fixed Odds: $10
STEPHEN ZAMMIT (Daily Telegraph). Form: 51181
FAITH’S ENCORE (Race 8, No. 6)
Team Snowden elected to scratch this mare from an earlier race, and that augurs well for her chances here. She hit the line with plenty of power when third over 1200m at this track on July 29, and should be right at her peak now. Has a good gate and a top rider in Tye Angland to do the steering.
TAB Fixed Odds: $6
Value bet: ARGENT D’OR (Race 5, No. 8)
TAB Fixed Odds: $10
JOHN DAVIS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 17215
SLUMBER PARTY (Race 8, No. 8)
Fought on gamely when carrying a huge impost behind Suspenders at this venue last time and plummets 3.5kg here. Should atone.
TAB Fixed Odds: $4.60
Value bet: DORF STAR (Race 5, No. 6)
TAB Fixed Odds: $16
SHAYNE O’CASS (Sportsman). Form: 09x41
I AM EXCITED (Race 6, No. 6)
Was awesome at Scone at the stand-alone coming from a mile back to run third to Debonairly who was rocking. Then at his next/last start I Am Excited overcame difficulty to score like a good horse. His trials have been huge and I can see him rattling off a massive sectional and winning.
TAB Fixed Odds: $12
Value bet: ETYMOLOGY (Race 7, No. 8)
TAB Fixed Odds: $16
DARREN PRENDERGAST (SuperRacing). Form: 4x174
MENARI (Race 6, No. 2)
Talented colt who wasn’t suited on the heavy tracks in the autumn, but still good enough to finish fourth in the Golden Slipper. Has trialled well and ready to go first-up.
TAB Fixed Odds: $3
Value bet: FAITH’S ENCORE (Race 8, No. 8)
TAB Fixed odds: $6
CHRIS VERNUCCIO (SuperRacing). Form: 12416
VAUCLUSE BAY (Race 2, No. 1)
A big winner last start and is a horse on the rise. Even though he goes up 6.5kg, the Chris Waller-trained gelding still looks better than the opposition.
TAB fixed odds: $2.25
Value bet: INVICTUM DOMINA (Flem Race 6, No. 11)
TAB fixed odds: $5
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
FLEMINGTON
MATT STEWART (Herald Sun). Form: 71x13
KILIMANJARO (Race 2 No. 2)
Seemed disappointing last start but was exposed to heavy wind. Can lift and this is weak.
TAB Fixed odds: $3
Value bet: KILMACURRAGH (Race 6, No. 9)
TAB Fixed odds: $5
MICHAEL MANLEY (Herald Sun). Form: 21111
SAMOVARE (Race 5, No. 2)
Former top Perth filly who was anchored by her big weight this track and distance last start over the concluding stages. Drops four kilos and has Damien Oliver aboard so should bounce back.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2
Value bet: ROCKET TOMMY (Race 9, No. 7)
TAB Fixed Odds: $5
GILBERT GARDINER (Herald Sun). Form: 661
O’RACHAEL (Race 5, No. 5)
Smart type, gun alley and terrific closing speed. Will be right in the finish.
TAB Fixed Odds: $4.40
Value bet: PERUGGIA (Race 1, No. 1)
TAB Fixed Odds: $12
SIMON MOY (SuperRacing). Form: x8831
PORTION CONTROL (Race 4, No. 5)
Covered plenty of ground last start but still powered home to win at Caulfield over this journey. No reason why cannot do the same at headquarters. Top chance.
TAB Fixed Odds: $5
Value bet: GALAXY RAIDER (Race 8, No. 9)
TAB Fixed Odds: $5.50
NICK QUINN (TAB). Form: 21112
SAMOVARE (Race 5, No. 2)
Former Perth mare who flashed home for second at her Victorian debut.
Will get clear galloping room, from the outside draw and her turn of foot should see her win her first Victorian race.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2
Value bet: RICH LUCK (Race 3, No. 6)
TAB Fixed Odds: $5
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
DOOMBEN
Nathan Exelby (The Courier Mail) Form: 7x122
OINK (Race 6, No. 12)
Yes, costly in previous outings, but he’s sensationally placed up to the 1350m here. Squeezed out at the start last time while the winner dominated from the front. Tidy effort to finish second. Extra trip is ideal, Plate conditions also suit and he’s drawn to sit a lot closer in the run for in-form Damian Browne here.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.60
Value bet: Magnus Cor (Race 9, No. 4)
TAB Fixed Odds: $9.50
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
MORPHETTVILLE PARKS
BEN SCADDEN (The Advertiser) Form: 43014
SUPREME POLARITY (Race 3, No. 1)
He looked a certainty beaten first-up when badly held up before flashing home late when a close-up third a couple of weeks ago. He should have benefited from that outing and should be charging home.
TAB Fixed Odds: $5.50
Best value: BOLD ZAMOUR (Race 1, No. 1)
TAB Fixed Odds: $12
LINCOLN MOORE (The Advertiser) Form: 22452
BALF’S CHOICE (Race 4, No. 1)
Exciting type working his way through the grades nicely. Soft win last time and this doesn’t look a lot stronger. Should be winning again.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.40
Value bet: KAZOOM (Race 5, No. 10)
TAB Fixed Odds: $17
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
*Note: TAB Fixed Odds prices correct at time of publishing
Originally published as Weekend Best Bets: Rosehill Gardens, Flemington, Doomben, Morphettville Parks
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