We’ve crunched the numbers: This is what the Suns need to do to make finals

I’ts the question on everyone’s lips. Can the Gold Coast Suns AFLW side break a 10-year drought and be the first Suns footy side to qualify for finals.

IT’S the question on everyone’s lips.

Can the Gold Coast Suns AFLW side break a 10-year drought and be the first Suns footy side to qualify for finals.

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We’re only three games into the season, so this analysis may be a little premature but as the Suns continue to improve each week, the excitement surrounding their potential continues to build.

Suns fans are seen during the Round 3 AFLW match between the Gold Coast Suns and Brisbane Lions at Metricon Stadium on the Gold Coast, Saturday, February 22, 2020 (AAP Image/Darren England)

Including their match against the Kangaroos this afternoon, the Suns have three remaining games against their Conference A counterparts.

In the conference system, only three teams qualify for finals and the Suns have already lost one, won one and drawn one game against the other teams in their conference.

In the 2019 conference system, which albeit featured one less game than the 2020 version, an average of 4.75 wins secured you a spot in finals.

In Conference A, we believe it will come down to four sides for three spots, Brisbane, North Melbourne, Adelaide, and the Suns.

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If the Suns win their remaining three Conference A games, you can just about lock in a finals spot.

In the Suns favour is the fact they face two of the remaining finals contenders before the end of the season as is the fact they face the West Coast Eagles, who are yet to win a game, in a crossover match.

We also think the Suns have what it takes to beat the Cats in Mackay which leaves them on three and a half wins before you take into account their remaining fixtures.

Kalinda Howarth of the Suns celebrates kicking a goal with Jamie Stanton (right) during the Round 3 AFLW match between the Gold Coast Suns and Brisbane Lions at Metricon Stadium on the Gold Coast, Saturday, February 22, 2020 (AAP Image/Darren England)

On current form, we reckon the Crows (with the addition of Erin Phillips) and Kangaroos will take up two of the three spots, leaving the Suns and Lions to battle for the final position.

The Lions face both AFLW pace setters Fremantle and Collingwood as well as the Kangaroos in a difficult run home.

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Where the Suns face Adelaide and Melbourne in the final two rounds as well as North this weekend.

Win two of those as well as bank predicted wins against Geelong and the Eagles, and the Suns finish on five wins.

Win one of three and it’s a bit more unpredictable.

Our prediction: If the Suns win two out of three against the Kangaroos, Dees, and Crows, we believe they’ll make it. If not, there’s still a decent chance but they’ll have to rely on a few results to go their way.