NewsBite

Labor and LNP in tie in race to claim crucial Bonney seat as their own

An exclusive poll has revealed an incredibly tight race in the new Gold Coast seat of Bonney. The marginal seat is set to be crucial but who is the likely winner.

THE seat of Bonney is on a knife-edge with the two major parties neck and neck when it comes to the two-party preferred vote.

In an exclusive poll commissioned by the Gold Coast Bulletin, the two major parties are split evenly on a two-party preferred basis.

The Galaxy Research poll of 657 Bonney voters found LNP’s Sam O’Connor was in front with 45 per cent of the vote swinging to the conservatives.

Bonney LNP candidate Sam O'Connor at Southport. Picture Glenn Hampson
Bonney LNP candidate Sam O'Connor at Southport. Picture Glenn Hampson

But Labor’s Rowan Holzberger is not far behind on 39 per cent of the vote.

The Greens polled at nine per cent with the “others”, consisting on independents Ron Nightingale and Robert Buegge, received about seven per cent.

Labor candidate for Bonney Rowan Holzberger.
Labor candidate for Bonney Rowan Holzberger.

Nine per cent remained uncommitted.

One Nation has not put forward a candidate in Bonney.

Griffith University political expert Paul Williams said the tight vote was not unsurprising given the close race to govern after the November 25 poll.

Independent candidate for Bonney Ron Nightingale. Picture: Richard Gosling
Independent candidate for Bonney Ron Nightingale. Picture: Richard Gosling

“Labor in the south east is holding steady but in the in the regions it’s definitely struggling,” Dr Williams said.

“Every marginal seat is going to be crucial.”

Bonney is crucial for both parties to win with 27 of the 93 seats across the state predicted to have a margin of less than 5 per cent.

To hold government either party needs to win 47 seats across the state.

Independent candidate for Bonney Robert Buegge. Picture: Richard Gosling
Independent candidate for Bonney Robert Buegge. Picture: Richard Gosling

Dr Williams said it could be days after poll before the outcome of Bonney was known.

He said a similar wait would also occur across the state.

“Each party is just going to be trying to get to as close of 47 as possible,” Dr Williams said.

Greens candidate for Bonney Amin Javanmard. Photo by Richard Gosling
Greens candidate for Bonney Amin Javanmard. Photo by Richard Gosling

He said even though both parties had said they would not work with One Nation, in the event of a hung parliament, either party will have to make a deal to work with independents and the minor parties.

Add your comment to this story

To join the conversation, please Don't have an account? Register

Join the conversation, you are commenting as Logout

Original URL: https://www.goldcoastbulletin.com.au/news/queensland-state-election-2015/labor-and-lnp-in-tie-in-race-to-claim-crucial-bonney-seat-as-their-own/news-story/d47860c4c0a64586784d0805ea604d74