Revealed: Inside story on what went down in every Gold Coast seat
Here is the inside story and results for the all Gold Coast seats during the State poll on Saturday.
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Here is the inside story and results for the all Gold Coast seats during the State poll on Saturday.
BONNEY. LNP. Sam O’Connor win.
A stunning result for the young first term MP showing hard work and focus on local issues pays off.
On an unofficial indicative count — this is a two party count without all preferences counted — Mr O’Connor is on 61 per cent.
His primary vote is 54.39 per cent. This compares to 43.87 per cent in the 2017 poll.
Labor’s Rowen Holzberger in 2017 recorded 35.69 of the primary vote. Ash Borg this time around received 31.66 per cent.
Here is the inside story and results for the all Gold Coast seats during the State poll on Saturday.
The Greens vote increased by about 1.5 per cent, and Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party polled 1.21 per cent.
UAP had few resources at the booth, Labor put less funding in this time around and Mr O’Connor’s strong profile meant he got a second term boost. He now owns this seat.
BROADWATER. LNP. David Crisafulli. Win.
The north Queenslander has found a home on the Coast.
Opposition frontbencher David Crisafulli, on the unofficial indicative count, has more than 66 per cent of the vote.
In 2017, he had 48.48 per cent of the primary vote, after parachuting into the safe seat and knocking out then MP Verity Barton in a pre-selection contest. His primary vote has increased to 60 per cent.
The One Nation vote has collapsed here.
Brenden Ball ran a massive campaign last time around for Pauline Hanson and scored 21.40 per cent. This time with no sight of the leader, the vote for ONP was 5.63 per cent.
Biggest next vote for the MP will be if Mr Crisafulli stands for the leadership.
BURLEIGH. LNP. Michael Hart. Undecided.
The vote of LNP MP and Opposition frontbencher Michael Hart has nosedived.
In the 2017 State poll, Mr Hart’s primary vote was 49.72 per cent. On the current count, he is polling 40.49 per cent. He should just hold after LNP strategists thought he had lost it.
Labor last time around polled 34.20 per cent. The ALP’s celebrity candidate Wayne “Rabbit” Bartholomew is capturing about 36.22 per cent of the vote.
Support for the Greens took a similar path to Mr Hart’s — from more than 16 per cent at the last poll to just less than nine per cent.
Georgie Batty stood for One Nation this time around and secured seven per cent of the vote.
The anti-light rail brigade did not deliver a huge boost to Mr Hart. Labor reckons it has gained votes from pro-rail supporters. Burleigh is now in Labor’s sights.
COOMERA. LNP. Michael Crandon. Likely LNP win.
The northern Coast seat in the city’s fastest growing area is at the top of Labor’s wishlist.
Current polling shows that one day soon it could be theirs.
Michael Crandon is a hard working, outspoken advocate for the north. His current primary vote is 40.54 per cent, just up on 39.35 per cent in 2017.
Labor’s Chris Johnson, this time around, has improved his vote from 31.24 per cent to 36.64 per cent. He did not participate in the Bulletin’s forums and his media profile was low.
Similar to the neighbouring seat of Theodore, the One Nation vote collapsed, from 20.46 per cent to 8.19 per cent.
Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party polled as low as 1.60 per cent.
Mr Crandon has a strong personal following, and without him and if the Labor candidate does more media and was backed by resources, the ALP should secure this seat next time around.
CURRUMBIN. LNP. Laura Gerber. Undecided.
The Coast’s most complex seat. Early on election night some LNP and Labor strategists were tipping an ALP win.
But the official indicative count shows Laura Gerber with 50.45 of the vote, with Labor’s Kaylee Campradt on 49.46 per cent.
Ms Gerber on the current count has a primary vote of 40.41 per cent. Her vote is down from 43.76 per cent in the March by election.
Ms Campradt is polling at 35.27 per cent. Her vote in March was 38.3 per cent, but she was confronted this time around with Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk’s tough stance on the border.
The Greens vote is slightly down, from 10.97 per cent to 9.38 per cent, and their preferences flow to Labor.
The big difference this time around is the independent, Dr Richard Stuckey, husband of Jann Stuckey the former long serving MP who quit the LNP. His preferences also go to Labor.
One Nation (3.8 per cent) and Clive Palmer’s United Australia Party (1.47 per cent) had no impact, and whatever the outcome this is marginal seat which Labor will want to get back.
GAVEN. LABOR. Meaghan Scanlon. Win.
An incredible performance by Queensland’s youngest female politician, not only securing her marginal seat but laying the foundations for Labor to assume control of city’s north.
On an unofficial indicative count, Meaghan Scanlon has 58.29 per cent of the vote, compared to 41.77 for the LNP.
Her primary vote is 48.26 per cent. This is up from 43 per cent in 2017 when only the Greens and LNP ran in the seat.
More telling about the win is Kirsten Jackson, for the LNP, doorknocked about 8500 homes, was visible in the electorate for months and received a positive response from businesses.
The Greens vote with Sally Spain, again the candidate, dropped from 10.82 per cent to 5.15 per cent. Their lack of presence at the booths must cause a rethink of their strategy.
Given the Greens vote should be in double figures, and preferences go to Labor, Ms Scanlon could have had an even bigger win. The question is will she be promoted to a Minister.
MERMAID BEACH. LNP. Ray Stevens. Win.
Veteran MP Ray Stevens has been returned with much the same result in one of the safest LNP seats in Queensland which takes in millionaire’s row at Hedges Avenue.
His primary vote on current polling is 43.45 per cent. It was 45.54 in 2017.
Labor’s Dr Carl Ungerer was described by Mr Stevens as a “corflute candidate”. The ALP vote increased by more than six per cent.
The Greens slightly improved their vote, by about one per cent, to 10.86 per cent.
The challenge will be for Mr Stevens again being on the Opposition benches when he would have loved to serve out what most likely is his last term as a government member.
MUDGEERABA. LNP. Ros Bates. Win.
Labor will never win back this seat. It would take someone to build an unpopular cableway and enough swinging voters jump on board.
Opposition frontbencher Ros Bates has increased her vote by 1.1 per cent despite the Melbourne Cup field which ran against her.
She faced nine candidates.
Labor’s vote was 26.49 per cent. In 2017 it was 23.47 per cent.
The Greens vote dropped from 9.29 per cent to 8.48 per cent, and despite this being the hinterland, appear less popular here than down south.
Ms Bates as an Opposition frontbencher will again lead the ball up in State Parliament for the blue team. She is close to Deb Frecklington, the Coast’s campaign leader, and will be feeling the loss given she had a reform plan for health and child safety.
SOUTHPORT. LNP. Rob Molhoek. Win.
Southport is a seat which once belonged to Labor Minister Peter Lawlor, and the ALP would like to win it back but never seem to be in the campaign driver’s seat here.
Rob Molhoek, a former city councillor and radio chief, obtained 47.08 per cent in 2017. He is currently polling at 43.46 per cent.
This time around the ALP pre-selected Susie Gallagher, fresh off the city council elections in March and with a strong local profile.
Labor’s vote has increased from 29.67 per cent to 36.36 per cent. This was without much advertising visible around the CBD.
The Greens vote again dipped, from 10.57 per cent to 8.87 per cent.
On an unofficial indicative count, Mr Molhoek is on 53.57 per cent of the vote, and that suggests for the future this will remain a safe LNP seat unless he quits and Labor funds a bigger campaign.
SURFERS PARADISE. LNP. John-Paul Langbroek. Win.
This seat is so safe for the LNP that John-Paul Langbroek can spend much of the campaign helping out others at the booths. He ventured out to Nerang late last week.
His primary vote this time around is 59.29 per cent. He secured 63.23 per cent in 2017.
Similar to other seats, the Green vote was down a bit and Labor up on last time.
Of more interest will be Mr Langbroek’s role in the Opposition in the next Parliament, whether there is a step up there or his focus turns to the possibility of federal politics or council.
THEODORE. LNP. Mark Boothman. Win.
Mark Boothman and many of his LNP colleagues had a shock early on election night with the northern Gold Coast seat “in play”. The count improved for him later on.
On an unofficial indicative count, he has 53.11 per cent of the vote, compared to 46.89 per cent for Labor.
His primary vote is 44.78 per cent, up from 39.71 per cent in 2017.
But Labor has also boosted its primary vote, by a lot — 38.77 per cent with their candidate Tracey Bell, up from 31.47 per cent.
The Green vote took a slight dip but One Nation collapsed. Their vote last time of just more than 19 per cent three years ago, dropped to 6.88 per cent.