Beat The Bookie value bets
POLL: OUR experts try to boost your bank balance with the best value bets of the weekend in the major cards around the nation.
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OUR experts try to boost your bank balance with the best value bets of the weekend in the major cards around the nation.
SATURDAY MEETINGS (AEST Times)
EAGLE FARM (10 races, 10.50am), RANDWICK (9 races, start 11.30am),
FLEMINGTON (9 races, start 11.45am),
MORPHETTVILLE (8 races, start 12.23pm),
BELMONT (8 races, start 1.58pm).
HOT TIPS: WEEKEND BEST BETS
EAGLE FARM
NATHAN EXELBY (The Courier-Mail). Frm: 11674
CANDIKA
Race 7, No. 16
Only wound up very late in the Sires and she was going as well as anything. Drawn a middle gate to help her settle midfield, she looks certain to run out the mile strongly and at $9, cannot see why she is twice the price of some other fancies.
TAB Fixed Odds: $8
BEN DORRIES (The Courier-Mail). Form: x0550
NIKITAS/SACRED ELIXIR
Race 7 Quinella
Not often I suggest a quinella as a value bet (especially in a big field). But I have two-year-olds Nikitas and Sacred Elixir clearly on top in the Group 1 JJ Atkins. Nikitas is back to form and this distance will suit him down to the ground, always being his target race. Sacred Elixir looks like something special and the big-striding Kiwi will thrive at Eagle Farm. Take the quinella with these two, and back them both as well
BRAD DAVIDSON (Gold Coast Bulletin). Form: 6x290
JAWS OF STEEL
Race 7, No. 8
No knock at all on Sacred Elixir and Candika but I just think Jaws Of Steel is well over the odds here. I loved the way he attacked the line at over 1400m off a freshen last start and he produced the quickest last 600m and 400m splits of the day at Flemington. Was luckless in the Champagne Stakes prior to that and he will eat up the mile at Eagle Farm. Eschiele is also good value in the Queensland Derby.
TAB Fixed Odds: $19
CHRIS VERNUCCIO (SuperRacing). Form: 60226
JAWS OF STEEL
Race 7, No. 8
Underrated, looks a blow out chance in the JJ Atkins. Nothing has gone right for him the past two starts and he should run out the 1600m
TAB Fixed Odds $16
SIMON MOY (SuperRacing). Form: 67009
ARTLEE
Race 9, No. 16
Prepared to ignore last run when third but appeared to have race at his mercy. Gets in with lightest weight for some time. Has to be chance of upset with a good run.
TAB Fixed Odds: $26
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
RANDWICK
STEPHEN ZAMMIT (Daily Telegraph). Form: 6444x
PORTATORIO
Race 3, No. 5
Gave nothing else a chance when scoring by a huge margin at Taree last year and was way too good when he last raced at Grafton in January. Has a great fresh record and although this is a tough assignment, he deserves his chance and will look the winner at some stage of the race.
TAB Fixed Odds: $4.20
JOHN DAVIS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 00x33
BOWIE’S BABE
Race 3, No. 11
Is a most underrated bush sprinter and resumes here off a short freshen-up for astute Tamworth mentor Leon Davies. Won’t mind the soft underlay conditions and at the odds, she is worth an each-way ticket.
TAB Fixed Odds: $17
SHAYNE O’CASS (Sportsman). Form: 8290x
SWEET CHESTNUT
Race 1, No. 12
We have to hope that horses can swoop, or at very least make ground because my longshot will need it to be that way. This filly definitely has talent and she trialled enormous leading into this. Worth a shy at the stumps at the odds.
TAB Fixed Odds: $23
DARREN PRENDERGAST (SuperRacing). Form: 9547x
STAR CROSSED
Race 1, No. 4
Scored debut win at Scone in December before given a break. The speedy son of Starcraft has had two trials including an eye-catching 15-length romp at Gosford last month. Drawn well and will give plenty of cheek.
TAB Fixed Odds: $6
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
FLEMINGTON
MATT STEWART (Herald Sun). Form: 14183
ARALDO JUNIOR
Race 5 No. 8
Reckon I hopped aboard one run early last start when solid. Now ready.
TAB Fixed Odds: $15
DANNY RUSSELL (Herald Sun) Form: 13425
BULLPIT
Race 8, No. 6
Born to run 1000m at Flemington. Beaten less than a length by Supido this track and distance last month.
TAB Fixed Odds: $8
MICHAEL MANLEY (Herald Sun) Form: 763x3
UNGRATEFUL ELLEN
Race 5, No. 7
Took ground off a smart mare in Zanteca last start at Morphettville which reads well for this. $6 looks over the odds.
TAB Fixed Odds: $6
NICK QUINN (TAB). Form: 09351
CHASE THE HORIZON
Race 3, No. 2
Resumed from a spell with an eye-catching win at Ballarat and despite the step up in grade looks the one to beat at an attractive price.
TAB Fixed Odds: $7
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
MORPHETTVILLE
LINCOLN MOORE (The Advertiser). Form: 233x1
ZEPRISE JOURNEY
Race 2, No. 6
Form reads horrible on paper since a more than handy effort when fifth behind Go Dreaming in the Birthday Cup here back in February. Won three of his previous five starts and he was specked here at odds last week ($26 to $14) and is more than capable of turning it around here.
TAB Fixed Odds: $13
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
Note: Prices correct at time of publishing
Originally published as Beat The Bookie value bets