Weekend Best Bets: Find out who the experts are tipping
OUR experts give you an early shot at finding a winner as they look at the major races around the nation.
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OUR experts give you an early shot at finding a winner as they look at the major races around the nation.
Premier trainer Chris Waller, fresh from winning the first group 1 race of the season with Boban in the Memsie Stakes last Saturday, will saddle up a record 11 runners in the Group 2 Chelmsford Stakes at Randwick.
The 16-horse field will also contain leading Cox Plate fancies Pornichet and Hartnell. Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist resumes in the Tramway Stakes alongside top class mares First Seal and Lucia Valentina. Godolphin’s major spring player Contributer is the headline runner in the Group 2 Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes at Moonee Valley.
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DATO TAN CHIN NAM: ANALYSIS/CLASS SHOULD TELL
EXPERT OPINION: BEAT THE BOOKIE VALUE BETS
Saturday meetings: DOOMBEN (8 races, start 12.10pm), MOONEE VALLEY (9 races, start 12.25pm), RANDWICK (8 races, start 12.40pm), MORPHETTVILLE (8 races, start 1.03pm), BELMONT (8 races, 1.34pm). AEST times.
RANDWICK
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RAY THOMAS (Daily Telegraph). Form: x6710
BALL OF MUSCLE
Race 5, No. 1
Ball Of Muscle is a very genuine and brilliant speedster. He has won eight of his 13 starts and has never been out of a place. The Joe Pride-trained sprinter is resuming after an impressive autumn campaign that culminated with his Group 2 QTC Cup win at Doomben. He showed all his customary speed to win a Warwick Farm barrier trial last Friday and will give his rivals something to chase over the Randwick 1000m course.
TAB Fixed Odds: $4
NIC ASHMAN (Daily Telegraph). Form: 86154
SPEAK FONDLY
Race 4, No. 5
Brilliant win first-up, has improved, galloped sensationally last Saturday and should be odds on.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.60
JOHN DAVIS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 74461
TATOOSH
Race 3, No. 7
Closed in quickly over the concluding stages of the Up And Coming Stakes, giving the impression the 1400m of Saturday’s assignment is right up his alley. Kerrin McEvoy engagement is a positive sign. Rates highly.
TAB Fixed Odds: $10
SHAYNE O’CASS (The Sportsman/Daily Telegraph). Form: 14565
START WONDERING
Race 8, No. 9
Was a Group horse on arrival in Australia. His record in NZ and the manner of his wins were above and beyond the norm. He trialled like a raceday certainty in the lead-up to his Australia debut and he delivered at Rosehill, holding off a challenge from His Majesty to score by a neck. He looks tailor-made for the Randwick 1400m.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.80
DARREN PRENDERGAST (Superracing). Form: 11314
KIMBERLEY STAR
Race 3, No. 1
Talented filly strung together a great record over winter. Steps back up to 1400m after running second to Speak Fondly over 1200m last start. Is unbeaten in two runs at 1400m and will be hard to beat again.
TAB Fixed Odds: $3.20
SIMON MOY (Superracing). Form: 71x74
ROYAL DESCENT
Race 6, No. 16
Hadn’t won for 18 months before well-deserved win first-up in Warwick Stakes. Yet to miss a place from six runs over this track/distance. Might suddenly have a taste for winning.
TAB Fixed Odds: $5
CHELMSFORD STAKES: PERFECT FOR PORNICHET
RACING CONFIDENTIAL: TRIBUTE TO BART
MOONEE VALLEY
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MATT STEWART (Herald Sun). Form: 33x43
MOSSBEAT
Race 2, No. 15
Has been running on in better races. Rail true at Valley suits run-on horses. Well drawn, way over the odds.
TAB Fixed Odds: $7.50
ROD NICHOLSON (Herald Sun). Form: 0x146
CONTRIBUTER
Race 7, No. 4
Class galloper who has won four of five Australian runs. Should have edge here en route to Cox Plate.
TAB Fixed Odds: $1.80
MICHAEL MANLEY (Herald Sun). Form: 4311x
CHAUTAUQUA
Race 8, No. 1
Gifted sprinter, possibly the best in the land, resuming. Will be suited by the fast speed and drawing out suits his style of racing. Look for him to power home.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.25
DANNY RUSSELL (Herald Sun). Form: 49x11
STRONG HAND
Race 3, No. 4
The picket fence horse once again plonked in a winnable race. Drawn ideally, won at the track last start and gets a 2kg claim with Jordan Childs onboard.
TAB Fixed Odds: $3.60
NICK QUINN (TAB). Form: 31111
CONTRIBUTER
Race 7, No. 4
Resumes after an amazing autumn campaign where he won all three starts and is a chance to become the first horse since El Segundo in 2007 to complete the Dato/Cox Plate double.
TAB Fixed Odds: $1.80
DOOMBEN
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NATHAN EXELBY (The Courier-Mail). Form: x2234
PINCH RIVER
Race 6, No. 2
Excellent return when just missed in similar grade first-up, indicating he’s back to the form that made him one of Queensland’s more promising 2yo’s 18 months back. Concede Last Sight notched monster figures winning at the Gold Coast, but he has a history of not repeating and think Pinch River has more upside.
TAB Fixed Odds: $3.40
BRAD DAVIDSON (Gold Coast Bulletin). Form: 25161
STEEL ZIP
Race 7, No. 4
Racing in career best form this horse and no reason he can’t turn the tables on Cum Dividend here. He meets that horse 1.5kg better off at the weights and the firmer the better for him because Cum Dividend really likes the cut out of the track. Drawn well and should get a lovely run just behind the speed and he will be ready to pounce on the turn.
TAB Fixed Odds: $4.20
MORPHETTVILLE
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BEN SCADDEN (The Advertiser). Form: 19231
COUNTER SPIN
Race 3, No. 3
Talented gelding who has returned to racing in peak form with impressive wins at his past two. The inside barrier isn’t perfect for him but that’s offset by the smallish field and service of top jockey Clare Lindop.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.40
LINCOLN MOORE (The Advertiser). Form: 346x2
MISS GUNPOWDER
Race 6, No. 2
Progressive three-year-old filly who followed a good win first-up from a spell with a solid effort up in class in Melbourne. She’s drawn the middle, gets in really well at the weights with the claim for in-form apprentice and the $1.85 might be worth taking as she tracks towards the Thousand Guineas.
TAB Fixed Odds: $1.80
GODOLPHIN: MUSKETS AT DAWN
GODOLPHIN: BIG GUNS ON THE GROUND
FEATURE RACE MARKETS
TAB Fixed Odds
EPSOM HANDICAP
Randwick, October 3
$8 FIRST SEAL, KERMADEC, PORNICHET, ROYAL DESCENT
$11 BOBAN, CONTRIBUTER, SWEYNESSE
$15+ Others
BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
CAULFIELD GUINEAS
Caulfield, October 10
$4 PRESS STATEMENT
$5.50 READY FOR VICTORY
$8 VANCOUVER
$10 EXOSPHERE
$12 JAPONISME, RAGEESE
$14 HOLLER
$18 GOLD SYMPHONY
$21+ Others
BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
CAULFIELD CUP
Caulfield, October 17
$11 FAME GAME
$13 MONGOLIAN KHAN
$15 HOKKO BRAVE, SET SQUARE, VOLKSTOK’N’BARRELL, WINX
$17 HAURAKI, SINGING
$21+ Others
BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
COX PLATE
Moonee Valley, October 24
$11 CONTRIBUTER, HIGHLAND REEL, PORNICHET
$13 KERMADEC
$15 CRITERION, FAWKNER, HARTNELL
$21+ Others
BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
MELBOURNE CUP
Flemington, November 3
$8 FAME GAME
$11 MAX DYNAMITE
$16 MONGOLIAN KHAN
$17 HARTNELL, HOKKO BRAVE, LIBRAN, SNOW SKY, TRIP TO PARIS
$21 HAURAKI, ORDER OF ST GEORGE, PROTECTIONIST, WHO SHOT THEBARMAN
$26+ Others
BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS