Horse racing tips: The Valley, Randwick, Doomben, Morphettville Parks
Five winners last week and our tipsters have found some standouts at The Valley and Randwick, while a few fancy an upset in the Cox Plate. LATEST ODDS
SuperRacing
Don't miss out on the headlines from SuperRacing. Followed categories will be added to My News.
Our experts give you an early shot at finding a winner at the major races around the nation this weekend.
Last week … Five winners. Glenn McFarlane was on the money with Verry Elleegant ($5.30) in the Caulfield Cup, while Chris Vernuccio’s value bet Wild Planet ($5.90) also saluted. Stephen Brassel, Clinton Payne and Jett Hatton were all over It’s Me ($2). Nathan Exelby delivered with Royal Hale ($4.20) and Warren Partland steered punters in the right direction with The Difference ($2.25).
The Saturday meetings: THE VALLEY (10 races, start 11.40am), DOOMBEN (10 races, 12.23pm), ROYAL RANDWICK (9 races, 12.50pm), MORPHETTVILLE PARKS (9 races, 1.16pm).
Kayo is your ticket to the best sport streaming Live & On-Demand. New to Kayo? Get your 14-day free trial & start streaming instantly >
TODAY’S FORM GUIDE AT THE TIP OF YOUR FINGER
THE VALLEY
GLENN MCFARLANE (Herald Sun). Form: 61595
YOUNG WERTHER (Race 6, No. 6 — $2.30)
Ran great sectionals and should have won last start. Gets his chance again with slight gear change.
Value bet: WRITTEN BEAUTY (Race 10, No. 5 — $3)
COX PLATE TIP: PROBABEEL
BRAD WATERS (Racenet). Form: 3215
ECUMENICAL (Race 4, No. 2 — $2.60)
Terrific effort again when caught wide and fought on well in the Thousand Guineas. Should be hard to beat in this easier assignment.
Value bet: LUNAR FOX (Race 6, No. 2 — $6.50)
COX PLATE TIP: ARMORY
SIMON MOY (NewsRacing). Form: 61594
PORTLAND SKY (Race 3, No. 5 — $3)
Made ground at the right time at Flemington last start and draws the rails for the shortest route home.
Value bet: PROBABEEL (Cox Plate, Race 9, No. 13 — $8.50)
CHRIS VERNUCCIO (NewsRacing). Form: 11113
ARCADIA QUEEN (Cox Plate, Race 9, No. 9 — $5)
Back to her best when she defeated Russian Camelot in the Caulfield Stakes. She should have the locals covered, it’s whether the internationals have more class than her. Fingers also crossed the forecast for heavy rain are wrong.
Value bet: SOUND (Race 8, No. 7 — $6.50)
NICK QUINN (TAB). Form: 21215
YOUNG WERTHER (Race 6, No. 6 — $2.30)
Looks well placed to win and consolidate his place as the top seed heading into the Victoria Derby.
Value bet: SOUND (Race 8, No. 7 — $6.50)
COX PLATE TIP: RUSSIAN CAMELOT
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
ROYAL RANDWICK
RAY THOMAS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 82861
HILO (Race 8, No. 5 — $3.60)
Has produced two blinders since resuming. Drawn barrier one on Saturday, should be able to settle in the front half of the field and be poised to strike from the turn. Powerful finisher and just needs clear galloping room in the straight. He’s ready to win.
Value bet: JEN RULES (Race 7, No. 4 — $8)
COX PLATE TIP: FIERCE IMPACT
MATT JONES (Daily Telegraph). Form: 4x325
CRIADERAS (Race 4, No. 8 — $1.90)
The light weight should be able to get him home against a small field and look for him to swamp them late and continue his hot form.
Value bet: JUMBO GOAL (Race 1, No. 2 — $9)
COX PLATE TIP: ARCADIA QUEEN
DARREN PRENDERGAST (NewsRacing). Form: 47219
DESTINATION (Race 3, No. 1 — $3.20)
Knocking on the door for a win and gets his chance here after finishing runner-up to Wild Ruler last start.
Value bet: JEN RULES (Race 7, No. 4 — $8)
COX PLATE TIP: ARCADIA QUEEN
STEPHEN BRASSEL (National Racing Editor). Form: 1s211
CRIADERAS (Race 4, No. 8 — $1.90)
Up and comer with four wins from five starts and with only 52kg on his back can see him powering over the top of them late.
Best value: BLAZING MISS (Race 7, No. 7 — $12)
CLINTON PAYNE (Racenet). Form: 71011
DESTINATION (Race 3, No. 1 — $3.20)
Arrives here after splitting Wild Ruler and Forbidden Love last start and they’ve both won since. This looks the perfect target race and he’s well suited at set weights.
Value bet: PROBABEEL (Cox Plate, Race 9, No. 13 — $8.50)
JETT HATTON (Racenet). Form: 16411
DESTINATION (Race 3, No. 1 — $3.20)
Turned in the run of the race behind Wild Ruler last time out with that horse going on to win the Group 2 Roman Consul while the third placegetter Forbidden Love subsequently won last week. Just needs a repeat effort to be very hard to beat in this.
Value bet: EVALINA (Race 7, No. 3 — $8.50)
COX PLATE TIP: ARMORY
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
DOOMBEN
NATHAN EXELBY (The Courier-Mail). Form: 52s21
LOVE STRUCK (Race 3, No. 3 — $6)
Love Struck looks a solid each-way play. Given how strong he was at the Eagle Farm 1400m, I see no issues going to the mile around Doomben. Just kept battling away last time and can see him being right on speed here in a race that doesn’t have huge pressure and under that scenario he can take some catching.
Value bet: BEAUFORT PARK (Race 7, No. 2 — $7.50)
COX PLATE TIP: ARMORY
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
MORPHETTVILLE PARKS
WARREN PARTLAND (The Advertiser). Form: s3931
LEFT HAND MAN (Race 7, No. 1 — $5)
Handy effort last start when second at Morphettville, having had a couple of starts in Melbourne after winning here. The 3kg claim for Sophie Logan helps.
Value bet: POYSED TO REIN (Race 8, No. 4 — $7)
COX PLATE TIP: ARCADIA QUEEN
LATEST BETTING: TAB FIXED ODDS
s – denotes tip was scratched.
x – denotes spell or holiday.
Note: TAB odds correct at time of publishing.