State of Origin III Footy Form: The stats that matter, what’s been backed and where money is going

HISTORY weighs heavily in the Maroons’ favour in tonight’s State of Origin III clash at ANZ Stadium but the statistics still give the Blues a glimmer of hope.

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Check out all the best stats, what’s been backed and where the money is going in order to find a winner.

State of Origin Game III, Wednesday 8.15pm, ANZ Stadium

DOUBLE WHAMMY

Since the introduction of three-game series in 1982, the team that has won game one has gone on to win the series on 26 occasions (from 35 series), including seven of the past eight series.

UNLUCKY NUMBER SEVEN?

Queensland have won the past six game threes, with their last loss coming in 2009 at Suncorp when they were looking to complete a clean sweep.

POINTS AT A PREMIUM

Recently, Origins at ANZ Stadium have been low-scoring affairs. The past five matches there have seen an average of just 16.6 total points scored.

Can Cameron Smith break Blues hearts again and send Paul Gallen off a loser tonight? Picture: AAP

FIRST PAST THE POST

Since 2005, the team that scores the first try has gone on to win 27 of the 35 matches, including nine of the past 11 matches stretching back to Game 1, 2013.

HALF TIME GLORY

The team leading at halftime has won 22 of the past 27 Origin matches, including both matches this season.

MILESTONE

Paul Gallen will captain NSW for the 16th time, overtaking Danny Buderus (15) to have the most appearances as captain for NSW.

RECORD BREAKING

Dane Gagai has scored four tries in this series and is now just a double away from claiming the most tries in an Origin series, a record currently held by Ryan Girdler (5 in 2002) and Lote Tuqiri (5 in 2002).

To Score a Try — $2

To Score 2+ Tries — $7

1st Try Scorer — $10

Betting summary: Money has shifted back to the Queenslanders to complete the first clean sweep since 2010.

TAB Market