Shayne O’Cass’s best bets and inside mail for Wellington and Taree on Tuesday, May 13, 2025

Form analyst Shayne O’Cass presents his best bets and inside mail for Tuesday’s NSW meetings at Wellington and Taree.

  

Form analyst Shayne O’Cass presents his best bets and inside mail for Tuesday’s NSW meetings at Wellington and Taree.

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WELLINGTON TIPS

BEST BET

Race 2 No.3 TWINING CLASS: Both career runs indicate she won’t remain a maiden for long.

NEXT BEST

Race 4 No.11 THE GIT UP: Placed six of 10 and in some uncommonly strong maidens in the area.

VALUE

Race 1 No.7 ROSIE I AM: Building towards a win and finds a race seemingly within her reach.

QUADDIE
Race 4: 4,11
Race 5: 2,3,5
Race 6: 1,6,7
Race 7: 1,2

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
Kody Nestor will have plenty of admirers in Tuesday’s Jockey Challenge.

WELLINGTON INSIDE MAIL

RACE 1: Maiden Plate (1400m)

ROSIE I AM (7) is yet to place in her four starts but she has turned in a couple of fourths including at Narromine on April 29 on a Heavy 8 over 1100m. Interestingly, and unusually in these modern times, her grand-dam is by Sir Tristram which would suggest that 1400m (today) is what she wants. WITHANIA (8) handed in, by far, the best run of her half dozen starts when second at Binnaway 10-days ago. That said, it was Binnaway. Zeebrugge has claims (if here). Withania’s stablemate MILLEPIED (3) was third to said horse in that 1300m Binnaway Maiden.

BET: ROSIE I AM (7) to win.

RACE 2: Maiden Plate (1000m)

TWINING CLASS (3) is a sparingly-raced five-year-old son of Black Caviar’s brother Moshe. So much so that the Clint Lundholm trained gelding has just two starts on his CV. The first was a third to the handy Bolo Miss here at Wellington. The last, and most recent, was a fourth at home at Dubbo over 1100m. Coming back to 1000m won’t hurt him nor will barrier 12 with Kody Nestor! IMASTATEMENT (7) went within inches of winning a 1000m Dubbo Maiden on April 7 which he followed up with a fading fourth at Narromine. To be fair, that was 1100m on a Heavy 8.

BET: TWINING CLASS (3) to win (best bet).

RACE 3: Class 1 Plate (1700m)

NAVAL OFFICER (1)’s grand-dam is by Jeune which gives him some of his stamina. That said, he’s got plenty of speed in his make-up too with broodmares sires like County, Oenjay Star and Luskin Star. One more family tie if I may, his 9th Dam is Golden Chariot (Wenona Girls’ mother). As for the ‘punt’, this is a very winnable and suitable race for a very fit and mostly reliable horse. Speaking of fit and reliable, QUINKY DEEL (2) has only won once ion 18 starts but has seven placings and could be looking for this trip now.

BET: NAVAL OFFICER (1) to win, quinella 1,2.

RACE 4: Maiden Handicap (1100m)

THE GIT UP (11) has three seconds and three thirds from her ten starts. You can only attribute one ‘bad’ run to her in all that time. So far lately goes, she was a distant second to the above-average Pressnell here first-up over 1000m; 1100m suits her better. MATILDA OF TUSCANY (4) trialled well prior to her honourable debut third at Narromine on a Heavy 8. Favourably drawn this time. Stablemate BEST DEFENCE (9) likewise jumps from a good alley and is close to a win.

BET: THE GIT UP (11) to win.

RACE 5: Class 1 Handicap (1100m)

PRESSNELL (3) is a son of Press Statement so we all know where he gets his name from. He was impressive to the ‘max’ (sorry, that was too easy!) when he won at Dubbo on May 4 beating the aforementioned The Git Up and co. Simple fact is, he won like a good horse and he might well turn out that way. MICRO MIKKI (2) was $1.70 into $1.30 at his NSW debut at Narromine late last month, falling over the line to beat the Best Defense (see above). Respect the combo.

BET: PRESSNELL (3) to win, Daily Double 1st Leg (3), 2nd Leg (1).

RACE 6: Benchmark 58 (1400m)

SPORTS PAGE (1) has raced 22 times for five wins and six placings; which would make her a favourite of each-way punters with that 50 per cent record of hers. A few other stats that make compelling reading are that she is one for one at the track and distance; a distance that really is her pet trip. WILLINGA KARISMA (6) is fourth run in now for Clint Lundholm and had ‘next time’ written all over her when strong through the line at Narromine over 1300m. TROPICANA’S CUBE (7) is in the mix.

BET: SPORTS PAGE (1) each-way, Box trifecta and First 4 Nos. 1,6,7,12.

RACE 7: Benchmark 66 (1100m)

CUMBOOGLE (1) has won all three this preparation; which is no surprise but what is rather (pleasantly) shocking for those who have been along for the ride is his SPs; $9, $6,50 and $5 – that’s pretty generous about a horse that has been winning as often and as easily as he has. Of course it is harder to keep winning but no reason at all to be against him today. DIVINE SINNER (2) ran third to Cumboogle when they met at Orange on April 11 and franked his own form by winning at Narromine at his very next outing. DIZE (5) and ROCK ‘N’ REIGN (11) have claims.

BET: CUMBOOGLE (1) to win, exacta 1 to beat 2.

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TAREE TIPS

BEST BET

Race 1 No.8 CRAZY MIKKI: Runner-up at half of her 10 starts, 3 of them on heavy.

NEXT BEST

Race 3 No.5 LUNE D’EXCELLENCE: Bred to stay; finished hard over 1300m first-up, 1400m today.

VALUE

Race 4 No.5 JUSTIFIABLY: Lightly-raced, well-bred, last start winner who can keep progressing.

Originally published as Shayne O’Cass’s best bets and inside mail for Wellington and Taree on Tuesday, May 13, 2025