Shayne O’Cass’s extended preview and tips for Rosehill Gardens

Daily Telegraph form analyst Shayne O’Cass examines every race for Group 1 Tancred Stakes Day at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday to point you in the right direction to finding a winner.

Miss Einstein looks a good each-way chance in the first race at Rosehill on Saturday. Picture: Grant Guy

Daily Telegraph form analyst Shayne O’Cass runs the rule over every race, including suggested bets, for Saturday’s Group 1 Tancred Stakes meeting.

The Form: Complete NSW Racing thoroughbred form, including video replays and all you need to know about every horse, jockey and trainer. Find a winner here.

ROSEHILL

Track: Good 4. Rail: Out 5m 1400m to Winning Post. Out 4m remainder

RACE 1

Overview: Miss Einstein did enough first-up to build on, more so with the extra 100m and added fitness for this weekend’s Midway mission. Placed four out of five second-up and draws to race a whole lot handier this time. Astero must be getting close again after that back to back seconds. Should get the tempo to suit his pattern here but he will need an ‘out’ in the straight. Grey Duchess Adele trialled rather well prior to running ninth at Hawkesbury but was only beaten three and a half and was closing in.

The Bet: Miss Einstein each-way

RACE 2

Overview: Fightertown was sold for $1.1 million at the Magic Millions sale. He is a son of Snitzel out of a stakes-winning American mare. He was a huge drifter first-up on the Kensington track over 1000m but ran well despite being a real handful. Nice colt, 1400m better for him. Waverley is looking for 1400m now and a mile real soon. Amur, the Triscay-line son of Snitzel was a distant third but behind a very good colt in the VRC Sires. Drawn to get some favours.

The Bet: Fightertown to win, Waverley to place

Awesome John (right) looks a good chance in race 3, the Tulloch Stakes. Picture: Grant Guy

RACE 3

Overview: Full Of Sincerity ran third in the NZ Derby last start, the race which his sire Puccini won. Chances would seemingly increase if the track was to get into Soft, or Heavy. Stroke of Luck is bred on the Fastnet Rock/Galileo cross and it shows. That is to say, he should eat up the ten furlongs. Awesome John meets this race third-up off two eye-catching runs, one a second in a meagre Benchmark 72 at Canterbury, the other in the Phar Lap Stakes where he ran a creditable three lengths behind Zougotcha.

The Bet: Awesome John to win, quinella 4, 7

RACE 4

Overview: Zeyrek was ‘000’ in the spring but is ‘12’ in the autumn and in fact. very close to being ‘11’. Goes without saying that he is a horse back in-form and there is no reason why he can’t keep it going for a few more runs. Mark Newnham has breathed new life into the nine-year-old French-bred ex-Hong Kong gelding Sunshine Rising. The $3 million winner will be at his absolute peak on the weekend, third-up off two very good thirds in a couple of Group 3’s home and away. The ‘best’ Huetor would be bordering on a good thing here.

The Bet: Zeyrek to win

RACE 5

Overview: Coal Crusher was runner-up at his first four starts before he broke the sequence with a maiden win at Orange. It’s been onwards and upwards since then with Joe Pride easing him through his grades almost to the top level. Typical. Waihaha Falls is a good trialler but he looked fantastic in that last hit out. Dalchini beat one home on the Maurice McCarten but she wasn’t thrashed and loomed up half way up the straight. It’s not easy going there off the fence at Rosehill sometimes, so maybe her run was a whole lot better than it reads.

The Bet: Dalchini each-way, quinella 10,18

RACE 6

Overview: Statement won a Listed and a Group 3 in Ireland in late September and early October and that was it for 2022. Joseph O’Brien has won a Melbourne Cup so he knows how to line up form when coming Down Under. Roots is third-up off two very good runs in the Millie Fox and Aspiration. More Prophets is always going to be beholden to tempo, bias, luck, good rides, bad rides, etc, given her pattern. There is no doubt about her Group level class. You only have to look at the replay of her run in the Coolmore here two weeks ago.

The Bet: More Prophets each-way, quinella 12, 16

RACE 7

Overview: Prowess has won six of eight starts and placed at the other two. If that sounds good, how about the fact she is a last start Group 1 winner over this same trip. Drawn to get every possible chance. Pavitra was absolutely explosive in the Kembla Grange Classic. Frankie’s Me Dad is coming off back to back wins in 2100m and 2300m Class 1s at Beaumont and Newcastle into a Group 1. It’s a huge step up for her of course but she’s on an upward trajectory. She can stay and she has acceleration. Could be worth a look at the big odds.

The Bet: Frankie’s Me Dad each-way

Classy mare Montefilia is ready to peak third-up. Picture: Getty Images

RACE 8

Overview: Gold Trip (117) has the honour of being the highest rated horse in action in Australia on Saturday. The reigning Melbourne Cup winner had the Ranvet more or less ‘run against him’ so inclined to forgive him. Montefilia races extremely well here at home. Should be at her peak for this. Montefilia races well anywhere and everywhere, but she really does excel here at home. If things pan out for her and she is on-song, she will be in the medals.

The Bet: Montefilia to win

RACE 9

Overview: I was all over Welwal in the Golden Eagle and maybe he wouldn’t have beaten the winner that day, but he should have finished on the podium. Same track and trip here on the weekend and unlike in the Golden Eagle, he’s had a few runs at the venue now he and went enormous in the Ajax too. For some reason, I worry about Cross Talk at 1500m with pressure applied but then I look at his form and see he beat Gold Trip et al in the Winter Challenge over same track and trip. Not impossible that Waterford wins this and then wins the Doncaster.

The Bet: Welwal to win

RACE 10

Overview: Substantial is a market watch of epic proportions being on debut in Australia for Team Snowden. His form in the UK is quite impressive really. He beat 19 others (from barrier 19) at York in a Rating 100 race on October 7 before he left. Lovely trial second to in The Congo on March 7. If horses are able to finish off down the outside, Tonneofgrit could be the swooper here. Handy on his day, he has trialled a treat for this.

The Bet: Substantial to win, exacta 11 to beat 18