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The world under Donald Trump would not be a harmonious place

THE world is staring at the brink of chaos now that Donald Trump has reached the White House — here’s what will happen now he’s won the race.

Many fear what will happen if Donald Trump makes it to the White House. Picture: AP/ Evan Vucci
Many fear what will happen if Donald Trump makes it to the White House. Picture: AP/ Evan Vucci

THE world is staring at the brink of chaos now that Donald Trump has found a path to the White House.

The bizarre and destabilising Trump world order is expected to see new countries stockpile nuclear weapons as Russia and China seize fresh power and world markets crash.

Trump foreign policy — gleaned from his slow reveal of global positions over the course of his candidacy — would mark one of the most dramatic international upheavals since the second world war.

It’s a strictly isolationist approach, in which Mr Trump has pledged America is better off going it alone.

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The ripple effect would reach to the furthest corners of the globe — foreign aid would be culled, Russia would muscle up on incursions into Eastern European nations unchecked and China would test the limits of its own power in Asia, experts warn.

Mr Trump has already signalled to nations like Japan and South Korea that they’re on their own when it comes to defence, paving the way for a fresh nuclear arms race in East Asia.

“By removing the explicit nuclear umbrella over countries who thought they could rely on the US, they now have every incentive to develop their own,” Professor David Birdsell of the City University of New York said.

Mr Trump will instigate the decline of the United Nations, and stymie trade around the world tearing up free trade agreements, markets could crash, currencies would go haywire and even international intelligence sharing would be at risk.

Just as world markets rallied on good news for Hillary Clinton, they began to spiral on Trump’s victory.

Duke University professor Joseph Grieco warned the financial instability would be so significant it could tip over into the “real economy”, particularly in the US.

“This is not the type of financial impact that would simply be contained on the markets,” he predicted.

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Donald Trump has already signalled to nations like Japan and South Korea that they’re on their own when it comes to defence. Picture: AP/ Evan Vucci
Donald Trump has already signalled to nations like Japan and South Korea that they’re on their own when it comes to defence. Picture: AP/ Evan Vucci

As all this unfolds, Mr Trump has lined up alongside an unusual cabinet of allies like former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, former conservative presidential hopeful Newt Gingrich, retired three star general Michael Flynn and perhaps New Jersey Governor Chris Christie.

“In reality these are not people who are highly regarded in international circles in terms of foreign policy experience,” Professor of Political Management at George Washington University Matt Dallek said.

Prof Dallek questioned the calibre of foreign policy nous not just in the names identified but in the types of people Mr Trump could lead his cabinet from.

“Trump doesn’t have a strong bench to draw from — there is a dearth of foreign policy talent in his corner.”

On day one in office, Mr Trump has pledged to declare China a currency manipulator, instantly aggravating tension with one of the world’s great powers.

He’s also pledged to meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin before he even assumes office on January 20.

“You would see them testing the waters,” Professor Birdsell said, citing China’s incursions into the South China Sea as an example.

“And not only (Russia and China). It would be surprising if any powers who thought they had something to gain from America’s bamboozlement wouldn’t try to do just that. There would be ample operating room.”

Despite shaking off allegations that he’s close to Mr Putin as the campaign intensified, Mr Trump’s repeated insistence that he wants to have a better relationship with Moscow raises the spectre of just what Moscow could get away with.

Mr Trump has already hinted he might accept the Russian annexation of Crimea, and would do nothing to stop Russia muscling up against the Ukraine.

He’ll also turn relationships with Europe on their head, having questioned the value of the NATO alliance — again, leaving Russia to exert its influence unchecked.

Experts say Mr Trump has signalled clearly that he will not deal in terms of long established alliances and protocol, with old friendships between countries instantly counting for little. They believe instead he will switch international dealings to the terms he knows best — uninhibited and unpredictable deal making.

“We would see the world move from a liberal institutional world order to an Art of the Deal type of world order,” University of Pennsylvania professor of European Studies Mitchell Orenstein said, referring to Mr Trump’s book.

“Trump is not interested in rules and law — he clearly has signalled he trusts his own intuition and his ability to make a good deal. It’s a very different approach to foreign relations. That means less reliance on the UN, the IMF, NATO and any alliances that Australia would be a part of.”

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Original URL: https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/world/the-world-under-donald-trump-would-not-be-a-harmonious-place/news-story/ee83270d2856af0cc3c311f020bc9d15