Support for Indigenous voice falls below 50 per cent nationally

The referendum for the constitutionally enshrined Indigenous voice has fallen below 50 per cent in every state with stark divisions.

Support for the Indigenous voice has fallen below 50 per cent in every state, with opinions divided along lines of age, education and state.

The case for a yes vote has failed to gain a majority in any state, with results in the latest exclusive Newspoll for The Australian presenting an about-face from April’s analysis, which showed majority support in every state except for Queensland.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese receives traditional gifts from a young Yolngu male during the Garma Festival in East Arnhem. Picture: Getty Images

Currently, the yes vote nationally is at 43 per cent when averaged over Newspolls between May and July 2023.

The no vote is at 46 per cent.

However, the April results showed that overall support was previously at 54 per cent compared to 38 per cent for the no vote.

In the latest poll, the yes case is ahead only in New South Wales and South Australia.

In Victoria it is tied with a no vote.

In Western Australia, Queensland and Tasmania the no vote is ahead.

The vote is split along lines of age and education and state.

Supporters of the yes vote were more likely to be higher income earners, tertiary educated, renters and the young.

Supporters of the no vote were not university educated, were retired, homeowners and mortgagees.

The new results indicate the federal government will be struggling to fulfil the three pillars of the Uluru Statement, which are the voice, treaty and truth-telling.

For the referendum to succeed, a national yes majority in the six states is needed.