Best bets and value play for Swan Hill races Tuesday

Form expert Brad Waters analyses Tuesday’s Swan Hill meeting, presenting his best bets, value selection and jockey to follow.

  

Form analyst Brad Waters looks at Tuesday’s eight-race program at Swan Hill, presenting his best bets, jockey to follow and lay of the day.

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BEST BET

MISTAVAIN (Race 7 No.5): Had no luck at Warracknabeal before going down narrowly at Mildura last time. He’s drawn well and the spacious Swan Hill track should suit.

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NEXT BEST

SMASH BLUE (Race 1 No.1): Ran on OK at Moe first-up before boxing on well behind a subsequent Caulfield placegetter second-up. She’ll be hard to beat.

PICK WISELY (Race 4 No.4)

The Archie Alexander-trained gelding ran on well when not far away at Bendigo first-up. He’ll be much fitter for that and has drawn perfectly.

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VALUE BET

SHAL EXCEED (Race 5 No.5)

The local four-year-old won two in a row before a short break following the Swan Hill carnival. He jumped out well at Kerang and could return a winner.

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LAY OF THE DAY

SPIRITED DEFENCE (Race 8 No.4): Going well on the Ballarat synthetic track but this will be a different scenario. He’s under the odds at $2.90.

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THE JOCKEY – HARRY COFFEY
The Caulfield Cup winner heads to Swan Hill for eight rides on Tuesday. SNOWBALL (Race 1 No.12 – $12), BRIDGETAIL (Race 2 No.9 – $2.80), STEADY ON (Race 3 No.16 – $5), KARASMATIC (Race 4 No.3 – $3.20), TRACK PATCHER (Race 5 No.8 – $8), BANNERTON (Race 6 No.5 – $10), MISTAVAIN (Race 7 No.5 – $4.40), SIMPLY SPARKLEZ (Race 8 No.6 – $12).

Originally published as Best bets and value play for Swan Hill races Tuesday