Taree tips and race-by-race inside mail: $3.80 best bet

Form analyst Shayne O’Cass has provided his best bets and race-by-race form analysis for Monday’s Taree meeting.

The Daily Telegraph and Racenet form analyst Shayne O’Cass provides his best bets, quaddie analysis and jockey to follow as well as a race-by-race tips analysis for Monday’s meeting at Taree.

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BEST BET

Race 3 No. 1:Navy Pier

Was off the map on debut, fair effort, spelled, resumes in an easier race here.

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NEXT BEST

Race 1 No 1:Expido

Only has to reproduce his debut at Wyong last summer to be winning here.

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VALUE

Race 5 No. 3:Jonny Be Swift

Won here at Taree over this same trip, same jockey. Go well.

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BEST EXOTIC

Race 1 (exacta) No. 1 to beat No. 4

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QUADDIE

Race 5: 3,10,11

Race 6: 2,7,10

Race 7: 5,9,10

Race 8: 2,7,10

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JOCKEY TO FOLLOW

Aaron Bullock has hit the lead in the NSW Jockeys Premiership and will ride five good chances on Monday.

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INSIDE MAIL

RACE 1

Expido brings together trainer Angela Davies and jockey Andrew Gibbons for the 172nd time, mindful that they share winning strike rate of 24.6 per cent which rises to 52 per cent when placings are added. As for Expido, a repeat of his Wyong fourth on debut would make this a gift for punters. Diva Rouge has done the groundwork with four rather encouraging trials spaced back to September last year. Trumper is well bred and well-drawn.

Bet:Expido to win, exacta 1 to beat 4.

RACE 2

Montgolfier, an ex-Godolphin galloper, has placed twice in five runs for Colt Prosser; one of those was here. Can forgive him for last start at Port Macquarie, it wasn’t a bad run as it stands, and we could argue it was a better race than this one. Squatternut Bosh drew wide and was scratched from Coffs Harbour on Sunday. Wise move given she has barrier 4 in a very winnable race it seems. Birdy Girl flew home last start.

Bet: Montgolfier to win, exacta 2 to beat 9.

RACE 3

Navy Pier was scratched from an unusually strong maiden at Newcastle on Saturday and instead finds himself in an unusually weak looking maiden. He’s also got barrier 3 and city-class jockey Ben Osmond to steer. Was off the map on debut, lost, spelled and has trialled well ahead of the return. Not that he is over the line but frankly there is almost nowhere else to look here. That being the case, expect very short odds about him.

Bet:Navy Pier to win.

RACE 4

Charleroi has been nominated for two races in the next few days. If he comes to Taree, he’ll be very hard to beat on his form, let alone the prized draw. If he is out, all roads lead to Annoint which has only managed one win in his 19 starts but importantly, it was at this very same track and distance. Likes the sting out too. Bellini Spritz is itching to get to a mile you would think being a Dundeel from the great family of Ethereal.

Bet:Charleroi to win or if scratched Annoint each-way.

RACE 5

Jonny Be Swift has been to Taree twice, over this same trip too as it happens, winning one and running third at the other. Important to note that Aaron Bullock ride him when he won his maiden here and what’s more, it was a heavy track. Fit horse just needs some luck early on from the wide alley. Merapi has drawn in close and barring any adverse track pattern on the day, surely it gives this mudlark her best chance to perform.

Bet:Jonny Be Swift to win, Merapi each-way, quinella 3,11.

RACE 6

Full Commitment wears the same colours as Saturday’s deserved Highway winner, Red Rags To Bulls. Like a lot of the Jeremy Gask stable, Full Commitment is a very reliable horse, noted in her record of a win and five placings from 11 starts. Is easy to like apart from the draw. Speaking of draws, assuming the inside is not off for any reason, it could be game on for King Soleil which will jump from barrier 2 with the key rider booking of Ash Morgan.

Bet:Full Commitment to win or of scratched, King Soleil each-way.

RACE 7

Savoca is trained by Paul Perry who also trained the sire Choisir and dam The Look. Savoca has mixed and matched it with some good horses when he was climbing the ladder; he was runner-up to Midnight Opal at start two. In terms of Monday, we know he goes well fresh, we know he handles the wet and this is his sort of trip. Smart Jazz is back home on Monday after a rather creditable run in a Highway behind a horse who he was runner-up to at Scone 11-days earlier.

Bet:Savoca each-way, box First 4 Nos. 5,9,10,13,18.

RACE 8

Zoom Outcome has a commendable record of six wins, four seconds and a third from his 33 starts which is a good place to start for those considering backing him each-way on Monday. We should also point out that he has a win and two seconds from seven runs at the track and trip and perhaps best of all, all six wins are circa the 1000m. Let’s hope it is wet, the wetter the better for him. Telegraph has finished close up behind Zoom Outcome a couple of times in recent outings. He’ll be coming home hard again.

Bet:Zoom Outcome each-way, quinella 2,10, box trifecta 2,7,10,14.

Originally published as Taree tips and race-by-race inside mail: $3.80 best bet